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In real-time forecasting in public health, data collection is a non-trivial and demanding task. Often after initially released, it undergoes several revisions later (maybe due to human or technical constraints) - as a result, it may take…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-28 Harshavardhan Kamarthi , Alexander Rodríguez , B. Aditya Prakash

In traditional dose-finding studies, dose-limiting toxicity (DLT) is determined within a fixed time observation window where DLT is often defined as a binary outcome. In the setting of oncology dose-finding trials, often patients in…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-09 Lucie Biard , Bin Cheng , Gulam A. Manji , Shing M. Lee

We consider the problem of identifying whether findings replicate from one study of high dimension to another, when the primary study guides the selection of hypotheses to be examined in the follow-up study as well as when there is no…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-01-28 Marina Bogomolov , Ruth Heller

Adaptive sample size re-estimation, early stopping, and trial re-design at interim analyses can reduce expected sample sizes in randomised trials. Cluster randomised trials, in which groups of participants are randomly allocated to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-09 Samuel I. Watson , James Martin

We consider a dose-optimization design for first-in-human oncology trial that aims to identify a suitable dose for late-phase drug development. The proposed approach, called the Pharmacometrics-Enabled DOse OPtimization (PEDOOP) design,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-19 Shijie Yuan , Zhanbo Huang , Jiaxin Liu , Yuan Ji

During drug development, evidence can emerge to suggest a treatment is more effective in a specific patient subgroup. Whilst early trials may be conducted in biomarker-mixed populations, later trials are more likely to enrol…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-07 Lorna Wheaton , Dan Jackson , Sylwia Bujkiewicz

This work introduces the Burdened Bayesian Logistic Regression Model (BBLRM), an enhancement of the Bayesian Logistic Regression Model (BLRM) for dose-finding in phase I oncology trials. The BLRM determines the maximum tolerated dose (MTD)…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-18 Andrea Nizzardo , Luca Genetti , Marco Pergher

This paper introduces a new Phase I design aimed at enhancing the performance of existing methods, including algorithm-based, model-based, and model-assisted designs. The design, developed by integrating the concept of Fisher information,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-11 Xiaojun Zhu

Interval designs are a class of phase I trial designs for which the decision of dose assignment is determined by comparing the observed toxicity rate at the current dose with a prespecified (toxicity tolerance) interval. If the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-20 Suyu Liu , Ying Yuan

We propose BaySize, a sample size calculator for phase I clinical trials using Bayesian models. BaySize applies the concept of effect size in dose finding, assuming the MTD is defined based on an equivalence interval. Leveraging a decision…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-29 Xiaolei Lin , Jiaying Lyu , Shijie Yuan , Sue-Jane Wang , Yuan Ji

Leveraging preclinical animal data for a phase I first-in-man trial is appealing yet challenging. A prior based on animal data may place large probability mass on values of the dose-toxicity model parameter(s), which appear infeasible in…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-15 Haiyan Zheng , Lisa V. Hampson

A major challenge in the practical use of Machine Translation (MT) is that users lack guidance to make informed decisions about when to rely on outputs. Progress in quality estimation research provides techniques to automatically assess MT…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Nikita Mehandru , Sweta Agrawal , Yimin Xiao , Elaine C Khoong , Ge Gao , Marine Carpuat , Niloufar Salehi

In many real-world applications, evaluating the quality of instances is costly and time-consuming, e.g., human feedback and physics simulations, in contrast to proposing new instances. In particular, this is even more critical in…

Technology-assisted review (TAR) workflows based on iterative active learning are widely used in document review applications. Most stopping rules for one-phase TAR workflows lack valid statistical guarantees, which has discouraged their…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-08-31 David D. Lewis , Eugene Yang , Ophir Frieder

Period-prevalent cohorts are often used for their cost-saving potential in epidemiological studies of survival outcomes. Under this design, prevalent patients allow for evaluations of long-term survival outcomes without the need for long…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-28 Nicholas Hartman

We propose an adaptive design for early phase drug combination cancer trials with the goal of estimating the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). A nonparametric Bayesian model, using beta priors truncated to the set of partially ordered dose…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-22 Zahra S. Razaee , Galen Wien-Cook , Mourad Tighiouart

Purpose: The 3+3 design has been shown to be less likely to achieve the objectives of phase I dose-finding trials when compared with more advanced model-based designs. One major criticism of the 3+3 design is that it is based on simple…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-30 Meizi Liu , Sue-Jane Wang , Yuan Ji

Although there is an extensive statistical literature showing the disadvantages of discretizing continuous variables, categorization is a common practice in clinical research which results in substantial loss of information. A large…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-17 Márcio Augusto Diniz , Mourad Tighiouart , André Rogatko

Biomarker subpopulations have become increasingly important for drug development in targeted therapies. The use of biomarkers has the potential to facilitate more effective outcomes by guiding patient selection appropriately, thus enhancing…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-07 Ting-Yu Chen , Jing Zhao , Linda Sun , Keaven Anderson

This article provides a novel approach to assess the importance of specific treatment phases within a treatment regimen through tipping point analyses (TPA) of a time-to-event endpoint using rank-preserving-structural-failure-time (RPSFT)…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-06 Sudipta Bhattacharya , Jyotirmoy Dey
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