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Background: Phase I dose-finding trials increasingly encounter delayed-onset toxicities, especially with immunotherapies and targeted agents. The time-to-event continual reassessment method (TITE-CRM) handles incomplete follow-up using…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Robert Amevor , Emmanuel Kubuafor , Dennis Baidoo

The primary goal of dose allocation in phase I trials is to minimize patient exposure to subtherapeutic or excessively toxic doses, while accurately recommending a phase II dose that is as close as possible to the maximum tolerated dose…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-21 Jiapeng Xu , Dehua Bi , Shenghua Kelly Fan , Bee Leng Lee , Ying Lu

The primary goal of a two-stage Phase I/II trial is to identify the optimal dose for the following large-scale Phase III trial. Recently, Phase I dose-finding designs have shifted from identifying the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-16 Hao Sun , Jerry Li

Traditional dose selection for oncology registration trials typically employs a one- or two-step single maximum tolerated dose (MTD) approach. However, this approach may not be appropriate for molecularly targeted therapy that tends to have…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-28 Jason J. Z. Liao , Ekaterine Asatiani , Qingyang Liu , Kevin Hou

Dose-finding studies in oncology often include an up-and-down dose transition rule that assigns a dose to each cohort of patients based on accumulating data on dose-limiting toxicity (DLT) events. In making a dose transition decision, a key…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-30 Zhiwei Zhang

Prescription opioids relieve moderate-to-severe pain after surgery, but overprescription can lead to misuse and overdose. Understanding factors associated with post-surgical opioid refills is crucial for improving pain management and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Eileen Yang , Donglin Zeng , Mark Bicket , Yi Li

Model-informed precision dosing (MIPD) is a quantitative dosing framework that combines prior knowledge on the drug-disease-patient system with patient data from therapeutic drug/ biomarker monitoring (TDM) to support individualized dosing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Corinna Maier , Jana de Wiljes , Niklas Hartung , Charlotte Kloft , Wilhelm Huisinga

Model-assisted interval designs such as the Keyboard design are transparent and easy to implement in phase I oncology trials. However, interim decisions based solely on data from the current dose may overlook informative signals from…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-26 Jiangyan Zhao , Xian Shi , Jin Xu

Dose-finding trials for oncology studies are traditionally designed to assess safety in the early stages of drug development. With the rise of molecularly targeted therapies and immuno-oncology compounds, biomarker-driven approaches have…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Xijin Chen , Pavel Mozgunov , Richard D. Baird , Thomas Jaki

An important task in drug development is to identify patients, which respond better or worse to an experimental treatment. Identifying predictive covariates, which influence the treatment effect and can be used to define subgroups of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-27 Marius Thomas , Björn Bornkamp , Katja Ickstadt

If explicit, formal consideration of clinical pharmacology at all informs the design and conduct of modern oncology dose-finding trials, the designs themselves hardly attest to this. Yet in conducting a trial, investigators affirm that they…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-25 David C. Norris

In Phase I/II dose-finding trials, the objective is to find the Optimal Biological Dose (OBD), a dose that is both safe and efficacious that maximises some optimality criterion based on safety and efficacy. This is further complicated when…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-31 Helen Barnett , Oliver Boix , Dimitris Kontos , Thomas Jaki

Purpose: During discussions at the Data Science Roundtable meeting in Japan, there were instances where the adoption of the BOIN design was declined, attributed to the extension of study duration and increased sample size in comparison to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-19 Masahiro Kojima , Wu Wende , Henry Zhao

We propose a new integrated phase I/II trial design to identify the most efficacious dose combination that also satisfies certain safety requirements for drug-combination trials. We first take a Bayesian copula-type model for dose finding…

Applications · Statistics 2011-08-09 Ying Yuan , Guosheng Yin

Consider an experiment, where a new drug is tested for the first time on human subjects - healthy volunteers. Such experiments are often performed as dose-escalation studies: a set of increasing doses is pre-selected, individuals are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-17 Samuel Rosa , Radoslav Harman

Incorporating historical data or real-world evidence has a great potential to improve the efficiency of phase I clinical trials and to accelerate drug development. For model-based designs, such as the continuous reassessment method (CRM),…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-11 Yanhong Zhou , J. Jack Lee , Shunguang Wang , Stuart Bailey , Ying Yuan

Dose-finding trials are a key component of the drug development process and rely on a statistical design to help inform dosing decisions. Triallists wishing to choose a design require knowledge of operating characteristics of competing…

Computation · Statistics 2025-03-11 Michael Sweeting , Daniel Slade , Dan Jackson , Kristian Brock

FDA's Project Optimus initiative for oncology drug development emphasizes selecting a dose that optimizes both efficacy and safety. When an inferentially adaptive Phase 2/3 design with dose selection is implemented to comply with the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-12 Cong Chen , Mo Huang , Xuekui Zhang

In clinical trials, an experimental treatment is sometimes added on to a standard of care or control therapy in multiple treatment phases (e.g., concomitant and maintenance phases) to improve patient outcomes. When the new regimen provides…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-19 Sudipta Bhattacharya , Jyotirmoy Dey

The US Food and Drug Administration launched Project Optimus with the aim of shifting the paradigm of dose-finding and selection towards identifying the optimal biological dose that offers the best balance between benefit and risk, rather…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Ying Yuan , Heng Zhou , Suyu Liu