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Estimation of individual treatment effects is commonly used as the basis for contextual decision making in fields such as healthcare, education, and economics. However, it is often sufficient for the decision maker to have estimates of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-13 Maggie Makar , Fredrik D. Johansson , John Guttag , David Sontag

As machine learning models are increasingly employed to assist human decision-makers, it becomes critical to communicate the uncertainty associated with these model predictions. However, the majority of work on uncertainty has focused on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-29 Daniel D'souza , Zach Nussbaum , Chirag Agarwal , Sara Hooker

In recent years, numerous studies have been published dealing with the effect of individual characteristics of pedestrians on the fundamental diagram. These studies compared cumulative data on individuals in a group homogeneous in terms of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-01 Sarah Paetzke , Maik Boltes , Armin Seyfried

Children's growth extends beyond height and weight. This paper introduces the Multidimensional Index of Child Growth (MICG), developed by the IUNS Task Force "Towards a Multidimensional Approach for Child Growth." The IUNS-MICG applies a…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-04 Rolando Gonzales Martinez , Hinke Haisma

Darwinian evolution is driven by random mutations, genetic recombination (gene shuffling) and selection that favors genotypes with high fitness. For systems where each genotype can be represented as a bitstring of length $L$, an overview of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-04-11 Kristina Crona , Joachim Krug , Malvika Srivastava

Randomized trials are often conducted with separate randomizations across multiple sites such as schools, voting districts, or hospitals. These sites can differ in important ways, including the site's implementation, local conditions, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-19 Lo-Hua Yuan , Avi Feller , Luke W. Miratrix

For two genotypes that have the same mean number of offspring but differ in the variance in offspring number, natural selection will favor the genotype with lower variance. The concept of fitness becomes cloudy under these conditions…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Max Shpak , Stephen Proulx

Nutrition is a key determinant of long-term health, and social influence has long been theorized to be a key determinant of nutrition. It has been difficult to quantify the postulated role of social influence on nutrition using traditional…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-18 Kristina Gligorić , Ryen W. White , Emre Kıcıman , Eric Horvitz , Arnaud Chiolero , Robert West

Teens make life-changing decisions while constrained by the needs and resources of the households they grow up in. Household behavior models frequently delegate decision-making to the teen or their parents, ignoring joint decision-making in…

General Economics · Economics 2023-07-20 José Alfonso Muñoz-Alvarado

Two-stage randomization is a powerful design for estimating treatment effects in the presence of interference; that is, when one individual's treatment assignment affects another individual's outcomes. Our motivating example is a two-stage…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-02 Guillaume Basse , Avi Feller

In many contexts, particularly when study subjects are adolescents, peer effects can invalidate typical statistical requirements in the data. For instance, it is plausible that a student's academic performance is influenced both by their…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Vanessa McNealis , Erica E. M. Moodie , Nema Dean

The burden of diabetes has disproportionately impacted Hispanic/Latino residents in the United States, with diet recognized as a major modifiable risk factor. Outcome-dependent dietary patterns provide insight into what foods may be…

Healthcare quality metrics refer to a variety of measures used to characterize what should have been done or not done for a patient or the health consequences of what was or was not done. When estimating healthcare quality, many metrics are…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-13 Sharon-Lise Normand , Katya Zelevinsky , Marcela Horvitz-Lennon

Objective: To exploit state variations in infant mortality, identify diagnoses that contributed to reduction of the infant mortality rate (IMR), and examine factors associated with preterm related mortality rate (PMR). Methods: Using linked…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-22 Alireza Ebrahimvandi , Niyousha Hosseinichimeh , Jay Iams

Statistical boosting algorithms are renowned for their intrinsic variable selection and enhanced predictive performance compared to classical statistical methods, making them especially useful for complex models such as generalized additive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-20 Alexandra Daub , Elisabeth Bergherr

Interrogating the evolution of biological changes at early stages of life requires longitudinal profiling of molecules, such as DNA methylation, which can be challenging with children. We introduce a probabilistic and longitudinal machine…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-24 Arthur Leroy , Ai Ling Teh , Frank Dondelinger , Mauricio A. Alvarez , Dennis Wang

Health exams determine a patient's health status by comparing the patient's measurement with a population reference range, a 95% interval derived from a homogeneous reference population. Similarly, most of the established relation among…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-04 Xiaoyue Niu , Peter D. Hoff

As of this writing, there are five years remaining for countries to reach their Sustainable Development Goals deadline of 2030 as agreed to by the member countries of the United Nations. Countries are, therefore, naturally interested in…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-11 David Kaplan , Nina Jude , Kjorte Harra , Jonas Stampka

Researchers have widely acknowledged the potential of control mechanisms with which end-users of recommender systems can better tailor recommendations. However, few e-learning environments so far incorporate such mechanisms, for example for…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Jeroen Ooge , Leen Dereu , Katrien Verbert

Machine learning algorithms can sometimes exacerbate health disparities based on ethnicity, gender, and other factors. There has been limited work at exploring potential biases within algorithms deployed on a small scale, and/or within…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-07-07 Abhay Goyal , Nimay Parekh , Lam Yin Cheung , Koustuv Saha , Frederick L Altice , Robin O'hanlon , Roger Ho Chun Man , Christian Poellabauer , Honoria Guarino , Pedro Mateu Gelabert , Navin Kumar