English
Related papers

Related papers: Insuring uninsurable income

200 papers

This paper tackles challenges in pricing and revenue projections due to consumer uncertainty. We propose a novel data-based approach for firms facing unknown consumer type distributions. Unlike existing methods, we assume firms only observe…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-05-28 Duarte Gonçalves , Bruno A. Furtado

We develop an algorithmic framework to incorporate "ex-ante" constraints on outcomes (that hold only on average) into stateful sequential search with costly inspection. Our framework encompasses the classical Weitzman's Pandora's box…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Mohammad Reza Aminian , Vahideh Manshadi , Rad Niazadeh

This paper presents a method for forecasting limit order book durations using a self-exciting flexible residual point process. High-frequency events in modern exchanges exhibit heavy-tailed interarrival times, posing a significant challenge…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-02 Kyungsub Lee

Aggregating risks from multiple sources can be complex and demanding, and decision makers usually adopt heuristics to simplify the evaluation process. This paper axiomatizes two closed related and yet different heuristics, narrow bracketing…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-08-30 Mu Zhang

We study the asymptotic behavior of ruin probabilities, as the initial reserve goes to infinity, for a reserve process model where claims arrive according to a renewal process, while between the claim times the process has the dynamics of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-24 Ying He , Konstantin Borovkov

This paper considers a risk-constrained infinite-horizon optimal control problem and proposes to solve it in an iterative manner. Each iteration of the algorithm generates a trajectory from the starting point to the target equilibrium state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-29 Alireza Zolanvari , Ashish Cherukuri

Motivated by applications such as cloud platforms allocating GPUs to users or governments deploying mobile health units across competing regions, we study the dynamic allocation of a reusable resource to strategic agents with private…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Yan Dai , Negin Golrezaei , Patrick Jaillet

We introduce and analyze a new class of monotone stochastic recursions in a regenerative environment which is essentially broader than that of Markov chains. We prove stability theorems and apply our results {to three canonical models in…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-22 Sergey Foss , Vsevolod Shneer , Jonathan P. Thomas , Tim Worrall

This paper characterizes differentiable and subgame Markov perfect equilibria in a continuous time intertemporal decision problem with non-constant discounting. Capturing the idea of non commitment by letting the commitment period being…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-08-29 Ivar Ekeland , Ali Lazrak

This paper introduces a novel stochastic framework for modelling tax evasion dynamics by extending the deterministic model of Bertotti and Modanese (2018) through the use of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs). A key limitation…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-26 Jonas Mayr , Amira Meddah , Irene Tubikanec

Autoregressive models have emerged as a powerful framework for modeling exchangeable sequences - i.i.d. observations when conditioned on some latent factor - enabling direct modeling of uncertainty from missing data (rather than a latent).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Daksh Mittal , Ang Li , Tzu-Ching Yen , Daniel Guetta , Hongseok Namkoong

In contemporary society, the effective utilization of public resources remains a subject of significant concern. A common issue arises from defectors seeking to obtain an excessive share of these resources for personal gain, potentially…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-04-02 Lichen Wang , Yuyuan Liu , Ruqiang Guo , Liang Zhang , Linjie Liu , Shijia Hua

We consider parametric inference for an ergodic and stationary diffusion process, when the data are high-frequency observations of the integral of the diffusion process. Such data are obtained via certain measurement devices, or if…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Emil S. Jørgensen , Michael Sørensen

We present a lookdown construction for a Moran seed-bank model with variable active and inactive population sizes and we show that the empirical measure of our model coincides with that of the Seed-Bank-Moran Model with latency of Greven,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Maria Clara Fittipaldi , Adrián González Casanova , Julio Ernesto Nava

In this paper, the asymptotic behavior of the entrance probability of discounted aggregate claims of a certain family of rare sets is studied, considering the finite and infinite time horizons. This multivariate risk model, driven by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis , Hui Xu

We consider dynamic stochastic economies with heterogeneous agents and introduce the concept of uniformly self-justified equilibria (USJE) -- temporary equilibria for which forecasts are best uniform approximations to a selection of the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-12-30 Felix Kubler , Simon Scheidegger

In the last decade, a large body of literature has been developed to explain the universal features of inequality in terms of income and wealth. By now, it is established that the distributions of income and wealth in various economies show…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-25 Anindya S. Chakrabarti , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

A fundamental economic question is that of designing revenue-maximizing mechanisms in dynamic environments. This paper considers a simple yet compelling market model to tackle this question, where forward-looking buyers arrive at the market…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-10-16 Jose Correa , Andres Cristi , Laura Vargas Koch

We study in detail and explicitly solve the version of Kyle's model introduced in a specific case in \cite{BB}, where the trading horizon is given by an exponentially distributed random time. The first part of the paper is devoted to the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-19 Umut Çetin

In order to deal with market power that sporadically results from contingencies (e.g., severe weather, plant outages) most electricity markets have institutions in charge of monitoring market performance and mitigating market power. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-07 Shi Pu , Alfredo Garcia