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We investigate the dynamic stability of the indirect utility process associated with a (possibly suboptimal) trading strategy under perturbations of the market. Establishing the reverse conjugacy characterizations first, we prove continuity…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-24 Oleksii Mostovyi

In this work we introduce a variant of the Yule-Simon model for preferential growth by incorporating a finite kernel to model the effects of bounded memory. We characterize the properties of the model combining analytical arguments with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-28 Ana L. Schaigorodsky , Juan I. Perotti , Nahuel Almeira , Orlando V. Billoni

We present a simple model that uses time series momentum in order to construct strategies that systematically outperform their benchmark. The simplicity of our model is elegant: We only require a benchmark time series and several related…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-12 Marc Rohloff , Alexander Vogt

We study balanced exchange problems in which agents with responsive preferences are endowed with multiple indivisible objects and can trade without transfers (e.g. shift exchange, time-banking). Eliciting full preferences over bundles is…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-04-14 Vikram Manjunath , Alexander Westkamp

The first-price auction is popular in practice for its simplicity and transparency. Moreover, its potential virtues grow in complex settings where incentive compatible auctions may generate little or no revenue. Unfortunately, the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2013-04-30 Darrell Hoy , Kamal Jain , Christopher A. Wilkens

We consider a discrete-time version of the popular optimal dividend pay-out problem in risk theory. The novel aspect of our approach is that we allow for a risk averse insurer, i.e., instead of maximising the expected discounted dividends…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-02 Nicole Bäuerle , Anna Jaśkiewicz

I examine global dynamics in a monetary model with overlapping generations of finite-horizon agents and a binding lower bound on nominal interest rates. Debt targeting rules exacerbate the possibility of self-fulfilling liquidity traps, for…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-04-08 Alessandro Piergallini

In this paper, we show a tight approximation guarantee for budget-feasible mechanisms with an additive buyer. We propose a new simple randomized mechanism with approximation ratio of $2$, improving the previous best known result of $3$. Our…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-22 Nick Gravin , Yaonan Jin , Pinyan Lu , Chenhao Zhang

We study risk-aware linear policy approximations for the optimal operation of an energy system with stochastic wind power, storage, and limited fuel. The resulting problem is a sequential decision-making problem with rolling forecasts. In…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-19 Thomas Mortimer , Robert Mieth

Systems of interacting continuous-time Markov chains are a powerful model class, but inference is typically intractable in high dimensional settings. Auxiliary information, such as noisy observations, is typically only available at discrete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Giosue Migliorini , Padhraic Smyth

A celebrated impossibility result by Myerson and Satterthwaite (1983) shows that any truthful mechanism for two-sided markets that maximizes social welfare must run a deficit, resulting in a necessity to relax welfare efficiency and the use…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Paul Dütting , Federico Fusco , Philip Lazos , Stefano Leonardi , Rebecca Reiffenhäuser

Efficient exploration remains a challenging problem in reinforcement learning, especially for those tasks where rewards from environments are sparse. A commonly used approach for exploring such environments is to introduce some "intrinsic"…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-16 Neale Ratzlaff , Qinxun Bai , Li Fuxin , Wei Xu

A system of non-tradable credits that flow between individuals like karma, hence proposed under that name, is a mechanism for repeated resource allocation that comes with attractive efficiency and fairness properties, in theory. In this…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-06 Ezzat Elokda , Saverio Bolognani , Florian Dörfler , Heinrich H. Nax

In this paper, we demonstrate through the use of matrix calculus a transparent analysis of fractional inhomogeneous Markov models for life insurance where transition matrices commute. The resulting formulae are intuitive matrix…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-25 Martin Bladt

Motivated by the need to analyze continuously updated data sets in the context of time-to-event modeling, we propose a novel nonparametric approach to estimate the conditional hazard function given a set of continuous and discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-03 Daphné Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

Opportunities such as higher education can promote intergenerational mobility, leading individuals to achieve levels of socioeconomic status above that of their parents. We develop a dynamic model for allocating such opportunities in a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Hoda Heidari , Jon Kleinberg

Approximating time-varying unobserved heterogeneity by discrete types has become increasingly popular in economics. Yet, provably valid post-clustering inference for target parameters in models that do not impose an exact group structure is…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-20 Jad Beyhum , Martin Mugnier

In this paper, we investigate the robust optimal reinsurance,investment,and internal surplus distribution (i.e., consumption) problem for an insurer with Epstein-Zin recursive preferences in an incomplete market. It is assumed that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Junyi Guo , Jianxuan Li , Qianqian Zhou

This paper derives primitive, easily verifiable sufficient conditions for existence and uniqueness of (stochastic) recursive utilities for several important classes of preferences. In order to accommodate models commonly used in practice,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-06-02 Timothy M. Christensen

We analyze an irreversible investment decision for a project which yields a flow of future operating profits given by a geometric Brownian motion with unknown drift. In contrast to similar optimal stopping problems with incomplete…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-19 Fabian Gierens , Berenice Anne Neumann
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