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Wildfires can be devastating, causing significant damage to property, ecosystem disruption, and loss of life. Forecasting the evolution of wildfire boundaries is essential to real-time wildfire management. To this end, substantial attention…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Myungsoo Yoo , Christopher K. Wikle

Given the importance of forests and their role in maintaining the ecological balance, which directly affects the planet, the climate, and the life on this planet, this research presents the problem of forest fire monitoring using drones.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Mahdi Jemmali , Loai Kayed B. Melhim , Wadii Boulila , Hajer Amdouni , Mafawez T. Alharbi

Computational simulations of wildfire spread typically employ empirical rate-of-spread calculations under various conditions (such as terrain, fuel type, weather). Small perturbations in conditions can often lead to significant changes in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Andrew Bolt , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert , Joel Janek Dabrowski , James Hilton , Conrad Sanderson

Investigating the health impacts of wildfire smoke requires data on people's exposure to fine particulate matter (PM$_{2.5}$) across space and time. In recent years, it has become common to use machine learning models to fill gaps in…

Fire incident reports contain detailed textual narratives that capture causal factors often overlooked in structured records, while financial damage amounts provide measurable outcomes of these events. Integrating these two sources of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-27 Hyewon Jung , Seungil Ahn , Seungho Choi , Yeseul Jeon

Wildfires are growing in frequency and intensity, devastating ecosystems and communities while causing billions of dollars in suppression costs and economic damage annually in the U.S. Traditional wildfire management is mostly reactive,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Shaurya Mathur , Shreyas Bellary Manjunath , Nitin Kulkarni , Alina Vereshchaka

Drone swarms coupled with data intelligence can be the future of wildfire fighting. However, drone swarm firefighting faces enormous challenges, such as the highly complex environmental conditions in wildfire scenes, the highly dynamic…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Shijie Pan , Aoran Cheng , Yiqi Sun , Kai Kang , Cristobal Pais , Yulun Zhou , Zuo-Jun Max Shen

Accurate spatiotemporal modeling of conditions leading to moderate and large wildfires provides better understanding of mechanisms driving fire-prone ecosystems and improves risk management. We here develop a joint model for the occurrence…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-15 Jonathan Koh , François Pimont , Jean-Luc Dupuy , Thomas Opitz

A novel approach for forest fire detection using image processing technique is proposed. A rule-based color model for fire pixel classification is used. The proposed algorithm uses RGB and YCbCr color space. The advantage of using YCbCr…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Vipin V

Wildfires significantly impact natural ecosystems and human health, leading to biodiversity loss, increased hydrogeological risks, and elevated emissions of toxic substances. Climate change exacerbates these effects, particularly in regions…

With increased frequency and intensity due to climate change, wildfires have become a growing global concern. This creates severe challenges for fire and emergency services as well as communities in the wildland-urban interface (WUI). To…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Xilei Zhao , Yiming Xu , Ruggiero Lovreglio , Erica Kuligowski , Daniel Nilsson , Thomas Cova , Alex Wu , Xiang Yan

Wildfires cause major losses worldwide, and the frequency of fire-weather conditions is likely to increase in many regions. We study the allocation of suppression resources over time on a graph-based representation of a landscape to slow…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Gustavo Delazeri , Marcus Ritt

Prescribed burns have been increasingly utilized in forest management in the past few decades. However, their effectiveness in reducing the risk of destructive wildfires has been debated. The sandpile model of self-organized criticality,…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-23 Joshua E. Gang , Wanqi Jia , Ira A. Herniter

This study presents a probabilistic surrogate model for localized wildfire spread based on a conditional flow matching algorithm. The approach models fire progression as a stochastic process by learning the conditional distribution of fire…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Bryan Shaddy , Haitong Qin , Brianna Binder , James Haley , Riya Duddalwar , Kyle Hilburn , Assad Oberai

Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) path planning algorithms often assume a knowledge reward function or priority map, indicating the most important areas to visit. In this paper we propose a method to create priority maps for monitoring or…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-28 Vera L. J. Somers , Ian R. Manchester

Fuel moisture content (FMC) is a key predictor for wildfire rate of spread (ROS). Machine learning models of FMC are being used more in recent years, augmenting or replacing traditional physics-based approaches. Wildfire rate of spread…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-22 Jonathon Hirschi

The machine learning community has recently had increased interest in the climate and disaster damage domain due to a marked increased occurrences of natural hazards (e.g., hurricanes, forest fires, floods, earthquakes). However, not enough…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-28 Vishal Anand , Yuki Miura

Wildfires and other extreme weather conditions due to climate change are stressing the aging electrical infrastructure. Power utilities have implemented public safety power shutoffs as a method to mitigate the risk of wildfire by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-13 Muhammad Waseem , Arash F. Soofi , Saeed D. Manshadi

In this paper, we propose an optimization framework that combines surveillance schedules and sparse control to bound the risk of spreading processes such as epidemics and wildfires. Here, risk is considered the risk of an undetected…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-14 Vera L. J. Somers , Ian R. Manchester

The frequency of wildfire disasters has surged five-fold in the past 50 years due to climate change. Preemptive de-energization is a potent strategy to mitigate wildfire risks but substantially impacts customers. We propose a multistage…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Hanbin Yang , Noah Rhodes , Haoxiang Yang , Line Roald , Lewis Ntaimo
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