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This paper introduces graphemes for constructing and analyzing stochastic processes that describe the evolution of large dynamic graphs. Unlike graphons, which capture the static properties of dense graphs via exchangeability or subgraph…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-16 Andreas Greven , Frank den Hollander , Anton Klimovsky , Anita Winter

Temporal graphs represent the dynamic relationships among entities and occur in many real life application like social networks, e commerce, communication, road networks, biological systems, and many more. They necessitate research beyond…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-26 Shubham Gupta , Srikanta Bedathur

Training deep learning models that generalize well to live deployment is a challenging problem in the financial markets. The challenge arises because of high dimensionality, limited observations, changing data distributions, and a low…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-20 Brandon Da Silva , Sylvie Shang Shi

Discrete latent space models have recently achieved performance on par with their continuous counterparts in deep variational inference. While they still face various implementation challenges, these models offer the opportunity for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-22 Max Cohen , Maurice Charbit , Sylvain Le Corff

Generative modeling of time series is a central challenge in time series analysis, particularly under data-scarce conditions. Despite recent advances in generative modeling, a comprehensive understanding of how state-of-the-art generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Tal Gonen , Itai Pemper , Ilan Naiman , Nimrod Berman , Omri Azencot

Generative network models play an important role in algorithm development, scaling studies, network analysis, and realistic system benchmarks for graph data sets. The commonly used graph-based benchmark model R-MAT has some drawbacks…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-07-01 Moritz von Looz , Mustafa Özdayi , Sören Laue , Henning Meyerhenke

We propose a probabilistic framework for modelling and exploring the latent structure of relational data. Given feature information for the nodes in a network, the scalable deep generative relational model (SDREM) builds a deep network…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-06 Xuhui Fan , Bin Li , Scott Anthony Sisson , Caoyuan Li , Ling Chen

Weighted graphs are ubiquitous throughout biology, chemistry, and the social sciences, motivating the development of generative models for abstract weighted graph data using deep neural networks. However, most current deep generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Richard Williams , Eric Nalisnick , Andrew Holbrook

Spatial-temporal graph modeling is an important task to analyze the spatial relations and temporal trends of components in a system. Existing approaches mostly capture the spatial dependency on a fixed graph structure, assuming that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Zonghan Wu , Shirui Pan , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Chengqi Zhang

Learning graph generative models is a challenging task for deep learning and has wide applicability to a range of domains like chemistry, biology and social science. However current deep neural methods suffer from limited scalability: for a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-30 Hanjun Dai , Azade Nazi , Yujia Li , Bo Dai , Dale Schuurmans

Network data is increasingly being used in quantitative, data-driven public policy research. These are typically very rich datasets that contain complex correlations and inter-dependencies. This richness both promises to be quite useful for…

We propose a family of statistical models for social network evolution over time, which represents an extension of Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGMs). Many of the methods for ERGMs are readily adapted for these models, including…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-08-11 Steve Hanneke , Wenjie Fu , Eric Xing

This paper builds on the connection between graph neural networks and traditional dynamical systems. We propose continuous graph neural networks (CGNN), which generalise existing graph neural networks with discrete dynamics in that they can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-17 Louis-Pascal A. C. Xhonneux , Meng Qu , Jian Tang

Time series forecasting lies at the core of important real-world applications in many fields of science and engineering. The abundance of large time series datasets that consist of complex patterns and long-term dependencies has led to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Nancy Xu , Chrysoula Kosma , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Time series analysis is critical for emerging net- work intelligent control and management functions. However, existing statistical-based and shallow machine learning models have shown limited prediction capabilities on multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Yufeng Xin , Ethan Fan

In the era of generative AI, deep generative models (DGMs) with latent representations have gained tremendous popularity. Despite their impressive empirical performance, the statistical properties of these models remain underexplored. DGMs…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-07 Seunghyun Lee , Yuqi Gu

With the latest advances in Deep Learning-based generative models, it has not taken long to take advantage of their remarkable performance in the area of time series. Deep neural networks used to work with time series heavily depend on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-19 Guillermo Iglesias , Edgar Talavera , Ángel González-Prieto , Alberto Mozo , Sandra Gómez-Canaval

Neural forecasting of spatiotemporal time series drives both research and industrial innovation in several relevant application domains. Graph neural networks (GNNs) are often the core component of the forecasting architecture. However, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Andrea Cini , Ivan Marisca , Filippo Maria Bianchi , Cesare Alippi

We introduce a novel model called GAMMT (Generative Ambiguity Models using Multiple Transformers) for sequential data that is based on sets of probabilities. Unlike conventional models, our approach acknowledges that the data generation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Xingcheng Xu

Complex high dimensional stochastic dynamic systems arise in many applications in the natural sciences and especially biology. However, while these systems are difficult to describe analytically, "snapshot" measurements that sample the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-03 Scott Gigante , David van Dijk , Kevin Moon , Alexander Strzalkowski , Guy Wolf , Smita Krishnaswamy