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For general non-Gaussian distributions, the covariance and precision matrices do not encode the independence structure of the variables, as they do for the multivariate Gaussian. This paper builds on previous work to show that for a class…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-18 Ujas Shah , Manuel Lladser , Rebecca Morrison

The direct Gaussian copula model with discrete marginal distributions is an appealing data-analytic tool but poses difficult computational challenges due to its intractable likelihood. A number of approximations/surrogates for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-08 John Hughes

Direct quantile regression involves estimating a given quantile of a response variable as a function of input variables. We present a new framework for direct quantile regression where a Gaussian process model is learned, minimising the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-03 Alexis Boukouvalas , Remi Barillec , Dan Cornford

Common workflows in machine learning and statistics rely on the ability to partition the information in a data set into independent portions. Recent work has shown that this may be possible even when conventional sample splitting is not…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Ameer Dharamshi , Anna Neufeld , Lucy L. Gao , Jacob Bien , Daniela Witten

The distribution function of the sum $Z$ of two standard normally distributed random variables $X$ and $Y$ is computed with the concept of copulas to model the dependency between $X$ and $Y$. By using implicit copulas such as the Gauss- or…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-02 Walter Schneider

In this paper, we analyze the relative errors in various reliability measures due to the tacit assumption that the components associated with a $n$-component series system or a parallel system are independently working where the components…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-28 Subarna Bhattacharjee , Aninda Kumar Nanda , Subhashree Patra

The estimation of dependencies between multiple variables is a central problem in the analysis of financial time series. A common approach is to express these dependencies in terms of a copula function. Typically the copula function is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-02 José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , James Robert Lloyd , Daniel Hernández-Lobato

This paper generalizes stochastic collocation methods to handle correlated non-Gaussian random parameters. The key challenge is to perform a multivariate numerical integration in a correlated parameter space when computing the coefficient…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2018-08-28 Chunfeng Cui , Zheng Zhang

This paper presents a probabilistic method for capturing non-monotonic behavior under the biphasic dose-response regime observed in many biological systems experiencing different types of stress. The proposed method is based on the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-07-14 Farzaneh Ghasemi Tahrir

We propose to construct copulas from the inversion of nonlinear state space models. These allow for new time series models that have the same serial dependence structure of a state space model, but with an arbitrary marginal distribution,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-24 Michael Stanley Smith , Worapree Maneesoonthorn

Multivariate datasets are common in various real-world applications. Recently, copulas have received significant attention for modeling dependencies among random variables. A copula-based information measure is required to quantify the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-06 Mohd. Arshad , Swaroop Georgy Zachariah , Ashok Kumar Pathak

A new algorithm is developed to tackle the issue of sampling non-Gaussian model parameter posterior probability distributions that arise from solutions to Bayesian inverse problems. The algorithm aims to mitigate some of the hurdles faced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-19 Leen Alawieh , Jonathan Goodman , John B. Bell

Graphical models are commonly used tools for modeling multivariate random variables. While there exist many convenient multivariate distributions such as Gaussian distribution for continuous data, mixed data with the presence of discrete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-30 Jianqing Fan , Han Liu , Yang Ning , Hui Zou

Stochastic spectral methods have achieved great success in the uncertainty quantification of many engineering problems, including electronic and photonic integrated circuits influenced by fabrication process variations. Existing techniques…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Chunfeng Cui , Zheng Zhang

We show how to construct the implied copula process of response values from a Bayesian additive regression tree (BART) model with prior on the leaf node variances. This copula process, defined on the covariate space, can be paired with any…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Jan Martin Wenkel , Michael Stanley Smith , Nadja Klein

The Tsallis $q$-Gaussian distribution is a powerful generalization of the standard Gaussian distribution and is commonly used in various fields, including non-extensive statistical mechanics, financial markets and image processing. It…

Computation · Statistics 2023-05-19 Viktor Witkovský

Continuation refers to the operation by which the cumulative distribution function of a discontinuous random vector is made continuous through multilinear interpolation. The copula that results from the application of this technique to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-07 Christian Genest , Johanna G. Nešlehová , Bruno Rémillard

Graphical models are an important tool in exploring relationships between variables in complex, multivariate data. Methods for learning such graphical models are well developed in the case where all variables are either continuous or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-15 Konstantin Göbler , Anne Miloschewski , Mathias Drton , Sach Mukherjee

We present a joint copula-based model for insurance claims and sizes. It uses bivariate copulae to accommodate for the dependence between these quantities. We derive the general distribution of the policy loss without the restrictive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-09-25 Nicole Kraemer , Eike C. Brechmann , Daniel Silvestrini , Claudia Czado

The popular choice of using a $direct$ forecasting scheme implies that the individual predictions do not contain information on cross-horizon dependence. However, this dependence is needed if the forecaster has to construct, based on…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-10 Matteo Mogliani , Florens Odendahl
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