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Joint modelling of longitudinal and time-to-event data is usually described by a joint model which uses shared or correlated latent effects to capture associations between the two processes. Under this framework, the joint distribution of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-07 Zili Zhang , Christiana Charalambous , Peter Foster

Multivariate Gaussian distributions enjoy Gaussian conditional distributions that makes conditioning easy: conditioning boils down to implementing analytical formulae for conditional means and covariances. For more general distributions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Antoine Faul , David Ginsbourger , Ben Spycher

A powerful tool for the analysis of nonrandomized observational studies has been the potential outcomes model. Utilization of this framework allows analysts to estimate average treatment effects. This article considers the situation in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-31 Debashis Ghosh , Efrén Cruz-Cortés

We propose a method for post-processing an ensemble of multivariate forecasts in order to obtain a joint predictive distribution of weather. Our method utilizes existing univariate post-processing techniques, in this case ensemble Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2015-10-28 Annette Möller , Alex Lenkoski , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir

Quantitative studies in many fields involve the analysis of multivariate data of diverse types, including measurements that we may consider binary, ordinal and continuous. One approach to the analysis of such mixed data is to use a copula…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter D. Hoff

Thanks to their ability to capture complex dependence structures, copulas are frequently used to glue random variables into a joint model with arbitrary marginal distributions. More recently, they have been applied to solve statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-22 Thomas Nagler , Thibault Vatter

In some areas of knowledge there are data representing directions restricted to a specific range of values. Consequently, it is useful to have models for describing variables defined in subsets of the k-dimensional unit sphere. This need…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-17 Joel Montesinos-Vazquez , Gabriel Núñez-Antonio

Point pattern data often exhibit features such as abrupt changes, hotspots and spatially varying dependence in local intensity. Under a Poisson process framework, these correspond to discontinuities and nonstationarity in the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-24 Izabel Nolau , Flávio B. Gonçalves , Dani Gamerman

The need for a method to construct multidimensional distribution function is increasing recently, in the era of huge multiwavelength surveys. We have proposed a systematic method to build a bivariate luminosity or mass function of galaxies…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2020-09-02 Tsutomu T. Takeuchi , Kai T. Kono

Undirected graphical models are used extensively in the biological and social sciences to encode a pattern of conditional independences between variables, where the absence of an edge between two nodes $a$ and $b$ indicates that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-05 Rina Foygel Barber , Mladen Kolar

Exploring the dependence between covariates across distributions is crucial for many applications. Copulas serve as a powerful tool for modeling joint variable dependencies and have been effectively applied in various practical contexts due…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-09 Sumin Wang , Chenxian Huang , Yongdao Zhou , Min-Qian Liu

This paper is concerned with modeling the dependence structure of two (or more) time-series in the presence of a (possible multivariate) covariate which may include past values of the time series. We assume that the covariate influences…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-11 Natalie Neumeyer , Marek Omelka , Sarka Hudecova

The paper presents a new copula based method for measuring dependence between random variables. Our approach extends the Maximum Mean Discrepancy to the copula of the joint distribution. We prove that this approach has several advantageous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-15 Barnabas Poczos , Zoubin Ghahramani , Jeff Schneider

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

Parametric conditional copula models allow the copula parameters to vary with a set of covariates according to an unknown calibration function. Flexible Bayesian inference for the calibration function of a bivariate conditional copula is…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-26 Evgeny Levi , Radu V. Craiu

Zero-inflated continuous data ubiquitously appear in many fields, in which lots of exactly zero-valued data are observed while others distribute continuously. Due to the mixed structure of discreteness and continuity in its distribution,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-28 Keita Hamamoto

We are studying the problems of modeling and inference for multivariate count time series data with Poisson marginals. The focus is on linear and log-linear models. For studying the properties of such processes we develop a novel conceptual…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-10 Paul Doukhan , Konstantinos Fokianos , Bård Støve , Dag Tjøstheim

This article proposes a graphical model that handles mixed-type, multi-group data. The motivation for such a model originates from real-world observational data, which often contain groups of samples obtained under heterogeneous conditions…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-02 Sjoerd Hermes , Joost van Heerwaarden , Pariya Behrouzi

A Bayesian framework is attractive in the context of prediction, but a fast recursive update of the predictive distribution has apparently been out of reach, in part because Monte Carlo methods are generally used to compute the predictive.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-11 P. Richard Hahn , Ryan Martin , Stephen G. Walker

This paper presents a new numerical scheme for simulating stochastic processes specified by their marginal distribution functions and covariance functions. Stochastic samples are firstly generated to automatically satisfy target marginal…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-11 Zhibao Zheng