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Monte Carlo tree search (MCTS) is one of the most capable online search algorithms for sequential planning tasks, with significant applications in areas such as resource allocation and transit planning. Despite its strong performance in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Ziyan An , Hendrik Baier , Abhishek Dubey , Ayan Mukhopadhyay , Meiyi Ma

Foundation models have emerged as a promising approach in time series forecasting (TSF). Existing approaches either repurpose large language models (LLMs) or build large-scale time series datasets to develop TSF foundation models for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Mouxiang Chen , Lefei Shen , Zhuo Li , Xiaoyun Joy Wang , Jianling Sun , Chenghao Liu

This paper introduces SparseTSF, a novel, extremely lightweight model for Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF), designed to address the challenges of modeling complex temporal dependencies over extended horizons with minimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Shengsheng Lin , Weiwei Lin , Wentai Wu , Haojun Chen , Junjie Yang

Decision Trees are prominent prediction models for interpretable Machine Learning. They have been thoroughly researched, mostly in the batch setting with a fixed labelled dataset, leading to popular algorithms such as C4.5, ID3 and CART.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Ayman Chaouki , Jesse Read , Albert Bifet

Time-series forecasting is a critical challenge in various domains and has witnessed substantial progress in recent years. Many real-life scenarios, such as public health, economics, and social applications, involve feedback loops where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Zhiyuan Zhao , Haoxin Liu , Alexander Rodriguez , B. Aditya Prakash

Test-time scaling (TTS) -- the dynamic allocation of compute during inference -- is a promising direction for improving reasoning in large language models (LLMs). However, a systematic comparison of well-known TTS strategies under identical…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Aradhye Agarwal , Ayan Sengupta , Tanmoy Chakraborty

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) are a powerful paradigm for time series analysis and are often enhanced by synthetic data augmentation to improve the training data quality. Existing augmentation methods, however, typically rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Junwei Deng , Chang Xu , Jiaqi W. Ma , Ming Jin , Chenghao Liu , Jiang Bian

For Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF), recent deep learning applications show that univariate models frequently outperform multivariate ones. To address the difficiency in multivariate models, we introduce a method to Construct…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-06 Jiecheng Lu , Xu Han , Yan Sun , Shihao Yang

Recent research in time series forecasting has explored integrating multimodal features into models to improve accuracy. However, the accuracy of such methods is constrained by three key challenges: inadequate extraction of fine-grained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Shule Hao , Junpeng Bao , Wenli Li

Adapting a pretrained diffusion model to new objectives at inference time remains an open problem in generative modeling. Existing steering methods suffer from inaccurate value estimation, especially at high noise levels, which biases…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Vineet Jain , Kusha Sareen , Mohammad Pedramfar , Siamak Ravanbakhsh

The need to recognise long-term dependencies in sequential data such as video streams has made Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks a prominent Artificial Intelligence model for many emerging applications. However, the high computational…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-31 Alexandros Kouris , Stylianos I. Venieris , Michail Rizakis , Christos-Savvas Bouganis

The current landscape in time-series forecasting is dominated by Transformer-based models. Their high parameter count and corresponding demand in computational resources pose a challenge to real-world deployment, especially for commercial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Nicholas Kiefer , Arvid Weyrauch , Muhammed Öz , Achim Streit , Markus Götz , Charlotte Debus

Urban forecasting models often face a severe data imbalance problem: only a few cities have dense, long-span records, while many others expose short or incomplete histories. Direct transfer from data-rich to data-scarce cities is unreliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Yue Jiang , Chenxi Liu , Yile Chen , Qin Chao , Shuai Liu , Cheng Long , Gao Cong

Planning under social interactions with other agents is an essential problem for autonomous driving. As the actions of the autonomous vehicle in the interactions affect and are also affected by other agents, autonomous vehicles need to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-11 Chenran Li , Tu Trinh , Letian Wang , Changliu Liu , Masayoshi Tomizuka , Wei Zhan

Accurate traffic prediction, especially predicting traffic conditions several days in advance is essential for intelligent transportation systems (ITS). Such predictions enable mid- and long-term traffic optimization, which is crucial for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Hangli Ge , Xiaojie Yang , Itsuki Matsunaga , Dizhi Huang , Noboru Koshizuka

Time series forecasting is fundamental for various use cases in different domains such as energy systems and economics. Creating a forecasting model for a specific use case requires an iterative and complex design process. The typical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-11 Stefan Meisenbacher , Marian Turowski , Kaleb Phipps , Martin Rätz , Dirk Müller , Veit Hagenmeyer , Ralf Mikut

Time-series forecasting finds broad applications in real-world scenarios. Due to the dynamic nature of time series data, it is important for time-series forecasting models to handle potential distribution shifts over time. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Zhiyuan Zhao , Haoxin Liu , B. Aditya Prakash

Feature extraction methods help in dimensionality reduction and capture relevant information. In time series forecasting (TSF), features can be used as auxiliary information to achieve better accuracy. Traditionally, features used in TSF…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-16 Alexey Chernikov , Chang Wei Tan , Pablo Montero-Manso , Christoph Bergmeir

Time series forecasting is important in finance domain. Financial time series (TS) patterns are influenced by both short-term public opinions and medium-/long-term policy and market trends. Hence, processing multi-period inputs becomes…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-03 Xu Zhang , Zhengang Huang , Yunzhi Wu , Xun Lu , Erpeng Qi , Yunkai Chen , Zhongya Xue , Qitong Wang , Peng Wang , Wei Wang

Neural network architecture design mostly focuses on the new convolutional operator or special topological structure of network block, little attention is drawn to the configuration of stacking each block, called Block Stacking Style (BSS).…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Yikang Zhang , Jian Zhang , Zhao Zhong