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Residual wavefront errors in optical elements limit the performance of coronagraphs. To improve their efficiency, different types of devices have been proposed to correct or calibrate these errors. In this paper, we study one of these…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-03-19 R. Galicher , P. Baudoz

The NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) issues the official U.S. government forecast for M-class and X-class solar flares, yet the skill of these forecasts has never been comprehensively verified. In this study, we evaluate the SWPC…

Space Physics · Physics 2025-12-09 Enrico Camporeale , Thomas E. Berger

Accurate wind speed and direction forecasting is paramount across many sectors, spanning agriculture, renewable energy generation, and bushfire management. However, conventional forecasting models encounter significant challenges in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-31 Fuling Chen , Kevin Vinsen , Arthur Filoche

Sky-image-based solar forecasting using deep learning has been recognized as a promising approach in reducing the uncertainty in solar power generation. However, one of the biggest challenges is the lack of massive and diversified sky image…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-02 Yuhao Nie , Xiatong Li , Quentin Paletta , Max Aragon , Andea Scott , Adam Brandt

During the last few years a number of works have proposed that planetary harmonics regulate solar oscillations and the Earth climate. Herein I address some critiques. Detailed analysis of the data do support the planetary theory of solar…

Geophysics · Physics 2014-12-02 Nicola Scafetta

In this paper, we propose a novel unsupervised color constancy method, called Probabilistic Color Constancy (PCC). We define a framework for estimating the illumination of a scene by weighting the contribution of different image regions…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-24 Firas Laakom , Jenni Raitoharju , Alexandros Iosifidis , Uygar Tuna , Jarno Nikkanen , Moncef Gabbouj

The observations of solar photosphere from the ground encounter significant problems due to the presence of Earth's turbulent atmosphere. Prior to applying image reconstruction techniques, the frames obtained in most favorable atmospheric…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-12-20 Adam Popowicz , Krystian Radlak , Krzysztof Bernacki , Valeri Orlov

We report on an ongoing investigation into a seismic calibration of solar models designed for estimating the main-sequence age and a measure of the chemical abundances of the Sun. Only modes of low degree are employed, so that with…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 G. Houdek , D. O. Gough

This paper addresses the pressing need for an accurate solar energy prediction model, which is crucial for efficient grid integration. We explore the influence of the Air Quality Index and weather features on solar energy generation,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Arjun Shah , Varun Viswanath , Kashish Gandhi , Nilesh Madhukar Patil

There is a clear positive correlation between boreal summer tropical Atlantic sea-surface temperature and annual hurricane numbers. This motivates the idea of trying to predict the sea-surface temperature in order to be able to predict…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Thomas Laepple , Stephen Jewson

There are claims that there is correlation between the speed of center of mass of the solar system and the global temperature anomaly. This is partly grounded in data analysis and partly in a priori expectations. The magnitude squared…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-19 Sverre Holm

Sunspot numbers provide the longest continuous record of solar activity and remain a key index for heliophysical research and space-weather applications. Standard sunspot determination relies on visual inspection and algorithmic…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-25 Fabian C. Quintero-Pareja , Diederik A. Montano-Burbano , Santiago Quintero-Pareja , D. Sierra-Porta

We present a probabilistic data-driven weather model capable of providing an ensemble of high spatial resolution realizations of 87 variables at arbitrary forecast length and ensemble size. The model uses a stretched grid, dedicating 2.5 km…

Weather forecasting is a vitally important tool for tasks ranging from planning day to day activities to disaster response planning. However, modeling weather has proven to be challenging task due to its chaotic and unpredictable nature.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-20 Lawrence Zhang , Adam Yang , Rodz Andrie Amor , Bryan Zhang , Dhruv Rao

We review recent results on the appearance of long-term persistence in climatic records and their relevance for the evaluation of global climate models and rare events.The persistence can be characterized, for example, by the correlation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 Armin Bunde , Jan Eichner , Rathinaswamy Govindan , Shlomo Havlin , Eva Koscielny-Bunde , Diego Rybski , Dmitry Vjushin

Holm (ASR, 2018) claims that Scafetta (ASR 57, 2121-2135, 2016) is "irreproducible" because I would have left "undocumented" the values of two parameters (a reduced-rank index p and a regularization term) that he claimed to be requested in…

Geophysics · Physics 2018-06-08 Nicola Scafetta

Climate science studies the structure and dynamics of Earth's climate system and seeks to understand how climate changes over time, where the data is usually stored in the format of time series, recording the climate features, geolocation,…

Recently, new solar model atmospheres have been developed to replace classical 1D LTE hydrostatic models and used to for example derive the solar chemical composition. We aim to test various models against key observational constraints. In…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-15 Tiago M. D. Pereira , Martin Asplund , Remo Collet , Irina Thaler , Regner Trampedach , Jorrit Leenaarts

The Sun is the main energy source to Earth, and understanding its variability is of direct relevance to climate studies. Measurements of total solar irradiance exist since 1978, but this is too short compared to climate-relevant time…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-10-17 Theodosios Chatzistergos , Natalie A. Krivova , Kok Leng Yeo

Modern, powerful techniques for the residual analysis of spatial-temporal point process models are reviewed and compared. These methods are applied to California earthquake forecast models used in the Collaboratory for the Study of…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-01 Robert Alan Clements , Frederic Paik Schoenberg , Danijel Schorlemmer