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Accurate pedestrian trajectory prediction is of great importance for downstream tasks such as autonomous driving and mobile robot navigation. Fully investigating the social interactions within the crowd is crucial for accurate pedestrian…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-18 Yuying Chen , Congcong Liu , Xiaodong Mei , Bertram E. Shi , Ming Liu

This paper examines Bayesian belief network inference using simulation as a method for computing the posterior probabilities of network variables. Specifically, it examines the use of a method described by Henrion, called logic sampling,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Homer L. Chin , Gregory F. Cooper

Network reconstruction is the task of inferring the unseen interactions between elements of a system, based only on their behavior or dynamics. This inverse problem is in general ill-posed, and admits many solutions for the same…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Tiago P. Peixoto

Despite exceptional predictive performance of Deep sequence models (DSMs), the main concern of their deployment centers around the lack of uncertainty awareness. In contrast, probabilistic models quantify the uncertainty associated with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Wenlong Chen

The recent proliferation of computers and the internet have opened new opportunities for collecting and processing data. However, such data are often obtained without a well-planned probability survey design. Such non-probability based…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-28 Vladislav Beresovsky , Julie Gershunskaya , Terrance D. Savitsky

The Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) sampling algorithm exploits Hamiltonian dynamics to construct efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), which has become increasingly popular in machine learning and statistics. Since HMC uses the gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Minghao Gu , Shiliang Sun

Hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) generates samples from a prescribed probability distribution in a configuration space by simulating Hamiltonian dynamics, followed by the Metropolis (-Hastings) acceptance/rejection step. Compressible HMC (CHMC)…

Computational Physics · Physics 2016-04-05 Akihiko Nishimura , David Dunson

Accurately tracking and predicting behaviors of surrounding objects are key prerequisites for intelligent systems such as autonomous vehicles to achieve safe and high-quality decision making and motion planning. However, there still remain…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-03-31 Jiachen Li , Wei Zhan , Yeping Hu , Masayoshi Tomizuka

In non-linear estimations, it is common to assess sampling uncertainty by bootstrap inference. For complex models, this can be computationally intensive. This paper combines optimization with resampling: turning stochastic optimization into…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-05-09 Jean-Jacques Forneron

This paper proposes a new sampling-based nonlinear model predictive control (MPC) algorithm, with a bound on complexity quadratic in the prediction horizon N and linear in the number of samples. The idea of the proposed algorithm is to use…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-13 R. V. Bobiti , M. Lazar

Stochastic Human Motion Prediction (HMP) has received increasing attention due to its wide applications. Despite the rapid progress in generative fields, existing methods often face challenges in learning continuous temporal dynamics and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Hua Yu , Yaqing Hou , Xu Gui , Shanshan Feng , Dongsheng Zhou , Qiang Zhang

We study fundamental theoretical aspects of probabilistic roadmaps (PRM) in the finite time (non-asymptotic) regime. In particular, we investigate how completeness and optimality guarantees of the approach are influenced by the underlying…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Matthew Tsao , Kiril Solovey , Marco Pavone

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have existed for a long time and the field is well-explored. The purpose of MCMC methods is to approximate a distribution through repeated sampling; most MCMC algorithms exhibit asymptotically optimal…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-13 Fareed Sheriff

Better machine understanding of pedestrian behaviors enables faster progress in modeling interactions between agents such as autonomous vehicles and humans. Pedestrian trajectories are not only influenced by the pedestrian itself but also…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-19 Abduallah Mohamed , Kun Qian , Mohamed Elhoseiny , Christian Claudel

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is an essential component in a wide range of AI applications such as autonomous driving and robotics. Existing methods usually assume the training and testing motions follow the same pattern while ignoring…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Yi Xu , Lichen Wang , Yizhou Wang , Yun Fu

In this comment on "Solving Statistical Mechanics Using Variational Autoregressive Networks" by Wu et al., we propose a subtle yet powerful modification of their approach. We show that the inherent sampling error of their method can be…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-03-27 Kim Nicoli , Pan Kessel , Nils Strodthoff , Wojciech Samek , Klaus-Robert Müller , Shinichi Nakajima

Spatial Transformer Networks (STNs) estimate image transformations that can improve downstream tasks by `zooming in' on relevant regions in an image. However, STNs are hard to train and sensitive to mis-predictions of transformations. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-16 Pola Schwöbel , Frederik Warburg , Martin Jørgensen , Kristoffer H. Madsen , Søren Hauberg

In Bayesian inference, Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a popular Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm known for its efficiency in sampling from complex probability distributions. However, its application to models with latent…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-15 Alaa Amri , Víctor Elvira , Amy L. Wilson

Sum-product networks (SPNs) are probabilistic models characterized by exact and fast evaluation of fundamental probabilistic operations. Its superior computational tractability has led to applications in many fields, such as machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-19 Soma Yokoi , Issei Sato

Predicting the future trajectories of pedestrians is a challenging problem that has a range of application, from crowd surveillance to autonomous driving. In literature, methods to approach pedestrian trajectory prediction have evolved,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Simone Zamboni , Zekarias Tilahun Kefato , Sarunas Girdzijauskas , Noren Christoffer , Laura Dal Col