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Human trajectory forecasting helps to understand and predict human behaviors, enabling applications from social robots to self-driving cars, and therefore has been heavily investigated. Most existing methods can be divided into model-free…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Jiangbei Yue , Dinesh Manocha , He Wang

Tremendous efforts have been put forth on predicting pedestrian trajectory with generative models to accommodate uncertainty and multi-modality in human behaviors. An individual's inherent uncertainty, e.g., change of destination, can be…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Yao Liu , Zesheng Ye , Rui Wang , Binghao Li , Quan Z. Sheng , Lina Yao

Making accurate motion prediction of surrounding agents such as pedestrians and vehicles is a critical task when robots are trying to perform autonomous navigation tasks. Recent research on multi-modal trajectory prediction, including…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-16 YingQiao Wang

Understanding and predicting the intention of pedestrians is essential to enable autonomous vehicles and mobile robots to navigate crowds. This problem becomes increasingly complex when we consider the uncertainty and multimodality of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-07-14 Stuart Eiffert , Kunming Li , Mao Shan , Stewart Worrall , Salah Sukkarieh , Eduardo Nebot

This paper introduces a Bayesian framework that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling, dimensionality reduction, and neural density estimation to efficiently handle inverse problems that (i) must be solved multiple times, and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Giacomo Bottacini , Matteo Torzoni , Andrea Manzoni

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is challenging due to its uncertain and multimodal nature. While generative adversarial networks can learn a distribution over future trajectories, they tend to predict out-of-distribution samples when the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-23 Patrick Dendorfer , Sven Elflein , Laura Leal-Taixé

This paper contributes to a development of randomized methods for neural networks. The proposed learner model is generated incrementally by stochastic configuration (SC) algorithms, termed as Stochastic Configuration Networks (SCNs). In…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-02-14 Dianhui Wang , Ming Li

Animals are known to make efficient probabilistic inferences based on uncertain and noisy information from the outside world. Although it is known that generic neural networks can perform near-optimal point estimation by probabilistic…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-10 Kohei Ichikawa , Asaki Kataoka

Partial Bayesian neural networks (pBNNs) have been shown to perform competitively with fully Bayesian neural networks while only having a subset of the parameters be stochastic. Using sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) samplers as the inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Andrew Millard , Joshua Murphy , Simon Maskell , Zheng Zhao

Recurrent neural networks are able to learn complex long-term relationships from sequential data and output a pdf over the state space. Therefore, recurrent models are a natural choice to address path prediction tasks, where a trained model…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-08-30 Ronny Hug , Stefan Becker , Wolfgang Hübner , Michael Arens

This paper presents a novel framework for accurate pedestrian intent prediction at intersections. Given some prior knowledge of the curbside geometry, the presented framework can accurately predict pedestrian trajectories, even in new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-26 Nikita Jaipuria , Golnaz Habibi , Jonathan P. How

Effective understanding of the environment and accurate trajectory prediction of surrounding dynamic obstacles are critical for intelligent systems such as autonomous vehicles and wheeled mobile robotics navigating in complex scenarios to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-07-30 Jiachen Li , Hengbo Ma , Masayoshi Tomizuka

Human behavior has the nature of indeterminacy, which requires the pedestrian trajectory prediction system to model the multi-modality of future motion states. Unlike existing stochastic trajectory prediction methods which usually use a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-28 Tianpei Gu , Guangyi Chen , Junlong Li , Chunze Lin , Yongming Rao , Jie Zhou , Jiwen Lu

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is a critical to avoid autonomous driving collision. But this prediction is a challenging problem due to social forces and cluttered scenes. Such human-human and human-space interactions lead to many…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-24 Xiong Dan

Monte Carlo methods are widely used for approximating complicated, multidimensional integrals for Bayesian inference. Population Monte Carlo (PMC) is an important class of Monte Carlo methods, which utilizes a population of proposals to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-30 Chaofan Huang , V. Roshan Joseph , Simon Mak

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC), or particle filtering, is a popular class of methods for sampling from an intractable target distribution using a sequence of simpler intermediate distributions. Like other importance sampling-based methods,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-18 Shixiang Gu , Zoubin Ghahramani , Richard E. Turner

In this work, an adaptive predictive control scheme for linear systems with unknown parameters and bounded additive disturbances is proposed. In contrast to related adaptive control approaches that robustly consider the parametric…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-03 Johannes Teutsch , Christopher Narr , Sebastian Kerz , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

The class of $\alpha$-stable distributions enjoys multiple practical applications in signal processing, finance, biology and other areas because it allows to describe interesting and complex data patterns, such as asymmetry or heavy tails,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-03 Eugenia Koblents , Joaquin Miguez , Marco A. Rodriguez , Alexandra M. Schmidt

In this paper we address the problem of Monte Carlo approximation of posterior probability distributions in stochastic kinetic models (SKMs). SKMs are multivariate Markov jump processes that model the interactions among species in…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-22 Eugenia Koblents , Joaquín Míguez

We propose a new method to estimate structural parameters in multi-way networks while controlling for rich structures of fixed effects. The method is based on a series of classification tasks and is agnostic to both the number and structure…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-08 Lucas Resende , Guillaume Lecué , Lionel Wilner , Philippe Choné