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This article studies bootstrap inference for high dimensional weakly dependent time series in a general framework of approximately linear statistics. The following high dimensional applications are covered: (1) uniform confidence band for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-08-12 Xianyang Zhang , Guang Cheng

Time-series anomaly detection is an important task and has been widely applied in the industry. Since manual data annotation is expensive and inefficient, most applications adopt unsupervised anomaly detection methods, but the results are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-02 Hong Guo , Yujing Wang , Jieyu Zhang , Zhengjie Lin , Yunhai Tong , Lei Yang , Luoxing Xiong , Congrui Huang

Statistical inference for stochastic processes with time-varying spectral characteristics has received considerable attention in recent decades. We develop a nonparametric test for stationarity against the alternative of a smoothly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Efstathios Paparoditis

We propose a new asymptotic test to assess the stationarity of a time series' mean that is applicable in the presence of both heteroscedasticity and short-range dependence. Our test statistic is composed of Gini's mean difference of local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-23 Sara Kristin Schmidt

The LISA mission will likely be a signal dominated detector, such that one challenge is the separation of the different astrophysical sources, and to distinguish between them and the instrumental noise. One of the goals of LISA is to probe…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-01-19 Martina Muratore , Daniele Vetrugno , Stefano Vitale , Olaf Hartwig

The violation of a Bell inequality is the paradigmatic example of device-independent quantum information: the nonclassicality of the data is certified without the knowledge of the functioning of devices. In practice, however, all Bell…

TF-IDF is a classical formula that is widely used for identifying important terms within documents. We show that TF-IDF-like scores arise naturally from the test statistic of a penalized likelihood-ratio test setup capturing word burstiness…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Zeyad Ahmed , Paul Sheridan , Michael McIsaac , Aitazaz A. Farooque

We propose a Hausman test for the correct specification of unobserved heterogeneity in both linear and nonlinear fixed-effects panel data models. The null hypothesis is that heterogeneity is either time-invariant or, symmetrically,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-03 Claudia Pigini , Alessandro Pionati , Francesco Valentini

We study the problem of coincidence detection in time series data, where we aim to determine whether the appearance of simultaneous or near-simultaneous events in two time series is indicative of some shared underlying signal or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Ruiting Liang , Samuel Dyson , Rina Foygel Barber , Daniel E. Holz

While recent advancements in foundation models have significantly impacted machine learning, rigorous tests on the performance of time series foundation models (TSFMs) remain largely underexplored. This paper presents an empirical study…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-09 Syamantak Datta Gupta

Detection of the number of signals corrupted by high-dimensional noise is a fundamental problem in signal processing and statistics. This paper focuses on a general setting where the high-dimensional noise has an unknown complicated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-16 Xiucai Ding , Fan Yang

Inferring behavior model of a running software system is quite useful for several automated software engineering tasks, such as program comprehension, anomaly detection, and testing. Most existing dynamic model inference techniques are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-31 Mohammad Jafar Mashhadi , Hadi Hemmati

We consider the problem of reconstructing a discrete-time signal (sequence) with continuous-valued components corrupted by a known memoryless channel. When performance is measured using a per-symbol loss function satisfying mild regularity…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2008-07-23 Kamakshi Sivaramakrishnan , Tsachy Weissman

In this paper, we study a class of nonlinear space-time fractional stochastic kinetic equations in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with Gaussian noise which is white in time and homogeneous in space. This type of equation constitutes an extension of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Junfeng Liu

The proposed Goodness--of--Fit (GoF) test for checking the linear autocorrelation model in a functional time series is based on an empirical process, whose residual marks and covariate index set are in a separable Hilbert space \mathbb{H}.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-29 W. González-Manteiga , M. D. Ruiz-Medina , M. Febrero-Bande

This article proposes a test procedure that can be used to test ML models and ML-based systems independently of the actual training process. In this way, the typical quality statements such as accuracy and precision of these models and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Hans-Werner Wiesbrock , Jürgen Großmann

A/B testing plays a central role in data-driven product development, guiding launch decisions for new features and designs. However, treatment effect estimates are often noisy due to short horizons, early stopping, and slowly accumulating…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Xinran Li

High-dimensional auto-regressive models provide a natural way to model influence between $M$ actors given multi-variate time series data for $T$ time intervals. While there has been considerable work on network estimation, there is limited…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-13 Lili Zheng , Garvesh Raskutti

We propose a simple and intuitive test for arguably the most prevailing hypothesis in statistics that data are independent and identically distributed (IID), based on a newly introduced off-diagonal sequential U-process. This IID test is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-30 Tongyu Li , Jonas Mueller , Fang Yao

The problems of the construction of the asymptotically distribution free goodness-of-fit tests for three models of stochastic processes are considered. The null hypothesis for all models is composite parametric. All tests are based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-01 Yury A. Kutoyants