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In the "stochastic $\delta N$ formalism", the statistics of the inflationary density perturbation are obtained from the first passage distribution of a stochastic process. We develop a general framework in which to evaluate the rare tail of…

We consider the problem of deterministic load balancing of tokens in the discrete model. A set of $n$ processors is connected into a $d$-regular undirected network. In every time step, each processor exchanges some of its tokens with each…

We study standard and higher-order birth-death processes on fully connected networks, within the perspective of large-deviation theory (also referred to as Wentzel-Kramers-Brillouin (WKB) method in some contexts). We obtain a general…

A properly scaled critical Galton-Watson process converges to a continuous state critical branching process $\xi(\cdot)$ as the number of initial individuals tends to infinity. We extend this classical result by allowing for overlapping…

We propose and investigate a one-parameter probabilistic mixture of one-dimensional elementary cellular automata under the guise of a model for the dynamics of a single-species unstructured population with nonoverlapping generations in…

We introduce and study a class of probabilistic generative models, where the latent object is a finite-dimensional diffusion process on a finite time interval and the observed variable is drawn conditionally on the terminal point of the…

We introduce a rather natural family of non-uniform distributions on $PF_n$, $n\in\mathbb{N}$, the set of parking functions of length $n$. One of the motivations for this comes from a similar situation in the context of integer partitions.…

In this paper, we utilize the framework of Markov processes to attain a more probabilistic perspective on the theory of transfer operators. In doing so, we establish a functional central limit theorem (FLCT) for an $O(N)$ model associated…

We introduce a novel training principle for probabilistic models that is an alternative to maximum likelihood. The proposed Generative Stochastic Networks (GSN) framework is based on learning the transition operator of a Markov chain whose…

In the critical beta-splitting model of a random $n$-leaf rooted tree, clades are recursively (from the root) split into sub-clades, and a clade of $m$ leaves is split into sub-clades containing $i$ and $m-i$ leaves with probabilities…

The subject of this paper is the evolution of the concept of information processing in regular structures based on multi-level processing in nested cellular automata. The essence of the proposed model is a discrete space-time containing…

Tree-child networks are an important class of phylogenetic network used to model reticulate evolutionary processes. These networks have attracted increasing attention from researchers with interests in both combinatorics and algorithms. A…

Let $X=(X_1,X_2,\ldots)$ be a sequence of random variables with values in a standard space $(S,\mathcal{B})$. Suppose \begin{gather*} X_1\sim\nu\quad\text{and}\quad P\bigl(X_{n+1}\in\cdot\mid…

Suppose $k$ balls are dropped into $n$ boxes independently with uniform probability, where $n, k$ are large with ratio approximately equal to some positive real $\lambda$. The maximum box count has a counterintuitive behavior: first of all,…

Many populations, e.g. of cells, bacteria, viruses, or replicating DNA molecules, start small, from a few individuals, and grow large into a noticeable fraction of the environmental carrying capacity $K$. Typically, the elements of the…

We consider a system of interacting diffusions labeled by a geographic space that is given by the hierarchical group $\Omega_N$ of order $N\in\mathbb{N}$. Individuals live in colonies and are subject to resampling and migration as long as…

Discrete random structures are important tools in Bayesian nonparametrics and the resulting models have proven effective in density estimation, clustering, topic modeling and prediction, among others. In this paper, we consider nested…

We investigate subcritical Galton-Watson branching processes with immigration in a random environment. Using Goldie's implicit renewal theory we show that under general Cram\'er condition the stationary distribution has a power law tail. We…

Fertility plans, measured by the number of planned children, have been found to be affected by education and family background via complex tail dependencies. This challenge was previously met with the use of non-parametric jittering…

In this paper we show a functional central limit theorem for the sum of the first $\lfloor t n \rfloor$ diagonal elements of $f(Z)$ as a function in $t$, for $Z$ a random real symmetric or complex Hermitian $n\times n$ matrix. The result…