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For centuries, national economies created wealth by engaging in international trade and production. The resulting international supply networks not only increase wealth for countries, but also create systemic risk: economic shocks,…

General Economics · Economics 2021-12-02 Abhijit Chakraborty , Tobias Reisch , Christian Diem , Stefan Thurner

We study the correlation structure of firm growth rates. We show that most firms are correlated because of their exposure to a common factor but that firms linked through the supply chain exhibit a stronger correlation on average than firms…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-04 Luca Mungo , José Moran

We propose a novel measure to investigate firms' product specialisation: product coreness, that captures the centrality of exported products within the firm's export basket. We study product coreness using firm-product level data between…

General Economics · Economics 2023-03-23 Filippo Bontadini , Mercedes Campi , Marco Dueñas

What impact does import competition have on firms' production organizational choices? Existing literature has predominantly focused on the relationship between import competition and firms' global production networks, with less attention…

General Economics · Economics 2024-08-27 Xin Du , Xiaoxia Shi

This paper examines how adverse supply-side shocks in domestic input markets influence firms' vertical outward foreign direct investment (OFDI) decisions. While the theoretical basis for cost-driven OFDI is well established, empirical…

General Economics · Economics 2025-09-01 Sajid Anwar , Sizhong Sun

I study the role of industries' position in supply chains in shaping the transmission of final demand shocks. First, I use a novel shift-share design leveraging destination-specific final demand shocks and a new measure of destination…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-08 Alessandro Ferrari

This paper derives a closed-form expression linking aggregate markups on imported inputs to concentration in a model of firm-to-firm trade with two-sided market power. Our theory extends standard oligopoly insights in two dimensions. First,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-04 Alviarez Vanessa , Fioretti Michele , Kikkawa Ken , Morlacco Monica

This paper develops a novel method to estimate firm-specific market-entry thresholds in international economics, allowing fixed costs to vary across firms alongside productivity. Our framework models market entry as an interaction between…

General Economics · Economics 2026-01-15 Peter H. Egger , Yulong Wang

Using a rolling windows analysis of filtered and aligned stock index returns from 40 countries during the period 2006-2014, we construct Granger causality networks and investigate the ensuing structure of the relationships by studying…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-05 Stefan Lyocsa , Tomas Vyrost , Eduard Baumohl

The large-scale organization of the world economies is exhibiting increasingly levels of local heterogeneity and global interdependency. Understanding the relation between local and global features calls for analytical tools able to uncover…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 M. Angeles Serrano , Marian Boguna , Alessandro Vespignani

We develop a theoretical framework to investigate the link between rising scale economies and stagnating productivity. Our model features heterogeneous firms, imperfect competition, and firm selection. We demonstrate that scale economies…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-04 Joel Kariel , Anthony Savagar

We examine how monetary shocks spread throughout an economic model characterized by sticky prices and general equilibrium, where the pricing strategies of firms are interlinked, fostering a mutually beneficial relationship. In this dynamic…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-04-01 Lambert Dong

We develop a model where firms determine the price at which they sell their differentiable goods, the volume that they produce, and the inputs (types and amounts) that they purchase from other firms. A steady-state production network…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-04-23 Tuong Manh Vu , Ernesto Carrella , Robert Axtell , Omar A. Guerrero

Pesticides are important agricultural inputs to increase agricultural productivity and improve food security. The availability of pesticides is partially achieved through international trade. However, economies involved in the international…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-21 Jian-An Li , Li Wang , Wen-Jie Xie , Wei-Xing Zhou

Buyer--seller relationships among firms can be regarded as a longitudinal network in which the connectivity pattern evolves as each firm receives productivity shocks. Based on a data set describing the evolution of buyer--seller links among…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-25 Ryohei Hisano , Tsutomu Watanabe , Takayuki Mizuno , Takaaki Ohnishi , Didier Sornette

To estimate the reaction of economies to political interventions or external disturbances, input-output (IO) tables -- constructed by aggregating data into industrial sectors -- are extensively used. However, economic growth, robustness,…

General Economics · Economics 2023-02-23 Christian Diem , András Borsos , Tobias Reisch , János Kertész , Stefan Thurner

How does supply uncertainty affect the structure of supply chain networks? To answer this question we consider a setting where retailers and suppliers must establish a costly relationship with each other prior to engaging in trade.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Victor Amelkin , Rakesh Vohra

Intra-firm trade describes the trade between affiliated firms and is increasingly important as global production is fragmented. However, statistics and data on global intra-firm trade patterns are widely unavailable. This study proposes a…

General Economics · Economics 2023-08-24 Matthew Smith , Yasaman Sarabi

We consider extensive data on Spanish international trades and population composition and, through statistical-mechanics and graph-theory driven analysis, we unveil that the social network made of native and foreign-born individuals plays a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-02-02 Elena Agliari , Adriano Barra , Andrea Galluzzi , Francisco Requena-Silvente , Daniele Tantari

While consolidation strategies form the backbone of many supply chain optimisation problems, exploitation of multi-tier material relationships through consolidation remains an understudied area, despite being a prominent feature of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Vinod Kumar Chauhan , Muhannad Alomari , James Arney , Ajith Kumar Parlikad , Alexandra Brintrup