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The explosion of Time Series (TS) data, driven by advancements in technology, necessitates sophisticated analytical methods. Modern management systems increasingly rely on analyzing this data, highlighting the importance of effcient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-27 Seyedeh Azadeh Fallah Mortezanejad , Ruochen Wang

Accurate and reliable forecasting models are critical for guiding public health responses and policy decisions during pandemics such as COVID-19. Retrospective evaluation of model performance is essential for improving epidemic forecasting…

Electric energy is difficult to store, requiring stricter control over its generation, transmission, and distribution. A persistent challenge in power systems is maintaining real-time equilibrium between electricity demand and supply.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Aurausp Maneshni

In response to the significant challenges facing the retail sector, including inefficient queue management, poor demand forecasting, and ineffective marketing, this paper introduces an innovative approach utilizing cutting-edge machine…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-02 A. Hossam , A. Ramadan , M. Magdy , R. Abdelwahab , S. Ashraf , Z. Mohamed

Sparse and intermittent demand forecasting in supply chains presents a critical challenge, as frequent zero-demand periods hinder traditional model accuracy and impact inventory management. We propose and evaluate a Model-Router framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Qiwen Zhang

The quest for accurate economic forecasting has traditionally been dominated by econometric models, which most of the times rely on the assumptions of linear relationships and stationarity in of the data. However, the complex and often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Bogdan Oancea

In practice, several time series exhibit long-range dependence or persistence in their observations, leading to the development of a number of estimation and prediction methodologies to account for the slowly decaying autocorrelations. The…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-09 Javier E. Contreras-Reyes , Wilfredo Palma

Merging satellite and gauge data with machine learning produces high-resolution precipitation datasets, but uncertainty estimates are often missing. We addressed the gap of how to optimally provide such estimates by benchmarking six…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-23 Georgia Papacharalampous , Hristos Tyralis , Nikolaos Doulamis , Anastasios Doulamis

Predicting the movement of the stock market and other assets has been valuable over the past few decades. Knowing how the value of a certain sector market may move in the future provides much information for investors, as they use that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-26 Jerick Shi , Burton Hollifield

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a global public health crisis that has been declared a pandemic by World Health Organization. Forecasting country-wise COVID-19 cases is necessary to help policymakers and healthcare providers prepare…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Arko Barman

Consumer demand forecasting is of high importance for many e-commerce applications, including supply chain optimization, advertisement placement, and delivery speed optimization. However, reliable time series sales forecasting for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Dan Kalifa , Uriel Singer , Ido Guy , Guy D. Rosin , Kira Radinsky

Data mining is the process in which we extract the different patterns and useful Information from large dataset. According to London police, crimes are immediately increases from beginning of 2017 in different borough of London. No useful…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-03-19 Khawar Islam , Akhter Raza

Accurate and fast demand forecast is one of the hot topics in supply chain for enabling the precise execution of the corresponding downstream processes (inbound and outbound planning, inventory placement, network planning, etc). We develop…

In the current context of Big Data, the nature of many forecasting problems has changed from predicting isolated time series to predicting many time series from similar sources. This has opened up the opportunity to develop competitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Hansika Hewamalage , Christoph Bergmeir , Kasun Bandara

Precise financial series predicting has long been a difficult problem because of unstableness and many noises within the series. Although Traditional time series models like ARIMA and GARCH have been researched and proved to be effective in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-11 Xin-Yao Qian

An emerging number of modern applications involve forecasting time series data that exhibit both short-time dynamics and long-time seasonality. Specifically, time series with multiple seasonality is a difficult task with comparatively fewer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-31 Tianyang Xie , Jie Ding

We introduce Galerkin-ARIMA and Galerkin-SARIMA, a projection-based extension of classical ARIMA/SARIMA that replaces rigid linear lag operators with low-dimensional Galerkin basis expansions while preserving the familiar AR-MA…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-03 Haojie Liu , Zihan Lin

In the fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) industry, deciding where to place physical assets, such as commercial beverage coolers, can directly impact revenue growth and execution efficiency. Although churn prediction and demand forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Renato Castro , Rodrigo Paredes , Douglas Kahn

Quantitative models are an important decision-making factor for policy makers and investors. Predicting an economic recession with high accuracy and reliability would be very beneficial for the society. This paper assesses machine learning…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-01 Kian Tehranian

This is a method report for the Kaggle data competition 'Predict future sales'. In this paper, we propose a rather simple approach to future sales predicting based on feature engineering, Random Forest Regressor and ensemble learning. Its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-22 Yuwei Zhang , Xin Wu , Chenyang Gu , Yueqi Xie
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