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This paper studies multiplicative inflation: the complementary scaling of the state covariance in the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF). Firstly, error sources in the EnKF are catalogued and discussed in relation to inflation; nonlinearity is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-03-27 Patrick N. Raanes , Marc Bocquet , Alberto Carrassi

This paper is concerned with optimality and stability analysis of a family of ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) algorithms. EnKF is commonly used as an alternative to the Kalman filter for high-dimensional problems, where storing the covariance…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-22 Amirhossein Taghvaei , Prashant G. Mehta , Tryphon T. Georgiou

Data assimilation (DA) is a key component of many forecasting models in science and engineering. DA allows one to estimate better initial conditions using an imperfect dynamical model of the system and noisy/sparse observations available…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Ebrahim Nabizadeh , Eviatar Bach , Pedram Hassanzadeh

Concurrent observation technologies have made high-precision real-time data available in large quantities. Data assimilation (DA) is concerned with how to combine this data with physical models to produce accurate predictions. For…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Jana de Wiljes , Xin T. Tong

We propose a dynamical low rank approximation of the Kalman-Bucy process (DLR-KBP), which evolves the filtering distribution of a partially continuously observed linear SDE on a small time-varying subspace at reduced computational cost.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Fabio Nobile , Thomas Trigo Trindade

This paper focuses on designing a consistent and efficient filter for map-based visual-inertial localization. First, we propose a new Lie group with its algebra, based on which a novel invariant extended Kalman filter (invariant EKF) is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-04-27 Zhuqing Zhang , Yang Song , Shoudong Huang , Rong Xiong , Yue Wang

This paper derives a contact-aided inertial navigation observer for a 3D bipedal robot using the theory of invariant observer design. Aided inertial navigation is fundamentally a nonlinear observer design problem; thus, current solutions…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-05-22 Ross Hartley , Maani Ghaffari Jadidi , Jessy W. Grizzle , Ryan M. Eustice

In this work we employ importance sampling (IS) techniques to track a small over-threshold probability of a running maximum associated with the solution of a stochastic differential equation (SDE) within the framework of ensemble Kalman…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-30 Nadhir Ben Rached , Erik von Schwerin , Gaukhar Shaimerdenova , Raul Tempone

Variational inference (VI) combined with Bayesian nonlinear filtering produces state-of-the-art results for latent time-series modeling. A body of recent work has focused on sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) and its variants, e.g., forward…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-10 Tsuyoshi Ishizone , Tomoyuki Higuchi , Kazuyuki Nakamura

We introduce a computationally efficient variant of the model-based ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF). We propose two changes to the original formulation. First, we phrase the setup in terms of precision matrices instead of covariance matrices,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-01 Håkon Gryvill , Håkon Tjelmeland

Continuously tracking the movement of a fluid or a plume in the subsurface is a challenge that is often encountered in applications, such as tracking a plume of injected CO$_2$ or of a hazardous substance. Advances in monitoring techniques…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-19 Judith Y. Li , Sivaram Ambikasaran , Eric F. Darve , Peter K. Kitanidis

For modelling geophysical systems, large-scale processes are described through a set of coarse-grained dynamical equations while small-scale processes are represented via parameterizations. This work proposes a method for identifying the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-08-01 Manuel Pulido , Pierre Tandeo , Marc Bocquet , Alberto Carrassi , Magdalena Lucini

This paper is concerned with optimal control problems for control systems in continuous time, and interacting particle system methods designed to construct approximate control solutions. Particular attention is given to the linear quadratic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-11 Anant Joshi , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Prashant G. Mehta , Sean P. Meyn

Despite the cheap availability of computing resources enabling faster Monte Carlo simulations, the potential benefits of particle filtering in revealing accurate statistical information on the imprecisely known model parameters or modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-07 Saikat Sarkar , Debasish Roy

Currently, more and more machine learning (ML) surrogates are being developed for computationally expensive physical models. In this work we investigate the use of a Multi-Fidelity Ensemble Kalman Filter (MF-EnKF) in which the low-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Jeffrey van der Voort , Martin Verlaan , Hanne Kekkonen

For linear discrete state-space (LDSS) models, under certain conditions, the linear least mean squares filter estimate has a convenient recursive predictor/corrector format, aka the Kalman filter (KF). The aim of the paper is to introduce…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2017-11-07 Eric Chaumette , Francois Vincent

We study parameter estimation for non-global parameters in a low-dimensional chaotic model using the local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF). By modifying existing techniques for using observational data to estimate global…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-09-03 Thomas Bellsky , Jesse Berwald , Lewis Mitchell

Recent advances in counter-adversarial systems have garnered significant research attention to inverse filtering from a Bayesian perspective. For example, interest in estimating the adversary's Kalman filter tracked estimate with the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-15 Himali Singh , Arpan Chattopadhyay , Kumar Vijay Mishra

Kalman filter-based algorithms are fundamental for mobile robots, as they provide a computationally efficient solution to the challenging problem of state estimation. However, they rely on two main assumptions that are difficult to satisfy…

State estimation that combines observational data with mathematical models is central to many applications and is commonly addressed through filtering methods, such as ensemble Kalman filters. In this article, we examine the signal-tracking…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Nazanin Abedini , Jana de Wiljes , Svetlana Dubinkina