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Forecast combination involves using multiple forecasts to create a single, more accurate prediction. Recently, feature-based forecasting has been employed to either select the most appropriate forecasting models or to optimize the weights…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-14 Giovanni Felici , Antonio M. Sudoso

Participatory budgeting is a method of collectively understanding and addressing spending priorities where citizens vote on how a budget is spent, it is regularly run to improve the fairness of the distribution of public funds.…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-07-24 Hugh Adams , Srijoni Majumdar , Evangelos Pournaras

Ad ranking systems must simultaneously optimize multiple objectives including click-through rate (CTR), conversion rate (CVR), revenue, and user experience metrics. However, production systems face critical challenges: score scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Xikai Yang , Sebastian Sun , Yilin Li , Yue Xing , Ming Wang , Yang Wang

We study and formulate arbitrage in display advertising. Real-Time Bidding (RTB) mimics stock spot exchanges and utilises computers to algorithmically buy display ads per impression via a real-time auction. Despite the new automation, the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-15 Weinan Zhang , Jun Wang

Cost-per-click (CPC) in paid search is a volatile auction outcome generated by a competitive landscape that is only partially observable from any single advertiser's history. Using Google Ads auction logs from a concentrated car-rental…

Motivated by online display ad exchanges, we study a setting in which an exchange repeatedly interacts with bidders who have quota, making decisions about which subsets of bidders are called to participate in ad-slot-specific auctions. A…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-02-08 Hossein Azari , William D. Heavlin , Hoda Heidari , Max Lin , Sonia Todorova

Online advertising has been the major monetization approach for Internet companies. Advertisers invest budgets to bid for real-time impressions to gain direct and indirect returns. Existing works have been concentrating on optimizing direct…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-03-12 Hao Liu , Yunze Li , Qinyu Cao , Guang Qiu , Jiming Chen

Advertisers increasingly use automated bidding to optimize their ad campaigns on online advertising platforms. Autobidding optimizes an advertiser's objective subject to various constraints, e.g. average ROI and budget constraints. In this…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Gagan Aggarwal , Giannis Fikioris , Mingfei Zhao

The design of effective online caching policies is an increasingly important problem for content distribution networks, online social networks and edge computing services, among other areas. This paper proposes a new algorithmic toolbox for…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2022-09-28 Naram Mhaisen , George Iosifidis , Douglas Leith

With the rapid growth of online investment platforms, funds can be distributed to individual customers online. The central issue is to match funds with potential customers under constraints. Most mainstream platforms adopt the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Xing Tang , Yunpeng Weng , Fuyuan Lyu , Dugang Liu , Xiuqiang He

Most machine learning and data analytics applications, including performance engineering in software systems, require a large number of annotations and labelled data, which might not be available in advance. Acquiring annotations often…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2023-09-21 Peter Samoaa , Linus Aronsson , Antonio Longa , Philipp Leitner , Morteza Haghir Chehreghani

In this work, we investigate the online learning problem of revenue maximization in ad auctions, where the seller needs to learn the click-through rates (CTRs) of each ad candidate and charge the price of the winner through a pay-per-click…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Zhe Feng , Christopher Liaw , Zixin Zhou

Sponsored search auctions are commonly modeled as an assignment of a fixed set of slots (positions) to a set of advertisers, with welfare maximization being reducible to a standard matching problem. Motivated by modern ad formats, we study…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Eleni Batziou , Georgios Birmpas , Georgios Chionas , Piotr Krysta

The study of online algorithms with machine-learned predictions has gained considerable prominence in recent years. One of the common objectives in the design and analysis of such algorithms is to attain (Pareto) optimal tradeoffs between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Spyros Angelopoulos , Christoph Dürr , Alex Elenter , Yanni Lefki

Real-time bidding (RTB) has become a critical way of online advertising. In RTB, an advertiser can participate in bidding ad impressions to display its advertisements. The advertiser determines every impression's bidding price according to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Mengjuan Liu , Jinyu Liu , Zhengning Hu , Yuchen Ge , Xuyun Nie

Accurately predicting the probabilities of user feedback, such as clicks and conversions, is critical for advertisement ranking and bidding. However, there often exist unwanted mismatches between predicted probabilities and true likelihoods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Yuang Zhao , Chuhan Wu , Qinglin Jia , Hong Zhu , Jia Yan , Libin Zong , Linxuan Zhang , Zhenhua Dong , Muyu Zhang

On-demand service platforms face a challenging problem of forecasting a large collection of high-frequency regional demand data streams that exhibit instabilities. This paper develops a novel forecast framework that is fast and scalable,…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-03 Yu Jeffrey Hu , Jeroen Rombouts , Ines Wilms

Sales pipeline analysis is fundamental to proactive management of an enterprize's sales pipeline and critical for business success. In particular, win propensity prediction, which involves quantitatively estimating the likelihood that…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2015-02-24 Junchi Yan , Min Gong , Changhua Sun , Jin Huang , Stephen M. Chu

Efficient methods to evaluate new algorithms are critical for improving interactive bandit and reinforcement learning systems such as recommendation systems. A/B tests are reliable, but are time- and money-consuming, and entail a risk of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-04 Yusuke Narita , Shota Yasui , Kohei Yata

Firms implementing digital advertising campaigns face a complex problem in determining the right match between their advertising creatives and target audiences. Typical solutions to the problem have leveraged non-experimental methods, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-06 Tong Geng , Xiliang Lin , Harikesh S. Nair
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