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Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a natural framework for modelling intrinsic stochasticity inherent in many continuous-time physical processes. When such processes are observed in multiple individuals or experimental units,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-19 Gavin A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Richard J. Boys , Chris Sherlock

This work proposes an extension of neural ordinary differential equations (NODEs) by introducing an additional set of ODE input parameters to NODEs. This extension allows NODEs to learn multiple dynamics specified by the input parameter…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-11-17 Kookjin Lee , Eric J. Parish

Neural Posterior Estimation (NPE) enables rapid parameter inference for complex simulators with intractable likelihoods. NPE trains an inference network to estimate a probability density over parameters given data, typically assumed to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Jan Boelts , Cornelius Schröder , Jonas Beck , Jakob H. Macke , Michael Deistler , Daniel Gedon

Normative modeling has recently been introduced as a promising approach for modeling variation of neuroimaging measures across individuals in order to derive biomarkers of psychiatric disorders. Current implementations rely on Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-16 Seyed Mostafa Kia , Andre F. Marquand

Motivated by two case studies using primary care records from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink, we describe statistical methods that facilitate the analysis of tall data, with very large numbers of observations. Our focus is on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-14 Kirsty Rhodes , Rebecca Turner , Rupert Payne , Ian White

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a complex neurodegenerative disorder characterized by the progressive accumulation of misfolded proteins, leading to cognitive decline. This study presents a novel stochastic modelling approach to simulate the…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-06 Alec MacIver , Hina Shaheen

Neural differential equations offer a powerful approach for learning dynamics from data. However, they do not impose known constraints that should be obeyed by the learned model. It is well-known that enforcing constraints in surrogate…

Neural ordinary differential equations (Neural ODEs) are an effective framework for learning dynamical systems from irregularly sampled time series data. These models provide a continuous-time latent representation of the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Edward De Brouwer , Rahul G. Krishnan

We propose a novel multi-task neural network approach for estimating distributional treatment effects (DTE) in randomized experiments. While DTE provides more granular insights into the experiment outcomes over conventional methods focusing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Tomu Hirata , Undral Byambadalai , Tatsushi Oka , Shota Yasui , Shingo Uto

This paper introduces a novel hybrid model combining Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) and Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) to simulate infectious disease dynamics across geographic regions. By leveraging the spatial detail of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Kristina Kehrer , Martin Weiser , Tim Conrad

In this study, we propose parameter-varying neural ordinary differential equations (NODEs) where the evolution of model parameters is represented by partition-of-unity networks (POUNets), a mixture of experts architecture. The proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Kookjin Lee , Nathaniel Trask

Neural ordinary differential equations (NODEs) have been proven useful for learning non-linear dynamics of arbitrary trajectories. However, current NODE methods capture variations across trajectories only via the initial state value or by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Ilze Amanda Auzina , Çağatay Yıldız , Sara Magliacane , Matthias Bethge , Efstratios Gavves

We introduce a mixed-effects model to learn spatiotempo-ral patterns on a network by considering longitudinal measures distributed on a fixed graph. The data come from repeated observations of subjects at different time points which take…

Real-world multi-agent systems are often dynamic and continuous, where the agents co-evolve and undergo changes in their trajectories and interactions over time. For example, the COVID-19 transmission in the U.S. can be viewed as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-04 Zijie Huang , Jeehyun Hwang , Junkai Zhang , Jinwoo Baik , Weitong Zhang , Dominik Wodarz , Yizhou Sun , Quanquan Gu , Wei Wang

In many clinical trials studying neurodegenerative diseases such as Parkinson's disease (PD), multiple longitudinal outcomes are collected to fully explore the multidimensional impairment caused by this disease. If the outcomes deteriorate…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-18 Jue Wang , Sheng Luo , Liang Li

In many studies of human diseases, multiple omic datasets are measured. Typically, these omic datasets are studied one by one with the disease, thus the relationship between omics are overlooked. Modeling the joint part of multiple omics…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-02 Zhujie Gu , Said el Bouhaddani , Jeanine Houwing-Duistermaat , Hae-Won Uh

Modeling the dynamics of cellular differentiation is fundamental to advancing the understanding and treatment of diseases associated with this process, such as cancer. With the rapid growth of single-cell datasets, this has also become a…

Deep learning has an increasing impact to assist research, allowing, for example, the discovery of novel materials. Until now, however, these artificial intelligence techniques have fallen short of discovering the full differential equation…

Hierarchical data with multiple observations per group is ubiquitous in empirical sciences and is often analyzed using mixed-effects regression. In such models, Bayesian inference gives an estimate of uncertainty but is analytically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Alex Kipnis , Marcel Binz , Eric Schulz

The neural Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) model has shown success in learning complex continuous-time processes from observations on discrete time stamps. In this work, we consider the modeling and forecasting of time series data that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-05 Yixuan Tan , Liyan Xie , Xiuyuan Cheng