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Neural ordinary differential equations (NODEs) are geometric deep learning models based on dynamical systems and flows generated by vector fields on manifolds. Despite numerous successful applications, particularly within the flow matching…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Per Åhag , Alexander Friedrich , Fredrik Ohlsson , Viktor Vigren Näslund

Modeling the dynamics of probability distributions from time-dependent data samples is a fundamental problem in many fields, including digital health. The goal is to analyze how the distribution of a biomarker, such as glucose, changes over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-18 Antonio Álvarez-López , Marcos Matabuena

Neural ordinary differential equations (neural ODE) are powerful continuous-time machine learning models for depicting the behavior of complex dynamical systems, but their verification remains challenging due to limited reachability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-09 Abdelrahman Sayed Sayed , Pierre-Jean Meyer , Mohamed Ghazel

Disease progression modeling aims to characterize and predict how a patient's disease complications worsen over time based on longitudinal electronic health records (EHRs). For diseases such as type 2 diabetes, accurate progression modeling…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Tingsong Xiao , Yao An Lee , Zelin Xu , Yupu Zhang , Zibo Liu , Yu Huang , Jiang Bian , Jingchuan Guo , Zhe Jiang

Disease progression modeling provides a robust framework to identify long-term disease trajectories from short-term biomarker data. It is a valuable tool to gain a deeper understanding of diseases with a long disease trajectory, such as…

Personalized prediction is a machine learning approach that predicts a person's future observations based on their past labeled observations and is typically used for sequential tasks, e.g., to predict daily mood ratings. When making…

Analyzing the motion of multiple biological agents, be it cells or individual animals, is pivotal for the understanding of complex collective behaviors. With the advent of advanced microscopy, detailed images of complex tissue formations…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-11-19 Masahito Uwamichi , Simon K. Schnyder , Tetsuya J. Kobayashi , Satoshi Sawai

Brain network analysis is vital for understanding the neural interactions regarding brain structures and functions, and identifying potential biomarkers for clinical phenotypes. However, widely used brain signals such as Blood Oxygen Level…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-02 Kaiqiao Han , Yi Yang , Zijie Huang , Xuan Kan , Yang Yang , Ying Guo , Lifang He , Liang Zhan , Yizhou Sun , Wei Wang , Carl Yang

Dynamical systems in the life sciences are often composed of complex mixtures of overlapping behavioral regimes. Cellular subpopulations may shift from cycling to equilibrium dynamics or branch towards different developmental fates. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Nathan Quiblier , Roy Friedman , Matthew Ricci

Multilevel data are prevalent in many real-world applications. However, it remains an open research problem to identify and justify a class of models that flexibly capture a wide range of multilevel data. Motivated by the versatility of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-03 Tsz Chai Fung , Spark C. Tseung

Hybrid models composing mechanistic ODE-based dynamics with flexible and expressive neural network components have grown rapidly in popularity, especially in scientific domains where such ODE-based modeling offers important interpretability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Bob Junyi Zou , Matthew E. Levine , Dessi P. Zaharieva , Ramesh Johari , Emily B. Fox

Estimating counterfactual outcomes over time has the potential to unlock personalized healthcare by assisting decision-makers to answer ''what-iF'' questions. Existing causal inference approaches typically consider regular, discrete-time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Nabeel Seedat , Fergus Imrie , Alexis Bellot , Zhaozhi Qian , Mihaela van der Schaar

Effective learning from electronic health records (EHR) data for prediction of clinical outcomes is often challenging because of features recorded at irregular timesteps and loss to follow-up as well as competing events such as death or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-11 Intae Moon , Stefan Groha , Alexander Gusev

Characterization of long-term disease dynamics, from disease-free to end-stage, is integral to understanding the course of neurodegenerative diseases such as Parkinson's and Alzheimer's; and ultimately, how best to intervene. Natural…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-12 Dan Li , Samuel Iddi , Wesley K. Thompson , Michael C. Donohue

Linear mixed-effects model (LMM) is a cornerstone of longitudinal data analysis, but is limited to adeptly make heterogeneous analyses predictable under both group-specific fixed effects and subject-specific random effects. To address this…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Xinkai Yue , Xiaodong Yan , Haohui Han , Liya Fu

The long-term progression of neurodegenerative diseases is commonly conceptualized as a spatiotemporal diffusion process that consists of a graph diffusion process across the structural brain connectome and a localized reaction process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Tiantian He , Keyue Jiang , An Zhao , Anna Schroder , Elinor Thompson , Sonja Soskic , Frederik Barkhof , Daniel C. Alexander

When multiple measures are collected repeatedly over time, redundancy typically exists among responses. The envelope method was recently proposed to reduce the dimension of responses without loss of information in regression with…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-25 Yuyang Shi , Linquan Ma , Lan Liu

Neural ordinary differential equations (NODE) have been proposed as a continuous depth generalization to popular deep learning models such as Residual networks (ResNets). They provide parameter efficiency and automate the model selection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-24 Srinivas Anumasa , P. K. Srijith

Multiscale dynamical systems, modeled by high-dimensional stiff ordinary differential equations (ODEs) with wide-ranging characteristic timescales, arise across diverse fields of science and engineering, but their numerical solvers often…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-14 Junjie Yao , Yuxiao Yi , Liangkai Hang , Weinan E , Weizong Wang , Yaoyu Zhang , Tianhan Zhang , Zhi-Qin John Xu

This paper studies the problem of modeling multi-agent dynamical systems, where agents could interact mutually to influence their behaviors. Recent research predominantly uses geometric graphs to depict these mutual interactions, which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Xiao Luo , Yiyang Gu , Huiyu Jiang , Hang Zhou , Jinsheng Huang , Wei Ju , Zhiping Xiao , Ming Zhang , Yizhou Sun