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Halting a computer or biological virus outbreak requires a detailed understanding of the timing of the interactions between susceptible and infected individuals. While current spreading models assume that users interact uniformly in time,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-26 Alexei Vazquez , Racz Balazs , Lukacs Andras , Albert-Laszlo Barabasi

The paper is concerned with the equilibrium distributions of continuous-time density dependent Markov processes on the integers. These distributions are known typically to be approximately normal, and the approximation error, as measured in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-06 Sanda N. Socoll , A. D. Barbour

Count-weighted temporal networks often exhibit unequal dispersion in the edge weights, which cannot be fully explained by modelling observational heterogeneity through latent factors in the conditional mean. Therefore, we propose new…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Giulia Carallo , Roberto Casarin , Antonio Peruzzi

Considered are the large $N$, or large intensity, forms of the distribution of the length of the longest increasing subsequences for various models. Earlier work has established that after centring and scaling, the limit laws for these…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-06-09 Peter J. Forrester , Anthony Mays

Consider a stationary renewal point process on the real line and divide each of the segments it defines in a proportion given by \iid realisations of a fixed distribution $G$ supported by [0,1]. We ask ourselves for which interpoint…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-12 Anton Muratov , Sergei Zuyev

We establish the general equivalence between rare event process for arbitrary continuous functions whose maximal values are achieved on non-trivial sets, and the entry times distribution for arbitrary measure zero sets. We then use it to…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-05-27 Fan Yang

In this paper we deal with the classical problem of random cover times. We investigate the distribution of the time it takes for a Poisson process of cylinders to cover a set $A \subset \mathbb{R}^d.$ This Poisson process of cylinders is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-17 Erik I. Broman , Filipe Mussini

We first study crossing statistics in random connection models (RCM) built on marked Poisson point processes on $\mathbb R^d$. Under general assumptions, we show exponential tail bounds for the number of crossings of a box contained in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Alessandra Faggionato , Ivailo Hartarsky

In this short note we define a Poissonian model of directed random graphs which generalises the undirected Poissonian random graph process introduced in [Norros, I.; Reittu, H. "On a conditionally Poissonian graph process." Adv. in Appl.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-11 Christian Mönch

In a previous work, two of the authors proposed a new proof of a well known convergence result for the scaled elementary connected vacant component in the high intensity Boolean model towards the Crofton cell of the Poisson hyperplane…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-29 Pierre Calka , Julien Michel , Katy Paroux

We use the Stein-Chen method to obtain compound Poisson approximations for the distribution of the number of subgraphs in a generalised stochastic block model which are isomorphic to some fixed graph. This model generalises the classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-05 Matthew Coulson , Robert E. Gaunt , Gesine Reinert

We develop an efficient posterior sampling scheme for the Poisson INGARCH models. The proposed method is based on the approximation of the posterior density that exploits the Poisson limit of the negative binomial distribution. It allows us…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Yixuan Fan , Zhengwei Liu , Fukang Zhu

Several new mutation-periodic quivers of period higher than 1 are introduced as well as the associated discrete dynamical systems. The reduction of these systems is developed using either a presymplectic or a Poisson approach. The…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-02-10 Inês Cruz , M. Esmeralda Sousa-Dias

Data on count processes arise in a variety of applications, including longitudinal, spatial and imaging studies measuring count responses. The literature on statistical models for dependent count data is dominated by models built from…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-08 Antonio Canale , David B. Dunson

The Poisson-sampling technique eliminates dependencies among symbol appearances in a random sequence. It has been used to simplify the analysis and strengthen the performance guarantees of randomized algorithms. Applying this method to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-05-30 Jayadev Acharya , Ashkan Jafarpour , Alon Orlitsky , Ananda Theertha Suresh

Gradients have been exploited in proposal distributions to accelerate the convergence of Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms on discrete distributions. However, these methods require a natural differentiable extension of the target discrete…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Yue Xiang , Dongyao Zhu , Bowen Lei , Dongkuan Xu , Ruqi Zhang

Mixed Poisson distributions provide a flexible approach to the analysis of count data with overdispersion, zero inflation, or heavy tails. Since the Poisson mean must be nonnegative, the mixing distribution is typically assumed to have…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-20 F. William Townes

This paper introduces a convenient strategy for coding and predicting sequences of independent, identically distributed random variables generated from a large alphabet of size $m$. In particular, the size of the sample is allowed to be…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-01-17 Xiao Yang , Andrew R. Barron

We present a new modelling approach for longitudinal count data that is motivated by the increasing availability of longitudinal RNA-sequencing experiments. The distribution of RNA-seq counts typically exhibits overdispersion,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-27 Mirko Signorelli , Pietro Spitali , Roula Tsonaka

1) We introduce random discrete Morse theory as a computational scheme to measure the complicatedness of a triangulation. The idea is to try to quantify the frequence of discrete Morse matchings with a certain number of critical cells. Our…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2014-04-21 Bruno Benedetti , Frank H. Lutz