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The piecewise exponential model is a flexible non-parametric approach for time-to-event data, but extrapolation beyond final observation times typically relies on random walk priors and deterministic knot locations, resulting in unrealistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Luke Hardcastle , Samuel Livingstone , Gianluca Baio

The Mat\'ern hard-core processes are classical examples for point process models obtained from (marked) Poisson point processes. Points of the original Poisson process are deleted according to a dependent thinning rule, resulting in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-19 Martin Dirrler , Martin Schlather

Cure rate models are mostly used to study data arising from cancer clinical trials. Its use in the context of infectious diseases has not been explored well. In 2008, Tournoud and Ecochard first proposed a mechanistic formulation of cure…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-10 Suvra Pal

We study the contact process on a class of geometric random graphs with scale-free degree distribution, defined on a Poisson point process on $\mathbb{R}^d$. This class includes the age-dependent random connection model and the soft Boolean…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Peter Gracar , Arne Grauer

This paper focuses on the size-biased permutation of $n$ independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) positive random variables. This is a finite dimensional analogue of the size-biased permutation of ranked jumps of a subordinator…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-30 Jim Pitman , Ngoc M. Tran

Probability distributions produced by the cross-entropy loss for ordinal classification problems can possess undesired properties. We propose a straightforward technique to constrain discrete ordinal probability distributions to be unimodal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-23 Christopher Beckham , Christopher Pal

A new distribution named intensive natural distribution is introduced with the intent of consolidating statistics and empirical data. Based on the probability derived from the Bernoulli distribution, this method extended also Poisson…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-05 Alessandro Felluga , Stefano Tiziani

The Poisson distribution of order $k$ is a special case of a compound Poisson distribution. Its mean and variance are known, but results for its median and mode are difficult to obtain, although a few cases have been solved and upper/lower…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-28 S. R. Mane

We consider three new classes of exponential dispersion models of discrete probability distributions which are defined by specifying their variance functions in their mean value parameterization. In a previous paper (Bar-Lev and Ridder,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-01 Shaul K. Bar-Lev , Ad Ridder

The discrete distribution of the length of longest increasing subsequences in random permutations of $n$ integers is deeply related to random matrix theory. In a seminal work, Baik, Deift and Johansson provided an asymptotics in terms of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Folkmar Bornemann

In this paper, an alternative mixed Poisson distribution is proposed by amalgamating Poisson distribution and a modification of the Quasi Lindley distribution. Some fundamental structural properties of the new distribution, namely the shape…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Ramajeyam Tharshan , Pushpakanthie Wijekoon

In this paper we present a novel approach towards variance reduction for discretised diffusion processes. The proposed approach involves specially constructed control variates and allows for a significant reduction in the variance for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-19 Denis Belomestny , Stefan Häfner , Tigran Nagapetyan , Mikhail Urusov

We propose a novel statistical inference methodology for multiway count data that is corrupted by false zeros that are indistinguishable from true zero counts. Our approach consists of zero-truncating the Poisson distribution to neglect all…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-10 Oscar López , Daniel M. Dunlavy , Richard B. Lehoucq

We consider a weighted sum of a series of independent Poisson random variables and show that it results in a new compound Poisson distribution which includes the Poisson distribution and Poisson distribution of order k. An explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-18 Palaniappan Vellaisamy , Tomoyuki Ichiba

We consider the asymptotic distribution of a cell in a 2 x ... x 2 contingency table as the fixed marginal totals tend to infinity. The asymptotic order of the cell variance is derived and a useful diagnostic is given for determining…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Quan Zhou

Random discrete distributions, say $F,$ known as species sampling models, represent a rich class of models for classification and clustering, in Bayesian statistics and machine learning. They also arise in various areas of probability and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-21 Lanelot F. James

We propose a model for epidemic spreading on a finite complex network with a restriction to at most one contamination per time step. Because of a highly discrete character of the process, the analysis cannot use the continous approximation,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-07-23 Wojciech Ganczarek

We develop exact Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for discretely-sampled, directly and indirectly observed diffusions. The qualification "exact" refers to the fact that the invariant and limiting distribution of the Markov chains is the…

Poisson Voronoi diagrams are useful for modeling and describing various natural patterns and for generating random lattices. Although this particular space tessellation is intensively studied by mathematicians, in two- and three dimensional…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-02-20 F. Jarai-Szabo , Z. Neda

Inspired by strict-monotonicity criteria for the time constant in first passage percolation, we investigate convex ordering of point processes in relation to the time constant in first contact percolation. In a nutshell, first contact…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Benedikt Jahnel , Jonas Köppl , Lukas Lüchtrath , Anh Duc Vu