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Related papers: Machine Learning Approaches to Solar-Flare Forecas…

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This study addresses the prediction of geomagnetic disturbances by exploiting machine learning techniques. Specifically, the Long-Short Term Memory recurrent neural network, which is particularly suited for application over long time…

A deep learning model is often considered a black-box model, as its internal workings tend to be opaque to the user. Because of the lack of transparency, it is challenging to understand the reasoning behind the model's predictions. Here, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Adam O. Rawashdeh , Jason T. L. Wang , Katherine G. Herbert

It is an active topic to investigate the schemes based on machine learning (ML) methods for detecting pulsars as the data volume growing exponentially in modern surveys. To improve the detection performance, input features into an ML model…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-12-27 Haitao Lin , Xiangru Li , Ziying Luo

We describe a new tool developed for solar flare forecasting on the base of some sunspot group properties. Assuming that the flare frequency follows the Poisson statistics, this tool uses a database containing the morphological…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-05-16 M. Falco , P. Costa , P. Romano

In this work we leverage a weakly-labeled dataset of spectral data from NASAs IRIS satellite for the prediction of solar flares using the Multiple Instance Learning (MIL) paradigm. While standard supervised learning models expect a label…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-11-21 Cédric Huwyler , Martin Melchior

Machine learning models, such as neural networks, decision trees, random forests, and gradient boosting machines, accept a feature vector, and provide a prediction. These models learn in a supervised fashion where we provide feature vectors…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Jeff Heaton

The uncertainty of the energy generated by photovoltaic systems incurs an additional cost for a guaranteed, reliable supply of energy (i.e., energy storage). This investigation aims to decrease the additional cost by introducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-19 Guillermo Terrén-Serrano , Manel Martínez-Ramón

A demonstrated failure mode for operational solar flare forecasting is the inability to forecast flares that occur near, or just beyond, the solar limb. To address this shortcoming, we develop a "4pi" full-heliosphere event forecasting…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-09 K. D. Leka , Eric L. Wagner , Lisa Upton , Bibhuti Kumar Jha , Kiran Jain , Sara Petty

The added value of machine learning for weather and climate applications is measurable through performance metrics, but explaining it remains challenging, particularly for large deep learning models. Inspired by climate model hierarchies,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-01-22 Tom Beucler , Arthur Grundner , Sara Shamekh , Peter Ukkonen , Matthew Chantry , Ryan Lagerquist

A solar active region can significantly disrupt the Sun Earth space environment, often leading to severe space weather events such as solar flares and coronal mass ejections. As a consequence, the automatic classification of active region…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-24 Edoardo Legnaro , Sabrina Guastavino , Michele Piana , Anna Maria Massone

Load forecasting is an essential task performed within the energy industry to help balance supply with demand and maintain a stable load on the electricity grid. As supply transitions towards less reliable renewable energy generation, smart…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Christopher Briggs , Zhong Fan , Peter Andras

Machine learning (ML) enables the development of interatomic potentials that promise the accuracy of first principles methods while retaining the low cost and parallel efficiency of empirical potentials. While ML potentials traditionally…

Solar flares are intense bursts of electromagnetic radiation, which occur due to a rapid destabilization and reconnection of the magnetic field. While pre-flare signatures and trends have been investigated from magnetic observations prior…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-06-18 Kara L. Kniezewski , Emily I. Mason , Daniel J. Emmons , Kyle E. Fitch , Seth H. Garland

Indications are presented for a significant connection between the relative motion of the planets and the appearance of energetic solar flares. Based on the records of the last four decades, the analysis highlights remarkable features and a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-08-25 Eleni Petrakou , Iasonas Topsis Giotis

Explaining complex or seemingly simple machine learning models is an important practical problem. We want to explain individual predictions from a complex machine learning model by learning simple, interpretable explanations. Shapley values…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-07 Kjersti Aas , Martin Jullum , Anders Løland

Accurate wind speed prediction is crucial for designing and selecting sites for offshore wind farms. This paper investigates the effectiveness of various machine learning models in predicting offshore wind power for a site near the Gulf of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-19 Linhan Fang , Fan Jiang , Ann Mary Toms , Xingpeng Li

Complex machine learning models are deployed in several critical domains including healthcare and autonomous vehicles nowadays, albeit as functional black boxes. Consequently, there has been a recent surge in interpreting decisions of such…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-01-20 Zijian Zhang , Jaspreet Singh , Ujwal Gadiraju , Avishek Anand

In heliophysics research, predicting solar flares is crucial due to their potential to impact both space-based systems and Earth's infrastructure substantially. Magnetic field data from solar active regions, recorded by solar imaging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Onur Vural , Shah Muhammad Hamdi , Soukaina Filali Boubrahimi

Recently supervised machine learning has been ascending in providing new predictive approaches for chemical, biological and materials sciences applications. In this Perspective we focus on the interplay of machine learning algorithm with…

Machine learning (ML) is a revolutionary technology with demonstrable applications across multiple disciplines. Within the Earth science community, ML has been most visible for weather forecasting, producing forecasts that rival modern…