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Continuous-time long-term event prediction plays an important role in many application scenarios. Most existing works rely on autoregressive frameworks to predict event sequences, which suffer from error accumulation, thus compromising…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-03 Wang-Tao Zhou , Zhao Kang , Ling Tian

The exact estimation of latent variable models with big data is known to be challenging. The latents have to be integrated out numerically, and the dimension of the latent variables increases with the sample size. This paper develops a…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-27 Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Didier Nibbering , Dan Zhu

We present an explicit method for simulating stochastic differential equations (SDEs) that have variable diffusion coefficients and satisfy the detailed balance condition with respect to a known equilibrium density. In Tupper and Yang…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-06-27 Paul Tupper , Xin Yang

Variable selection for high-dimensional, highly correlated data has long been a challenging problem, often yielding unstable and unreliable models. We propose a resample-aggregate framework that exploits diffusion models' ability to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-20 Minjie Wang , Xiaotong Shen , Wei Pan

This study aims to improve the spatial representation of uncertainties when regressing surface wind speeds from large-scale atmospheric predictors for sub-seasonal forecasting. Sub-seasonal forecasting often relies on large-scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Ganglin Tian , Anastase Alexandre Charantonis , Camille Le Coz , Alexis Tantet , Riwal Plougonven

This paper addresses differential inference in time-varying parametric probabilistic models, like graphical models with changing structures. Instead of estimating a high-dimensional model at each time point and estimating changes later, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-08 Daniel J. Williams , Leyang Wang , Qizhen Ying , Song Liu , Mladen Kolar

Transductive methods are useful in prediction problems when the training dataset is composed of a large number of unlabeled observations and a smaller number of labeled observations. In this paper, we propose an approach for developing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-16 Pierre Alquier , Mohamed Hebiri

Inference-time alignment for diffusion models aims to adapt a pre-trained reference diffusion model toward a target distribution without retraining the reference score network, thereby preserving the generative capacity of the reference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Jinyuan Chang , Chenguang Duan , Yuling Jiao , Yi Xu , Jerry Zhijian Yang

Adapting pretrained diffusion models to downstream objectives such as inverse problems often requires expensive test-time guidance or optimization. We propose a principled framework for generating high-quality reward-aligned samples at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Kushagra Pandey , Farrin Marouf Sofian , Jan Niklas Groeneveld , Felix Draxler , Stephan Mandt

Diffusion Transformers (DiTs) are a powerful yet underexplored class of generative models compared to U-Net-based diffusion architectures. We propose TIDE-Temporal-aware sparse autoencoders for Interpretable Diffusion transformErs-a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-13 Victor Shea-Jay Huang , Le Zhuo , Yi Xin , Zhaokai Wang , Fu-Yun Wang , Yuchi Wang , Renrui Zhang , Peng Gao , Hongsheng Li

We discuss the identification of a time-dependent potential in a time-fractional diffusion model from a boundary measurement taken at a single point. Theoretically, we establish a conditional Lipschitz stability for this inverse problem.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Siyu Cen , Kwancheol Shin , Zhi Zhou

Interpretable classification of time series presents significant challenges in high dimensions. Traditional feature selection methods in the frequency domain often assume sparsity in spectral density matrices (SDMs) or their inverses, which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-19 Sarbojit Roy , Malik Shahid Sultan , Hernando Ombao

Although numerical weather forecasting methods have dominated the field, recent advances in deep learning methods, such as diffusion models, have shown promise in ensemble weather forecasting. However, such models are typically…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Kevin Valencia , Ziyang Liu , Justin Cui

Generating high-quality synthetic time series is a fundamental yet challenging task across domains such as forecasting and anomaly detection, where real data can be scarce, noisy, or costly to collect. Unlike static data generation,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 MohammadReza EskandariNasab , Shah Muhammad Hamdi , Soukaina Filali Boubrahimi

We study a discrete denoising diffusion framework that integrates a sample-efficient estimator of single-site conditionals with round-robin noising and denoising dynamics for generative modeling over discrete state spaces. Rather than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Karthik Elamvazhuthi , Abhijith Jayakumar , Andrey Y. Lokhov

This paper studies a Dantzig-selector type regularized estimator for linear functionals of high-dimensional linear processes. Explicit rates of convergence of the proposed estimator are obtained and they cover the broad regime from i.i.d.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-23 Xiaohui Chen , Mengyu Xu , Wei Biao Wu

The debiased estimator is a crucial tool in statistical inference for high-dimensional model parameters. However, constructing such an estimator involves estimating the high-dimensional inverse Hessian matrix, incurring significant…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-18 Jiyuan Tu , Weidong Liu , Xiaojun Mao , Mingyue Xu

This paper is devoted to the distributed continuous-time optimization problem with time-varying objective functions and time-varying nonlinear inequality constraints. Different from most studied distributed optimization problems with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Shan Sun , Wei Ren

A new implicit-explicit local differential transform method (IELDTM) is derived here for time integration of the nonlinear advection-diffusion processes represented by (2+1)-dimensional Burgers equation. The IELDTM is adaptively constructed…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Huseyin Tunc , Murat Sari

In this paper, we consider statistical inference with generalized linear models in high dimensions under a longitudinal clustered data framework. Specifically, we propose a de-sparsified version of an initial Dantzig-type regularized…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Nathan Huey