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Spatial-temporal prediction is a critical problem for intelligent transportation, which is helpful for tasks such as traffic control and accident prevention. Previous studies rely on large-scale traffic data collected from sensors. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Chung-Yi Lin , Hung-Ting Su , Shen-Lung Tung , Winston H. Hsu

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is an essential problem in many fields. Accurate forecasting results can effectively help decision-making. To date, many MTS forecasting methods have been proposed and widely applied. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Ziheng Duan , Haoyan Xu , Yida Huang , Jie Feng , Yueyang Wang

Accurate multistep forecasting of node-level attributes on dynamic graphs is critical for applications ranging from financial trust networks to biological networks. Existing spatiotemporal graph neural networks typically assume a static…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Namrata Banerji , Tanya Berger-Wolf

In recent years, there has been an increasing interest in the use of graph neural networks (GNNs) for analyzing dynamic graphs, which are graphs that evolve over time. However, there is still a lack of understanding of how different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Rishu Verma , Ashmita Bhattacharya , Sai Naveen Katla

Optimal decision-making in social settings is often based on forecasts from time series (TS) data. Recently, several approaches using deep neural networks (DNNs) such as recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have been introduced for TS…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Philippe Chatigny , Jean-Marc Patenaude , Shengrui Wang

This paper proposes a spatiotemporal graph neural network-based performance prediction algorithm to address the challenge of forecasting performance fluctuations in distributed backend systems with multi-level service call structures. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Zhihao Xue , Yun Zi , Nia Qi , Ming Gong , Yujun Zou

Deep Learning has been successfully applied to many application domains, yet its advantages have been slow to emerge for time series forecasting. For example, in the well-known Makridakis (M) Competitions, hybrids of traditional statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-26 John A. Miller , Mohammed Aldosari , Farah Saeed , Nasid Habib Barna , Subas Rana , I. Budak Arpinar , Ninghao Liu

Neural ODEs (NODEs) have emerged as powerful tools for modeling time series data, offering the flexibility to adapt to varying input scales and capture complex dynamics. However, they face significant challenges: first, their reliance on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Muhao Guo , Yang Weng

Accurate long-range prediction of geophysical systems is difficult due to strongly nonlinear dynamics, the high computational cost of full-physics simulations, and the error accumulation that arise when one-step autoregressive surrogates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Zesheng Liu , Maryam Rahnemoonfar

Accurate weather forecasts are important for disaster prevention, agricultural planning, etc. Traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) methods offer physically interpretable high-accuracy predictions but are computationally expensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Yuan Gao , Hao Wu , Ruiqi Shu , Huanshuo Dong , Fan Xu , Rui Ray Chen , Yibo Yan , Qingsong Wen , Xuming Hu , Kun Wang , Jiahao Wu , Qing Li , Hui Xiong , Xiaomeng Huang

Intermittent time series, characterised by the presence of a significant amount of zeros, constitute a large percentage of inventory items in supply chain. Probabilistic forecasts are needed to plan the inventory levels; the predictive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-21 Stefano Damato , Nicolò Rubattu , Dario Azzimonti , Giorgio Corani

Graph neural ordinary differential equations (Graph ODEs) extend graph learning from discrete message-passing layers to continuous-time representation flows. While it supports adaptive long-range propagation, we show that Graph ODEs with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Qinhan Hou , Jing Tang

Building machine-learning models for estimating traffic flows from OD matrices requires an appropriate design of the training process and a training dataset spanning over multiple regimes and dynamics. As machine-learning models rely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Serio Agriesti , Guido Cantelmo , Francisco Camara Pereira

Time-Series Forecasting based on Cumulative Data (TSFCD) is a crucial problem in decision-making across various industrial scenarios. However, existing time-series forecasting methods often overlook two important characteristics of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Zhichao Chen , Leilei Ding , Zhixuan Chu , Yucheng Qi , Jianmin Huang , Hao Wang

Dynamic multi-relational graphs are an expressive relational representation for data enclosing entities and relations of different types, and where relationships are allowed to vary in time. Addressing predictive tasks over such data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Asma Sattar , Georgios Deligiorgis , Marco Trincavelli , Davide Bacciu

Time series forecasting remains a challenging task for foundation models due to temporal heterogeneity, high dimensionality, and the lack of inherent symbolic structure. In this work, we propose DRAGON (Discrete Representation and Augmented…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Mert Onur Cakiroglu , Idil Bilge Altun , Mehmet Dalkilic , Elham Buxton , Hasan Kurban

Multivariate time series prediction has applications in a wide variety of domains and is considered to be a very challenging task, especially when the variables have correlations and exhibit complex temporal patterns, such as seasonality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-07 Yuya Jeremy Ong , Mu Qiao , Divyesh Jadav

Multivariate time series analysis is a vital but challenging task, with multidisciplinary applicability, tackling the characterization of multiple interconnected variables over time and their dependencies. Traditional methodologies often…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Vanessa Freitas Silva , Maria Eduarda Silva , Pedro Ribeiro , Fernando Silva

The metro ridership prediction has always received extensive attention from governments and researchers. Recent works focus on designing complicated graph convolutional recurrent network architectures to capture spatial and temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-13 Chuyu Huang

Graph-based spatio-temporal neural networks are effective to model the spatial dependency among discrete points sampled irregularly from unstructured grids, thanks to the great expressiveness of graph neural networks. However, these models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-22 Haitao Lin , Guojiang Zhao , Lirong Wu , Stan Z. Li
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