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Accurately predicting the behavior of complex dynamical systems, characterized by high-dimensional multivariate time series(MTS) in interconnected sensor networks, is crucial for informed decision-making in various applications to minimize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Sagar Srinivas Sakhinana , Krishna Sai Sudhir Aripirala , Shivam Gupta , Venkataramana Runkana

In recent years, there has been a surge in the prevalence of high- and multi-dimensional temporal data across various scientific disciplines. These datasets are characterized by their vast size and challenging potential for analysis. Such…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Vanessa Freitas Silva , Maria Eduarda Silva , Pedro Ribeiro , Fernando Silva

There has been a recent surge of interest in time series modeling using the Transformer architecture. However, forecasting multivariate time series with Transformer presents a unique challenge as it requires modeling both temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-04 Yu-Hsiang Lan , Eric K. Oermann

With the expansion of cities over time, URT (Urban Rail Transit) networks have also grown significantly. Demand prediction plays an important role in supporting planning, scheduling, fleet management, and other operational decisions. In…

Multivariate time series forecasting enables the prediction of future states by leveraging historical data, thereby facilitating decision-making processes. Each data node in a multivariate time series encompasses a sequence of multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Xinlong Zhao , Liying Zhang , Tianbo Zou , Yan Zhang

Multivariate time series forecasting is a challenging task because the data involves a mixture of long- and short-term patterns, with dynamic spatio-temporal dependencies among variables. Existing graph neural networks (GNN) typically model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-08 Zhuoling Li , Gaowei Zhang , Lingyu Xu , Jie Yu

Time series forecasting lies at the core of important real-world applications in many fields of science and engineering. The abundance of large time series datasets that consist of complex patterns and long-term dependencies has led to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Nancy Xu , Chrysoula Kosma , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Forecasting the behaviour of complex dynamical systems such as interconnected sensor networks characterized by high-dimensional multivariate time series(MTS) is of paramount importance for making informed decisions and planning for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Sagar Srinivas Sakhinana , Shivam Gupta , Krishna Sai Sudhir Aripirala , Venkataramana Runkana

Recent years have witnessed a rapid growth of applying deep spatiotemporal methods in traffic forecasting. However, the prediction of origin-destination (OD) demands is still a challenging problem since the number of OD pairs is usually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Ruixing Zhang , Liangzhe Han , Boyi Liu , Jiayuan Zeng , Leilei Sun

An emerging way of tackling the dimensionality issues arising in the modeling of a multivariate process is to assume that the inherent data structure can be captured by a graph. Nevertheless, though state-of-the-art graph-based methods have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-13 Andreas Loukas , Nathanael Perraudin

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs) have proven to be a powerful modeling tool for approximating (interpolation) and forecasting (extrapolation) irregularly sampled time series data. However, their performance degrades…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-29 Hammad A. Ayyubi , Yi Yao , Ajay Divakaran

Graphs are a commonly used construct for representing relationships between elements in complex high dimensional datasets. Many real-world phenomenon are dynamic in nature, meaning that any graph used to represent them is inherently…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-11-21 Stephen Bonner , John Brennan , Ibad Kureshi , Georgios Theodoropoulos , Andrew Stephen McGough , Boguslaw Obara

We incorporate prior graph topology information into a Neural Controlled Differential Equation (NCDE) to predict the future states of a dynamical system defined on a graph. The informed NCDE infers the future dynamics at the vertices of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Michael Detzel , Gabriel Nobis , Jackie Ma , Wojciech Samek

We introduce Multivariate Multiscale Graph-based Dispersion Entropy (mvDEG), a novel, computationally efficient method for analyzing multivariate time series data in graph and complex network frameworks, and demonstrate its application in…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-05-02 John Stewart Fabila-Carrasco , Chao Tan , Javier Escudero

Modeling continuous-time dynamics constitutes a foundational challenge, and uncovering inter-component correlations within complex systems holds promise for enhancing the efficacy of dynamic modeling. The prevailing approach of integrating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Lanlan Chen , Kai Wu , Jian Lou , Jing Liu

Neural ordinary differential equations are an attractive option for modelling temporal dynamics. However, a fundamental issue is that the solution to an ordinary differential equation is determined by its initial condition, and there is no…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-06 Patrick Kidger , James Morrill , James Foster , Terry Lyons

Given a set of synchronous time series, each associated with a sensor-point in space and characterized by inter-series relationships, the problem of spatiotemporal forecasting consists of predicting future observations for each point.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Ivan Marisca , Cesare Alippi , Filippo Maria Bianchi

Machine Learning surrogates for Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD), particularly Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) and Transformers, have become a new important approach for accelerating physics simulations. However, we identify a critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Paul Garnier , Vincent Lannelongue , Elie Hachem

Multivariate time series classification (MTSC) is an important data mining task, which can be effectively solved by popular deep learning technology. Unfortunately, the existing deep learning-based methods neglect the hidden dependencies in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Huaiyuan Liu , Xianzhang Liu , Donghua Yang , Zhiyu Liang , Hongzhi Wang , Yong Cui , Jun Gu

Forecasting irregularly sampled time series with missing values is a crucial task for numerous real-world applications such as healthcare, astronomy, and climate sciences. State-of-the-art approaches to this problem rely on Ordinary…