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Emergence of new diseases and elimination of existing diseases is a key public health issue. In mathematical models of epidemics, such phenomena involve the process of infections and recoveries passing through a critical threshold where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-23 Svante Janson , Malwina Luczak , Peter Windridge , Thomas House

Epidemics-inspired techniques have received huge attention in recent years from the distributed systems and networking communities. These algorithms and protocols rely on probabilistic message replication and redundancy to ensure reliable…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2007-11-20 Salvatore Scellato , Cecilia Mascolo , Mirco Musolesi , Vito Latora

In this paper, we outline the theory of epidemic percolation networks and their use in the analysis of stochastic SIR epidemic models on undirected contact networks. We then show how the same theory can be used to analyze stochastic SIR…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-24 Eben Kenah , James M. Robins

Models of epidemics over networks have become popular, as they describe the impact of individual behavior on infection spread. However, they come with high computational complexity, which constitutes a problem in case large-scale scenarios…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-10 Davide Zorzenon , Fabio Molinari , Joerg Raisch

Networks of contacts capable of spreading infectious diseases are often observed to be highly heterogeneous, with the majority of individuals having fewer contacts than the mean, and a significant minority having relatively very many…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-21 César Parra-Rojas , Thomas House , Alan J. McKane

The spread of an infection on a real-world social network is determined by the interplay of two processes: the dynamics of the network, whose structure changes over time according to the encounters between individuals, and the dynamics on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-28 Lorenzo Coviello , Massimo Franceschetti , Manuel Garcia-Herranz , Iyad Rahwan

We consider the problem of controlling the propagation of an epidemic outbreak in an arbitrary contact network by distributing vaccination resources throughout the network. We analyze a networked version of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-03-19 Victor M. Preciado , Michael Zargham , Chinwendu Enyioha , Ali Jadbabaie , George Pappas

Network datasets appear across a wide range of scientific fields, including biology, physics, and the social sciences. To enable data-driven discoveries from these networks, statistical inference techniques like estimation and hypothesis…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Arpan Kumar , Minh Tang , Srijan Sengupta

A practical approach to protecting networks against epidemic processes such as spreading of infectious diseases, malware, and harmful viral information is to remove some influential nodes beforehand to fragment the network into small…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-28 Teruyoshi Kobayashi , Naoki Masuda

We investigate the expected time to extinction in the susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) model of disease spreading. Rather than using stochastic simulations, or asymptotic calculations in network models, we solve the extinction time…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-26 Petter Holme , Liubov Tupikina

This paper develops and analyzes optimization models for rapid detection of viruses in large contact networks. In the model, a virus spreads in a stochastic manner over an undirected connected graph, under various assumptions on the spread…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-16 Sudesh K. Agrawal , John J. Hasenbein

This paper considers the problem of designing non-pharmaceutical intervention (NPI) strategies, such as masking and social distancing, to slow the spread of a viral epidemic. We formulate the problem of jointly minimizing the infection…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-02 Shiyu Cheng , Luyao Niu , Bhaskar Ramasubramanian , Andrew Clark , Radha Poovendran

Adding edges between layers of interconnected networks is an important way to optimize the spreading dynamics. While previous studies mostly focus on the case of adding a single edge, the theoretical optimal strategy for adding multiple…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-09 Liming Pan , Wei Wang , Shimin Cai , Tao Zhou

Mathematical models are instrumental to forecast the spread of pathogens and to evaluate the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical measures. A plethora of optimal strategies has been recently developed to minimize either the infected peak…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-11 J. Sereno , A. L. Anderson , A. Ferramosca , E. A. Hernandez-Vargas , A. H. Gonzalez

We investigate the information-theoretical limits of inference tasks in epidemic spreading on graphs in the thermodynamic limit. The typical inference tasks consist in computing observables of the posterior distribution of the epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-12-25 Alfredo Braunstein , Louise Budzynski , Matteo Mariani

In the real world, many complex systems interact with other systems. In addition, the intra- or inter-systems for the spread of information about infectious diseases and the transmission of infectious diseases are often not random, but with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-08-23 Junbo Jia , Zhen Jin , Xinchu Fu

We study the problem of estimating the origin of an epidemic outbreak -- given a contact network and a snapshot of epidemic spread at a certain time, determine the infection source. Finding the source is important in different contexts of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-20 Andrey Y. Lokhov , Marc Mézard , Hiroki Ohta , Lenka Zdeborová

We consider a two-sample hypothesis testing problem, where the distributions are defined on the space of undirected graphs, and one has access to only one observation from each model. A motivating example for this problem is comparing the…

One of the popular dynamics on complex networks is the epidemic spreading. An epidemic model describes how infections spread throughout a network. Among the compartmental models used to describe epidemics, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-14 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Caterina Scoglio

Given a graph G, a budget k and a misinformation seed set S, Influence Minimization (IMIN) via node blocking aims to find a set of k nodes to be blocked such that the expected spread of S is minimized. This problem finds important…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Jinghao Wang , Yanping Wu , Xiaoyang Wang , Ying Zhang , Lu Qin , Wenjie Zhang , Xuemin Lin
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