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Related papers: Observational Learning with Competitive Prices

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I prove that competitive market outcomes require computational intractability. If P = NP, firms can efficiently solve the collusion detection problem, identifying deviations from cooperative agreements in complex, noisy markets and thereby…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Philip Z. Maymin

We study sequential social learning with endogenous information acquisition when agents have a taste for nonconformity. Each agent observes predecessors' actions, chooses whether to acquire a private signal (and its precision), and then…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-01-05 Georgy Lukyanov , Vasilii Ivanik

In a prediction market, individuals can sequentially place bets on the outcome of a future event. This leaves a trail of personal probabilities for the event, each being conditional on the current individual's private background knowledge…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 A. Philip Dawid , Julia Mortera

Pricing algorithms have demonstrated the capability to learn tacit collusion that is largely unaddressed by current regulations. Their increasing use in markets, including oligopolistic industries with a history of collusion, calls for…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Paul Friedrich , Barna Pásztor , Giorgia Ramponi

We study the problem of decision-making in the setting of a scarcity of shared resources when the preferences of agents are unknown a priori and must be learned from data. Taking the two-sided matching market as a running example, we focus…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Xiaowu Dai , Michael I. Jordan

This study extends Blackwell's (1953) comparison of information to a sequential social learning model, where agents make decisions sequentially based on both private signals and the observed actions of others. In this context, we introduce…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-03-27 Hiroto Sato , Konan Shimizu

This paper studies Federated Learning (FL) for binary classification of volatile financial market trends. Using a shared Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) classifier, we compare three scenarios: (i) a centralized model trained on the union of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Manuel Noseda , Alberto De Luca , Lukas Von Briel , Nathan Lacour

While precise data observation is essential for the learning processes of predictive models, it can be challenging owing to factors such as insufficient observation accuracy, high collection costs, and privacy constraints. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Kosuke Sugiyama , Masato Uchida

We initiate the study of markets for private data, though the lens of differential privacy. Although the purchase and sale of private data has already begun on a large scale, a theory of privacy as a commodity is missing. In this paper, we…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2011-11-30 Arpita Ghosh , Aaron Roth

We study strategic interactions in a broker-mediated market in which agents learn and exploit each other's private information. A broker provides liquidity to an informed trader and to noise traders while managing inventory in a lit market.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-21 Alif Aqsha , Fayçal Drissi , Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt

Multi-party learning provides solutions for training joint models with decentralized data under legal and practical constraints. However, traditional multi-party learning approaches are confronted with obstacles such as system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-26 Yuan Gao , Jiawei Li , Maoguo Gong , Yu Xie , A. K. Qin

We study the problem of online learning in two-sided non-stationary matching markets, where the objective is to converge to a stable match. In particular, we consider the setting where one side of the market, the arms, has fixed known set…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Deepan Muthirayan , Chinmay Maheshwari , Pramod P. Khargonekar , Shankar Sastry

In high stake applications, active experimentation may be considered too risky and thus data are often collected passively. While in simple cases, such as in bandits, passive and active data collection are similarly effective, the price of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Chenjun Xiao , Ilbin Lee , Bo Dai , Dale Schuurmans , Csaba Szepesvari

Passive observational data, such as human videos, is abundant and rich in information, yet remains largely untapped by current RL methods. Perhaps surprisingly, we show that passive data, despite not having reward or action labels, can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Dibya Ghosh , Chethan Bhateja , Sergey Levine

A market with asymmetric information can be viewed as a repeated exchange game between the informed sector and the uninformed one. In a market with risk-neutral agents, De Meyer [2010] proves that the price process should be a particular…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-13 Bernard De Meyer , Gaëtan Fournier

An asymmetric information model is introduced for the situation in which there is a small agent who is more susceptible to the flow of information in the market than the general market participant, and who tries to implement strategies…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-31 Dorje C. Brody , Mark H. A. Davis , Robyn L. Friedman , Lane P. Hughston

The question we raise through this paper is: Is it economically feasible to trade consumer personal information with their formal consent (permission) and in return provide them incentives (monetary or otherwise)?. In view of (a) the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-12-11 Ranjan Pal , Yixuan Wang , Swades De , Bodhibrata Nag , Pan Hui

We use deep neural networks to estimate an asset pricing model for individual stock returns that takes advantage of the vast amount of conditioning information, while keeping a fully flexible form and accounting for time-variation. The key…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-12 Luyang Chen , Markus Pelger , Jason Zhu

The objective of this paper is to introduce the theory of option pricing for markets with informed traders within the framework of dynamic asset pricing theory. We introduce new models for option pricing for informed traders in complete…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-13 Yuan Hu , Abootaleb Shirvani , Stoyan Stoyanov , Young Shin Kim , Frank J. Fabozzi , Svetlozar T. Rachev

We develop a theory of bid and ask price dynamics where the two prices form due to interaction of buy and sell orders. In this model the two prices are represented by eigenvalues of a 2x2 price operator corresponding to "bid" and "ask"…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-18 Jack Sarkissian