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In light of the outbreak of COVID-19, analyzing and measuring human mobility has become increasingly important. A wide range of studies have explored spatiotemporal trends over time, examined associations with other variables, evaluated…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-02-17 Abdolmajid Erfani , Vanessa Frias-Martinez

In this work, we examine a novel forecasting approach for COVID-19 case prediction that uses Graph Neural Networks and mobility data. In contrast to existing time series forecasting models, the proposed approach learns from a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Amol Kapoor , Xue Ben , Luyang Liu , Bryan Perozzi , Matt Barnes , Martin Blais , Shawn O'Banion

During 2020, the infection rate of COVID-19 has been investigated by many scholars from different research fields. In this context, reliable and interpretable forecasts of disease incidents are a vital tool for policymakers to manage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Cornelius Fritz , Emilio Dorigatti , David Rügamer

A system to model the spread of COVID-19 cases after lockdown has been proposed, to define new preventive measures based on hotspots, using the graph clustering algorithm. This method allows for more lenient measures in areas less prone to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Varun Nagesh Jolly Behera , Ashish Ranjan , Motahar Reza

Accurate prediction of contagious disease outbreaks is vital for informed decision-making. Our study addresses the gap between machine learning algorithms and their epidemiological applications, noting that methods optimal for benchmark…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Suhan Guo , Zhenghao Xu , Furao Shen , Jian Zhao

Pandemic(epidemic) modeling, aiming at disease spreading analysis, has always been a popular research topic especially following the outbreak of COVID-19 in 2019. Some representative models including SIR-based deep learning prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Danfeng Guo , Zijie Huang , Junheng Hao , Yizhou Sun , Wei Wang , Demetri Terzopoulos

The recent outbreak of COVID-19 has affected millions of individuals around the world and has posed a significant challenge to global healthcare. From the early days of the pandemic, it became clear that it is highly contagious and that…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-04-13 George Panagopoulos , Giannis Nikolentzos , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Epidemic prediction is a fundamental task for epidemic control and prevention. Many mechanistic models and deep learning models are built for this task. However, most mechanistic models have difficulty estimating the time/region-varying…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-06-28 Qi Cao , Renhe Jiang , Chuang Yang , Zipei Fan , Xuan Song , Ryosuke Shibasaki

Accurate forecasts of COVID-19 is central to resource management and building strategies to deal with the epidemic. We propose a heterogeneous infection rate model with human mobility for epidemic modeling, a preliminary version of which we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-06 Ajitesh Srivastava , Viktor K. Prasanna

Modelling epidemic events such as COVID-19 cases in both time and space dimensions is an important but challenging task. Building on in-depth review and assessment of two popular graph neural network (GNN)-based regional epidemic…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-20 Xiangxin Kong , Hang Wang , Yutong Li , Yanghao Chen , Zudi Lu

Human mobility estimation is crucial during the COVID-19 pandemic due to its significant guidance for policymakers to make non-pharmaceutical interventions. While deep learning approaches outperform conventional estimation techniques on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-23 Han Bao , Xun Zhou , Yiqun Xie , Yanhua Li , Xiaowei Jia

During the first wave of COVID-19, hospitals were overwhelmed with the high number of admitted patients. An accurate prediction of the most likely individual disease progression can improve the planning of limited resources and finding the…

Classical epidemiological models assume homogeneous populations. There have been important extensions to model heterogeneous populations, when the identity of the sub-populations is known, such as age group or geographical location. Here,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-10 Roberto Vega , Zehra Shah , Pouria Ramazi , Russell Greiner

Graph convolutional neural networks (GCNs) have shown tremendous promise in addressing data-intensive challenges in recent years. In particular, some attempts have been made to improve predictions of Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-07 Petr Kisselev , Padmanabhan Seshaiyer

Modeling the spatiotemporal nature of the spread of infectious diseases can provide useful intuition in understanding the time-varying aspect of the disease spread and the underlying complex spatial dependency observed in people's mobility…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-10 Padmaksha Roy , Shailik Sarkar , Subhodip Biswas , Fanglan Chen , Zhiqian Chen , Naren Ramakrishnan , Chang-Tien Lu

Pandemic outbreaks such as COVID-19 occur unexpectedly, and need immediate action due to their potential devastating consequences on global health. Point-of-care routine assessments such as electrocardiogram (ECG), can be used to develop…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-12 Weijie Sun , Sunil Vasu Kalmady , Nariman Sepehrvand , Luan Manh Chu , Zihan Wang , Amir Salimi , Abram Hindle , Russell Greiner , Padma Kaul

COVID-19 is highly transmissible and containing outbreaks requires a rapid and effective response. Because infection may be spread by people who are pre-symptomatic or asymptomatic, substantial undetected transmission is likely to occur…

Short-term future population prediction is a crucial problem in urban computing. Accurate future population prediction can provide rich insights for urban planners or developers. However, predicting the future population is a challenging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-02 Yuki Kubota , Yuki Ohira , Tetsuo Shimizu

This study develops a framework for quantification of the impact of changes in population mobility due to social distancing on the COVID-19 infection growth rate. Using the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemiological model we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-05 Benjamin Seibold , Zivjena Vucetic , Slobodan Vucetic

Learning the embeddings for urban regions from human mobility data can reveal the functionality of regions, and then enables the correlated but distinct tasks such as crime prediction. Human mobility data contains rich but abundant…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-05-10 Shangbin Wu , Xu Yan , Xiaoliang Fan , Shirui Pan , Shichao Zhu , Chuanpan Zheng , Ming Cheng , Cheng Wang
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