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The COVID19 pandemic, a unique and devastating respiratory disease outbreak, has affected global populations as the disease spreads rapidly. Recent Deep Learning breakthroughs may improve COVID19 prediction and forecasting as a tool of…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-24 Md Aminul Islam , Shabbir Ahmed Shuvo , Mohammad Abu Tareq Rony , M Raihan , Md Abu Sufian

Phenomenological and deterministic models are often used for the estimation of transmission parameters in an epidemic and for the prediction of its growth trajectory. Such analyses are usually based on single peak outbreak dynamics. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-20 D. P. Mahapatra , S. Triambak

Accurate epidemic forecasting is crucial for effective disease control and prevention. Traditional compartmental models often struggle to estimate temporally and spatially varying epidemiological parameters, while deep learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Shuai Han , Lukas Stelz , Thomas R. Sokolowski , Kai Zhou , Horst Stöcker

Most of the studies related to human mobility are focused on intra-country mobility. However, there are many scenarios (e.g., spreading diseases, migration) in which timely data on international commuters are vital. Mobile phones represent…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Massimiliano Luca , Bruno Lepri , Enrique Frias-Martinez , Andra Lutu

The node-place model has been widely used to classify and evaluate transit stations, which sheds light on individual travel behaviors and supports urban planning through effectively integrating land use and transportation development. This…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-21 Jiali Zhou , Mingzhi Zhou , Jiangping Zhou , Zhan Zhao

In this work, we study the pandemic course in the United States by considering national and state levels data. We propose and compare multiple time-series prediction techniques which incorporate auxiliary variables. One type of approach is…

COVID-19 has infected more than 68 million people worldwide since it was first detected about a year ago. Machine learning time series models have been implemented to forecast COVID-19 infections. In this paper, we develop time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-15 Leila Ismail , Huned Materwala , Alain Hennebelle

Public transportation systems play a crucial role in daily commutes, business operations, and leisure activities, emphasizing the need for effective management to meet public demands. One approach to achieve this goal is by predicting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Ali Behroozi , Ali Edrisi

We present an interpretable high-resolution spatio-temporal model to estimate COVID-19 deaths together with confirmed cases one-week ahead of the current time, at the county-level and weekly aggregated, in the United States. A notable…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-24 Shixiang Zhu , Alexander Bukharin , Liyan Xie , Mauricio Santillana , Shihao Yang , Yao Xie

Human motion prediction is still an open problem extremely important for autonomous driving and safety applications. Due to the complex spatiotemporal relation of motion sequences, this remains a challenging problem not only for movement…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-01 Edgar Medina , Leyong Loh , Namrata Gurung , Kyung Hun Oh , Niels Heller

The combination of high-dimensionality and disparity of time scales encountered in many problems in computational physics has motivated the development of coarse-grained (CG) models. In this paper, we advocate the paradigm of data-driven…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-03-05 L. Felsberger , P. S. Koutsourelakis

Fine-grained location prediction on smart phones can be used to improve app/system performance. Application scenarios include video quality adaptation as a function of the 5G network quality at predicted user locations, and augmented…

What predicts a neighborhood's resilience and adaptability to essential public health policies and shelter-in-place regulations that prevent the harmful spread of COVID-19? To answer this question, in this paper we present a novel…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-17 Hasan Alp Boz , Mohsen Bahrami , Selim Balcisoy , Burcin Bozkaya , Nina Mazar , Aaron Nichols , Alex Pentland

COVID-19 is a global health problem. Consequently, early detection and analysis of the infection patterns are crucial for controlling infection spread as well as devising a treatment plan. This work proposes a two-stage deep Convolutional…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-21 Saddam Hussain Khan , Anabia Sohail , Asifullah Khan , Yeon Soo Lee

Structural data from Electronic Health Records as complementary information to imaging data for disease prediction. We incorporate novel weighting layer into the Graph Convolutional Networks, which weights every element of structural data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-01 Anees Kazi , Shadi Albarqouni , Karsten Kortuem , Nassir Navab

Infectious disease forecasting has been a key focus and proved to be crucial in controlling epidemic. A recent trend is to develop forecast-ing models based on graph neural networks (GNNs). However, existing GNN-based methods suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Mingjie Qiu , Zhiyi Tan , Bing-kun Bao

The COVID-19 pandemic has created an urgent need for mathematical models that can project epidemic trends and evaluate the effectiveness of mitigation strategies. To forecast the transmission of COVID-19, a major challenge is the accurate…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-21 Kejie Chen , Yanqing Li , Rongxin Zhou , Xiaomo Jiang

With COVID-19 affecting every country globally and changing everyday life, the ability to forecast the spread of the disease is more important than any previous epidemic. The conventional methods of disease-spread modeling, compartmental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-19 Benjamin Lucas , Behzad Vahedi , Morteza Karimzadeh

We propose a two-stage Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) based classification framework for detecting COVID-19 and Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP) using the chest Computed Tomography (CT) scan images. In the first stage, an infection -…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-13 Shubham Chaudhary , Sadbhawna , Vinit Jakhetiya , Badri N Subudhi , Ujjwal Baid , Sharath Chandra Guntuku

In this paper we propose an epidemiological model for the spread of COVID-19. The dynamics of the spread is based on four fundamental categories of people in a population: Tested and infected, Non-Tested but infected, Tested but not…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-12 Buddhananda Banerjee , Pradumn Kumar Pandey , Bibhas Adhikari