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This work investigates theoretically the interplay between interpolation and aggregation in regression. We establish that the $\gamma$-graph dimension characterizes learnability for a broad class of natural aggregation procedures.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Mikael Møller Høgsgaard , Kasper Green Larsen , Liang-Yu Zou

It is widely believed that the prediction accuracy of decision tree models is invariant under any strictly monotone transformation of the individual predictor variables. However, this statement may be false when predicting new observations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-16 Tal Galili , Isaac Meilijson

Random forests are a scheme proposed by Leo Breiman in the 2000's for building a predictor ensemble with a set of decision trees that grow in randomly selected subspaces of data. Despite growing interest and practical use, there has been…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-03-28 Gérard Biau

We study the often overlooked phenomenon, first noted in \cite{breiman2001random}, that random forests appear to reduce bias compared to bagging. Motivated by an interesting paper by \cite{mentch2020randomization}, where the authors explain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-23 Brian Liu , Rahul Mazumder

This paper shows that decision trees constructed with Classification and Regression Trees (CART) and C4.5 methodology are consistent for regression and classification tasks, even when the number of predictor variables grows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-15 Jason M. Klusowski , Peter M. Tian

Random forests (RFs) are among the most popular supervised learning algorithms due to their nonlinear flexibility and ease-of-use. However, as black box models, they can only be interpreted via algorithmically-defined feature importance…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Abhineet Agarwal , Ana M. Kenney , Yan Shuo Tan , Tiffany M. Tang , Bin Yu

A common strategy to train deep neural networks (DNNs) is to use very large architectures and to train them until they (almost) achieve zero training error. Empirically observed good generalization performance on test data, even in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-26 Nicole Mücke , Ingo Steinwart

Random forest (RF) stands out as a highly favored machine learning approach for classification problems. The effectiveness of RF hinges on two key factors: the accuracy of individual trees and the diversity among them. In this study, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Ye-eun Kim , Seoung Yun Kim , Hyunjoong Kim

Machine learning techniques are used in a wide range of domains. However, machine learning models often suffer from the problem of over-fitting. Many data augmentation methods have been proposed to tackle such a problem, and one of them is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-21 Masanari Kimura

We consider correlated \emph{factor} regression models (FRM) and analyze the performance of classical ridge interpolators. Utilizing powerful \emph{Random Duality Theory} (RDT) mathematical engine, we obtain \emph{precise} closed form…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-14 Mihailo Stojnic

The number of trees T in the random forest (RF) algorithm for supervised learning has to be set by the user. It is controversial whether T should simply be set to the largest computationally manageable value or whether a smaller T may in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-11 Philipp Probst , Anne-Laure Boulesteix

When using machine learning for imbalanced binary classification problems, it is common to subsample the majority class to create a (more) balanced training dataset. This biases the model's predictions because the model learns from data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Nathan Phelps , Daniel J. Lizotte , Douglas G. Woolford

As a flexible nonparametric learning tool, the random forests algorithm has been widely applied to various real applications with appealing empirical performance, even in the presence of high-dimensional feature space. Unveiling the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-27 Chien-Ming Chi , Patrick Vossler , Yingying Fan , Jinchi Lv

The recent success of neural network models has shone light on a rather surprising statistical phenomenon: statistical models that perfectly fit noisy data can generalize well to unseen test data. Understanding this phenomenon of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-13 Niladri S. Chatterji , Philip M. Long , Peter L. Bartlett

Benign overfitting is a phenomenon in machine learning where a model perfectly fits (interpolates) the training data, including noisy examples, yet still generalizes well to unseen data. Understanding this phenomenon has attracted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Junhyung Park , Patrick Bloebaum , Shiva Prasad Kasiviswanathan

Despite the impressive performance of random forests (RF), its theoretical properties have not been thoroughly understood. In this paper, we propose a novel RF framework, dubbed multinomial random forest (MRF), to analyze the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Yiming Li , Jiawang Bai , Jiawei Li , Xue Yang , Yong Jiang , Chun Li , Shutao Xia

Modern machine learning models often employ a huge number of parameters and are typically optimized to have zero training loss; yet surprisingly, they possess near-optimal prediction performance, contradicting classical learning theory. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-08 Zhu Li , Zhi-Hua Zhou , Arthur Gretton

The prevailing mindset is that a single decision tree underperforms classic random forests in testing accuracy, despite its advantages in interpretability and lightweight structure. This study challenges such a mindset by significantly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Qiangqiang Mao , Yankai Cao

This paper studies transfer learning for ridge-regularized robust linear regression in the moderate-dimensional regime, where the number of predictors is of the same order as the sample size and the regression coefficients are not assumed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Lingfeng Lyu , Xiao Guo , Zongqi Liu

Random forests are a very effective and commonly used statistical method, but their full theoretical analysis is still an open problem. As a first step, simplified models such as purely random forests have been introduced, in order to shed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-16 Sylvain Arlot , Robin Genuer