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We study the number of triangles $T_n$ in the sparse $\beta$-model on $n$ vertices, a random graph model that captures degree heterogeneity in real-world networks. Using the norms of the heterogeneity parameter vector, we first determine…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Siang Zhang , Qunqiang Feng , Zhishui Hu

Many spreading processes in our real-life can be considered as a complex contagion, and the linear threshold (LT) model is often applied as a very representative model for this mechanism. Despite its intensive usage, the LT model suffers…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-18 Yijun Ran , Xiaomin Deng , Xiaomeng Wang , Tao Jia

This paper proposes an adaptation mechanism for heterogeneous multi-agent systems to align the agents' internal parameters, based on enforced consensus through strong couplings. Unlike homogeneous systems, where exact consensus is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-08 Hyungbo Shim , Jin Gyu Lee , B. D. O. Anderson

Compartmental epidemic models with dynamics that evolve over a graph network have gained considerable importance in recent years but analysis of these models is in general difficult due to their complexity. In this paper, we develop two…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-31 Sei Zhen Khong , Lanlan Su

This paper introduces constrained mixtures for continuous distributions, characterized by a mixture of distributions where each distribution has a shape similar to the base distribution and disjoint domains. This new concept is used to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-29 Conrado S. Miranda , Fernando J. Von Zuben

Throughout the course of an epidemic, the rate at which disease spreads varies with behavioral changes, the emergence of new disease variants, and the introduction of mitigation policies. Estimating such changes in transmission rates can…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-29 Jenny Huang , Raphaël Morsomme , David Dunson , Jason Xu

Perfect synchronicity in $N$-player games is a useful theoretical dream, but communication delays are inevitable and may result in asynchronous interactions. Some systems such as financial markets are asynchronous by design, and yet most…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-13 Giancarlo Mosetti , Damien Challet , Sorin Solomon

Rhythmic activities that alternate between coherent and incoherent phases are ubiquitous in chemical, ecological, climate, or neural systems. Despite their importance, general mechanisms for their emergence are little understood. In order…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-06-01 Max Thiele , Rico Berner , Peter A. Tass , Eckehard Schöll , Serhiy Yanchuk

Frailty models are essential tools in survival analysis for addressing unobserved heterogeneity and random effects in the data. These models incorporate a random effect, the frailty, which is assumed to impact the hazard rate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Jorge Yslas

Mean field approximation is a popular method to study the behaviour of stochastic models composed of a large number of interacting objects. When the objects are asynchronous, the mean field approximation of a population model can be…

Performance · Computer Science 2018-07-24 Nicolas Gast , Diego Latella , Mieke Massink

We review and introduce a generalized reaction-diffusion approach to epidemic spreading in a metapopulation modeled as a complex network. The metapopulation consists of susceptible and infected individuals that are grouped in subpopulations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-12 Halvor Lund , Ludvig Lizana , Ingve Simonsen

This paper is concerned with the development of rigorous approximations to various expectations associated with Markov chains and processes having non-stationary transition probabilities. Such non-stationary models arise naturally in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-07 Zeyu Zheng , Harsha Honnappa , Peter W. Glynn

Prediction intervals are commonly used in meta-analysis with random-effects models. One widely used method, the Higgins-Thompson-Spiegelhalter prediction interval, replaces the heterogeneity parameter with its point estimate, but its…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-14 Kengo Nagashima , Hisashi Noma , Toshi A. Furukawa

Prior social contagion models consider the spread of either one contagion at a time on interdependent networks or multiple contagions on single layer networks or under assumptions of competition. We propose a new threshold model for the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-09-13 Ho-Chun Herbert Chang , Feng Fu

Transformer-based models have demonstrated exceptional performance across diverse domains, becoming the state-of-the-art solution for addressing sequential machine learning problems. Even though we have a general understanding of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-06-12 Ángel Poc-López , Miguel Aguilera

Natural and social multivariate systems are commonly studied through sets of simultaneous and time-spaced measurements of the observables that drive their dynamics, i.e., through sets of time series. Typically, this is done via hypothesis…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-01 Riccardo Marcaccioli , Giacomo Livan

Consideration is given to the three different analytical methods for the computation of upper bounds for the rate of convergence to the limiting regime of one specific class of (in)homogeneous continuous-time Markov chains. This class is…

In recent years, various interacting particle samplers have been developed to sample from complex target distributions, such as those found in Bayesian inverse problems. These samplers are motivated by the mean-field limit perspective and…

Computation · Statistics 2023-12-22 Björn Sprungk , Simon Weissmann , Jakob Zech

Given a model trained on source data, Test-Time Adaptation (TTA) enables adaptation and inference in test data streams with domain shifts from the source. Current methods predominantly optimize the model for each incoming test data batch…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Ziqiang Wang , Zhixiang Chi , Yanan Wu , Li Gu , Zhi Liu , Konstantinos Plataniotis , Yang Wang

We consider the task of meta-analysis in high-dimensional settings in which the data sources are similar but non-identical. To borrow strength across such heterogeneous datasets, we introduce a global parameter that emphasizes…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-01 Subha Maity , Yuekai Sun , Moulinath Banerjee