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Related papers: Correcting for Reporting Delays in Cyber Incidents

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Cyber risk classifications are widely used in the modeling of cyber event distributions, yet their effectiveness in out of sample forecasting performance remains underexplored. In this paper, we analyse the most commonly used…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Matteo Malavasi , Gareth W. Peters , Stefan Treuck , Pavel V. Shevchenko , Jiwook Jang , Georgy Sofronov

The increasing deployment of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and other autonomous algorithmic systems presents the world with new systemic risks. While focus often lies on the function of individual algorithms, a critical and underestimated…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Maurice Chiodo , Dennis Müller

The problem of quickest detection of dynamic events in networks is studied. At some unknown time, an event occurs, and a number of nodes in the network are affected by the event, in that they undergo a change in the statistics of their…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-07-18 Shaofeng Zou , Venugopal V. Veeravalli , Jian Li , Don Towsley

Till today we dreamt of imperceptible delay in a network. The computer science research grows today faster than ever offering more and more services (computational representational, graphical, intelligent implication etc) to its user. But…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2011-10-18 Soumen Kanrar , M Siraj

In the last fifty years, researchers have developed statistical, data-driven, analytical, and algorithmic approaches for designing and improving emergency response management (ERM) systems. The problem has been noted as inherently difficult…

With rise in security breaches over the past few years, there has been an increasing need to mine insights from social media platforms to raise alerts of possible attacks in an attempt to defend conflict during competition. We use…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-11-16 Soumajyoti Sarkar , Mohammad Almukaynizi , Jana Shakarian , Paulo Shakarian

The demand for strong cyber defence measures grows, especially in countries such as India, where the rate of digitalization far exceeds cybersecurity developments. The increasing amount of cyber threats highlights the urgent need to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Yohan Fernandes , Nasr Abosata

Recent high-profile cyber attacks exemplify why organizations need better cyber defenses. Cyber threats are hard to accurately predict because attackers usually try to mask their traces. However, they often discuss exploits and techniques…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-02-05 Ashok Deb , Kristina Lerman , Emilio Ferrara

Due to the presence of reporting and settlement delay, claim data sets collected by non-life insurance companies are typically incomplete, facing right censored claim count and claim severity observations. Current practice in non-life…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-10 Jonas Crevecoeur , Katrien Antonio , Stijn Desmedt , Alexandre Masquelein

In the current market practice, many cyber insurance products offer a coverage bundle for losses arising from various types of incidents, such as data breaches and ransomware attacks, and the coverage for each incident type comes with a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-03 Wing Fung Chong , Daniel Linders , Zhiyu Quan , Linfeng Zhang

The problem of dispatching emergency responders to service traffic accidents, fire, distress calls and crimes plagues urban areas across the globe. While such problems have been extensively looked at, most approaches are offline. Such…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-25 Ayan Mukhopadhyay , Geoffrey Pettet , Chinmaya Samal , Abhishek Dubey , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

Many industrial and security applications employ a suite of sensors for detecting abrupt changes in temporal behavior patterns. These abrupt changes typically manifest locally, rendering only a small subset of sensors informative.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Aditya Gopalan , Venkatesh Saligrama , Braghadeesh Lakshminarayanan

We introduce a system for automatically generating warnings of imminent or current cyber-threats. Our system leverages the communication of malicious actors on the darkweb, as well as activity of cyber security experts on social media…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-01-31 Anna Sapienza , Alessandro Bessi , Saranya Damodaran , Paulo Shakarian , Kristina Lerman , Emilio Ferrara

Distributed optimization finds applications in large-scale machine learning, data processing and classification over multi-agent networks. In real-world scenarios, the communication network of agents may encounter latency that may affect…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-06 Mohammadreza Doostmohammadian , Narahari Kasagatta Ramesh , Alireza Aghasi

If cyber incidents are predicted a reasonable amount of time before they occur, defensive actions to prevent their destructive effects could be planned. Unfortunately, most of the time we do not have enough observables of the malicious…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-03-28 Ahmet Okutan , Shanchieh Jay Yang , Katie McConky

Cyber incidents can have a wide range of cause from a simple connection loss to an insistent attack. Once a potential cyber security incidents and system failures have been identified, deciding how to proceed is often complex. Especially,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-07-16 Sandro Passarelli , Cem Gündogan , Lars Stiemert , Matthias Schopp , Peter Hillmann

In recent times we hear increasingly often about cyber attacks on various commercial and strategic sites that manage to escape any defense. In this article, we model such attacks on networks via stochastic processes and predict the time of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Jewgeni H. Dshalalow , Ryan T. White

Nodes in the Lightning Network synchronise routing information through a gossip protocol that makes use of a staggered broadcast mechanism. In this work, we show that the convergence delay in the network is larger than what would be…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Niklas Gögge , Elias Rohrer , Florian Tschorsch

Cyberinsurance is a powerful tool to align market incentives toward improving Internet security. We trace the evolution of cyberinsurance from traditional insurance policies to early cyber-risk insurance policies to current comprehensive…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Ruperto P. Majuca , William Yurcik , Jay P. Kesan

Decision-makers often observe the occurrence of events through a reporting process. City governments, for example, rely on resident reports to find and then resolve urban infrastructural problems such as fallen street trees, flooded…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Gabriel Agostini , Emma Pierson , Nikhil Garg