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This paper presents a new hybrid model for predicting German electricity prices. The algorithm is based on a combination of Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) and Support Vector Regression (SVR). Although GPR is a competent model for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Abhinav Das , Stephan Schlüter , Lorenz Schneider

We develop a new robust geographically weighted regression method in the presence of outliers. We embed the standard geographically weighted regression in robust objective function based on $\gamma$-divergence. A novel feature of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-15 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Daisuke Murakami

In this work we perform outlier detection using ensembles of neural networks obtained by variational approximation of the posterior in a Bayesian neural network setting. The variational parameters are obtained by sampling from the true…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-25 Nick Pawlowski , Miguel Jaques , Ben Glocker

Outlying observations are commonly encountered in the analysis of time series. In this paper the problem of detecting additive outliers in integer-valued time series is considered. We show how Gibbs sampling can be used to detect outlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-01 Maria Eduarda Silva , Isabel Pereira

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) to detect samples with large expected errors (outliers) is applied to reactive molecular potential energy surfaces (PESs). Three methods - Ensembles, Deep Evidential Regression (DER), and Gaussian Mixture…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-02-28 Luis Itza Vazquez-Salazar , Silvan Käser , Markus Meuwly

Out-of-distribution (OOD) detection is an important task in machine learning systems for ensuring their reliability and safety. Deep probabilistic generative models facilitate OOD detection by estimating the likelihood of a data sample.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-16 Jaemoo Choi , Changyeon Yoon , Jeongwoo Bae , Myungjoo Kang

This paper proposes a fully Bayesian framework for node-level outlier detection in graph signals, where measurements are observed on the nodes of an underlying graph. Unlike traditional outlier detection methods, our approach accounts for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Seongmin Kim , Kyusoon Kim

Gaussian process regression networks (GPRN) are powerful Bayesian models for multi-output regression, but their inference is intractable. To address this issue, existing methods use a fully factorized structure (or a mixture of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-19 Shibo Li , Wei Xing , Mike Kirby , Shandian Zhe

Resonances in open quantum systems depending on at least two controllable parameters can show the phenomenon of exceptional points (EPs), where not only the eigenvalues but also the eigenvectors of two or more resonances coalesce. Their…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-14 Patrick Egenlauf , Patric Rommel , Jörg Main

Outlier detection (also known as anomaly detection or deviation detection) is a process of detecting data points in which their patterns deviate significantly from others. It is common to have outliers in industry applications, which could…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-06 Kasra Babaei , ZhiYuan Chen , Tomas Maul

Online anomaly detection of time-series data is an important and challenging task in machine learning. Gaussian processes (GPs) are powerful and flexible models for modeling time-series data. However, the high time complexity of GPs limits…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-16 Jingjing Fei , Shiliang Sun

Outlier detection is a significant area in data mining. It can be either used to pre-process the data prior to an analysis or post the processing phase (before visualization) depending on the effectiveness of the outlier and its importance.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-22 Jacob John

We study the change detection problem with an unknown post-change distribution. Under this constraint, the unknown change in the distribution of observations may occur in many ways without much structure on the observations, whereas, before…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-11 Deniz Sargun , C. Emre Koksal

Identifying anomalous patterns in real-world data is essential for understanding where, when, and how systems deviate from their expected dynamics. Yet methods that separately consider the anomalousness of each individual data point have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-05 William Herlands , Edward McFowland , Andrew Gordon Wilson , Daniel B. Neill

This paper proposes a novel fast online methodology for outlier detection called the exception maximization outlier detection method(EMODM), which employs probabilistic models and statistical algorithms to detect abnormal patterns from the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-03 Zhikun Zhang , Yiting Duan , Xiangjun Wang , Mingyuan Zhang

Gaussian processes (GPs) are non-parametric probabilistic regression models that are popular due to their flexibility, data efficiency, and well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. However, standard GP models assume homoskedastic Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Sebastian Ament , Elizabeth Santorella , David Eriksson , Ben Letham , Maximilian Balandat , Eytan Bakshy

Anomalies and outliers are common in real-world data, and they can arise from many sources, such as sensor faults. Accordingly, anomaly detection is important both for analyzing the anomalies themselves and for cleaning the data for further…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-13 Haitao Liu , Randy C. Paffenroth , Jian Zou , Chong Zhou

This paper presents a framework for classifying and detecting spatial commission outliers in maritime environments using seabed acoustic sensor networks and log Gaussian Cox processes (LGCPs). By modeling target arrivals as a mixture of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Mingyu Kim , Daniel Stilwell , Jorge Jimenez

Gaussian process regression (GPR) or kernel ridge regression is a widely used and powerful tool for nonlinear prediction. Therefore, active learning (AL) for GPR, which actively collects data labels to achieve an accurate prediction with…

Outlier Detection is a critical and cardinal research task due its array of applications in variety of domains ranging from data mining, clustering, statistical analysis, fraud detection, network intrusion detection and diagnosis of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-15 Archit Harsh , John E. Ball , Pan Wei