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Small-area mortality estimation is inherently difficult, as random fluctuations from low death counts can obscure real geographic differences. We introduce a flexible model that borrows strength across age, space, and time to estimate…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-25 Jacob Martin , Carlo Giovanni Camarda

Self-Exciting models are statistical models of count data where the probability of an event occurring is influenced by the history of the process. In particular, self-exciting spatio-temporal models allow for spatial dependence as well as…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-29 Nicholas J. Clark , Philip M. Dixon

Many astrophysical simulations involve extreme dynamic range of timescales around 'special points' in the domain (e.g. black holes, stars, planets, disks, galaxies, shocks, mixing interfaces), where processes on small scales couple strongly…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-11 Philip F. Hopkins , Elias R. Most

Spatio-temporal machine learning is critically needed for a variety of societal applications, such as agricultural monitoring, hydrological forecast, and traffic management. These applications greatly rely on regional features that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-09 Zhexiong Liu , Licheng Liu , Yiqun Xie , Zhenong Jin , Xiaowei Jia

Predicting the risk of developing breast cancer is an important clinical tool to guide early intervention and tailoring personalized screening strategies. Early risk models have limited performance and recently machine learning-based…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-29 Zhengbo Zhou , Dooman Arefan , Margarita Zuley , Jules Sumkin , Shandong Wu

As cancer patient survival improves, late effects from treatment are becoming the next clinical challenge. Chemotherapy and radiotherapy, for example, potentially increase the risk of both morbidity and mortality from second malignancies…

This paper presents a comprehensive algorithm for fitting generative models whose likelihood, moments, and other quantities typically used for inference are not analytically or numerically tractable. The proposed method aims to provide a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-12 Guido Masarotto

We introduce an adaptive scattered data fitting scheme as extension of local least squares approximations to hierarchical spline spaces. To efficiently deal with non-trivial data configurations, the local solutions are described in terms of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-04-28 Cesare Bracco , Carlotta Giannelli , Alessandra Sestini

Joint modelling of longitudinal and time-to-event data has received much attention recently. Increasingly, extensions to standard joint modelling approaches are being proposed to handle complex data structures commonly encountered in…

The spatial composition and cellular heterogeneity of the tumor microenvironment plays a critical role in cancer development and progression. High-definition pathology imaging of tumor biopsies provide a high-resolution view of the spatial…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-25 Nathaniel Osher , Jian Kang , Arvind Rao , Veerabhadran Baladandayuthapani

We consider four main goals when fitting spatial linear models: 1) estimating covariance parameters, 2) estimating fixed effects, 3) kriging (making point predictions), and 4) block-kriging (predicting the average value over a region). Each…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-16 Jay M. Ver Hoef , Michael Dumelle , Matt Higham , Erin E. Peterson , Daniel J. Isaak

Spatially correlated data with an excess of zeros, usually referred to as zero-inflated spatial data, arise in many disciplines. Examples include count data, for instance, abundance (or lack thereof) of animal species and disease counts, as…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Ben Seiyon Lee , Murali Haran

With advancements in GPS, remote sensing, and computational simulation, an enormous volume of spatiotemporal data is being collected at an increasing speed from various application domains, spanning Earth sciences, agriculture, smart…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Zhe Jiang

In the era of precision medicine, time-to-event outcomes such as time to death or progression are routinely collected, along with high-throughput covariates. These high-dimensional data defy classical survival regression models, which are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Stephen Salerno , Yi Li

Estimating environmental exposures from multi-source data is central to public health research and policy. Integrating data from satellite products and ground monitors are increasingly used to produce exposure surfaces. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Yovna Junglee , Vianey Leos Barajas , Meredith Franklin

Spatio-temporal change of support methods are designed for statistical analysis on spatial and temporal domains which can differ from those of the observed data. Previous work introduced a parsimonious class of Bayesian hierarchical…

Computation · Statistics 2024-01-19 Andrew M. Raim , Scott H. Holan , Jonathan R. Bradley , Christopher K. Wikle

Auxiliary data sources have become increasingly important in epidemiological surveillance, as they are often available at a finer spatial and temporal resolution, larger coverage, and lower latency than traditional surveillance signals. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-29 Aaron Rumack , Roni Rosenfeld , F. William Townes

The storage, management, and application of massive spatio-temporal data are widely applied in various practical scenarios, including public safety. However, due to the unique spatio-temporal distribution characteristics of re-al-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-03 Jie Gao , Yawen Li , Zhe Xue , Zeli Guan

To study the impact of climate variables on morbidity of some diseases in Mexico, we propose a spatio-temporal varying coefficients regression model. For that we introduce a new spatio-temporal dependent process prior, in a Bayesian…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-02 Luis E. Nieto-Barajas

Spatio-temporal areal data can be seen as a collection of time series which are spatially correlated, according to a specific neighbouring structure. Motivated by a dataset on mobile phone usage in the Metropolitan area of Milan, Italy, we…