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Spatio-temporal prediction aims to forecast and gain insights into the ever-changing dynamics of urban environments across both time and space. Its purpose is to anticipate future patterns, trends, and events in diverse facets of urban…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Zhonghang Li , Lianghao Xia , Jiabin Tang , Yong Xu , Lei Shi , Long Xia , Dawei Yin , Chao Huang

Multilevel strategies are an integral part of many image registration algorithms. These strategies are very well-known for avoiding undesirable local minima, providing an outstanding initial guess, and reducing overall computation time.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-22 Hari Om Aggrawal , Jan Modersitzki

This study proposes a risk prediction method based on a Multi-Scale Temporal Alignment Network (MSTAN) to address the challenges of temporal irregularity, sampling interval differences, and multi-scale dynamic dependencies in Electronic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Wei-Chen Chang , Lu Dai , Ting Xu

Illness-death models are a class of stochastic models inside the multi-state framework. In those models, individuals are allowed to move over time between different states related to illness and death. They are of special interest when…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-14 Fran Llopis-Cardona , Carmen Armero , Gabriel Sanfélix-Gimeno

This paper investigates the modeling of an important class of degradation data, which are collected from a spatial domain over time; for example, the surface quality degradation. Like many existing time-dependent stochastic degradation…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-29 Xiao Liu , Kyongmin Yeo , Jayant Kalagnanam

State-space models (SSMs) provide a flexible framework for modelling time-series data. Consequently, SSMs are ubiquitously applied in areas such as engineering, econometrics and epidemiology. In this paper we provide a fast approach for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-22 Tom Ryder , Andrew Golighty , A. Stephen McGough , Dennis Prangle

Modern methods for quantifying and predicting species distribution play a crucial part in biodiversity conservation. Occupancy models are a popular choice for analyzing species occurrence data as they allow to separate the observational…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-19 Jafet Belmont , Sara Martino , Janine Illian , Håvard Rue

This study introduces an integrated framework for predictive causal inference designed to overcome limitations inherent in conventional single model approaches. Specifically, we combine a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) for spatial health state…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Byunghee Lee , Hye Yeon Sin , Joonsung Kang

Predicting relative risk (RR) of spatial clusters is a complex task in public health that can be achieved through various statistical and machine-learning methods for different time intervals. However, high-resolution longitudinal data is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Lyza Iamrache , Kamel Rekab , Majid Bani-Yagoub , Julia Pluta , Abdelghani Mehailia

Spatio-temporal prediction is a pivotal task with broad applications in traffic management, climate monitoring, energy scheduling, etc. However, existing methodologies often struggle to balance model expressiveness and computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Jiawen Chen , Qi Shao , Duxin Chen , Wenwu Yu

Spatial big data have the "velocity," "volume," and "variety" of big data sources and additional geographic information about the record. Digital data sources, such as medical claims, mobile phone call data records, and geo-tagged tweets,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-08-30 Elizabeth C. Lee , Jason M. Asher , Sandra Goldlust , John D. Kraemer , Andrew B. Lawson , Shweta Bansal

Longitudinal data are important in numerous fields, such as healthcare, sociology and seismology, but real-world datasets present notable challenges for practitioners because they can be high-dimensional, contain structured missingness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Maksim Sinelnikov , Manuel Haussmann , Harri Lähdesmäki

We develop a Bayesian approach to estimate weight matrices in spatial autoregressive (or spatial lag) models. Datasets in regional economic literature are typically characterized by a limited number of time periods T relative to spatial…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-03 Tamás Krisztin , Philipp Piribauer

Infectious diseases remain one of the major causes of human mortality and suffering. Mathematical models have been established as an important tool for capturing the features that drive the spread of the disease, predicting the progression…

We study the problem of modeling and inference for spatio-temporal count processes. Our approach uses parsimonious parameterisations of multivariate autoregressive count time series models, including possible regression on covariates. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Steffen Maletz , Konstantinos Fokianos , Roland Fried

With the fast development of various positioning techniques such as Global Position System (GPS), mobile devices and remote sensing, spatio-temporal data has become increasingly available nowadays. Mining valuable knowledge from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Senzhang Wang , Jiannong Cao , Philip S. Yu

Flexible spatial models that allow transitions between tail dependence classes have recently appeared in the literature. However, inference for these models is computationally prohibitive, even in moderate dimensions, due to the necessity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Likun Zhang , Benjamin A. Shaby , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

Fine particulate matter, PM$_{2.5}$, has been documented to have adverse health effects and wildland fires are a major contributor to PM$_{2.5}$ air pollution in the US. Forecasters use numerical models to predict PM$_{2.5}$ concentrations…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-30 Suman Majumder , Yawen Guan , Brian J. Reich , Susan O'Neill , Ana G. Rappold

The appropriateness of the Poisson model is frequently challenged when examining spatial count data marked by unbalanced distributions, over-dispersion, or under-dispersion. Moreover, traditional parametric models may inadequately capture…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-26 Mahsa Nadifar , Andriette Bekker , Mohammad Arashi , Abel Ramoelo

Data fusion models are widely used in air quality monitoring to integrate in situ and large-scale gridded products, offering spatially complete and temporally detailed estimates. However, traditional Gaussian-based models often…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-18 M. Daniela Cuba , Craig Wilkie , Marian Scott , Daniela Castro-Camilo