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We propose a novel Bayesian framework for changepoint detection in large-scale spherical spatiotemporal data, with broad applicability in environmental and climate sciences. Our approach models changepoints as spatially dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Samantha Shi-Jun , Bo Li

Large volumes of spatio-temporal data are increasingly collected and studied in diverse domains including, climate science, social sciences, neuroscience, epidemiology, transportation, mobile health, and Earth sciences. Spatio-temporal data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-20 Gowtham Atluri , Anuj Karpatne , Vipin Kumar

Joint modeling of spatially-oriented dependent variables is commonplace in the environmental sciences, where scientists seek to estimate the relationships among a set of environmental outcomes accounting for dependence among these outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-22 Lu Zhang , Sudipto Banerjee , Andrew O. Finley

Accurate estimates of subnational health and demographic indicators are critical for informing health policy decisions. Many countries collect relevant data using complex household surveys, but when data are limited, direct survey weighted…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Peter A. Gao , Jon Wakefield

In disease mapping, the aim is to estimate the spatial pattern in disease risk over an extended geographical region, so that areas with elevated risks can be identified. A Bayesian hierarchical approach is typically used to produce such…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2011-08-10 Duncan Lee , Richard Mitchell

Regional aggregates of health outcomes over delineated administrative units (e.g., states, counties, zip codes), or areal units, are widely used by epidemiologists to map mortality or incidence rates and capture geographic variation. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-03 Leiwen Gao , Sudipto Banerjee , Beate Ritz

While existing mathematical descriptions can accurately account for phenomena at microscopic scales (e.g. molecular dynamics), these are often high-dimensional, stochastic and their applicability over macroscopic time scales of physical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-08 P. S. Koutsourelakis , Elias Bilionis

Robust forecasting of the future anatomical changes inflicted by an ongoing disease is an extremely challenging task that is out of grasp even for experienced healthcare professionals. Such a capability, however, is of great importance…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-09 Dmitrii Lachinov , Arunava Chakravarty , Christoph Grechenig , Ursula Schmidt-Erfurth , Hrvoje Bogunovic

Reliable estimation of spatio-temporal trends in population-level HIV incidence is becoming an increasingly critical component of HIV prevention policy-making. However, direct measurement is nearly impossible. Current, widely used models…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-04 Timothy M Wolock , Seth R Flaxman , Jeffrey W Eaton

Understanding temporal dynamics in medical imaging is crucial for applications such as disease progression modeling, treatment planning and anatomical development tracking. However, most deep learning methods either consider only single…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-01 Nico Albert Disch , Yannick Kirchhoff , Robin Peretzke , Maximilian Rokuss , Saikat Roy , Constantin Ulrich , David Zimmerer , Klaus Maier-Hein

Joint models for longitudinal biomarkers and time-to-event data are widely used in longitudinal studies. Many joint modeling approaches have been proposed to deal with different types of longitudinal biomarkers and survival outcomes.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-27 Molei Liu , Jiehuan Sun , Jose D. Herazo-Maya , Naftali Kaminski , Hongyu Zhao

Joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data have seen many developments in recent years. Though spatial joint models are still rare and the traditional proportional hazards formulation of the time-to-event part of the model is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-25 Anja Rappl , Thomas Kneib , Stefan Lang , Elisabeth Bergherr

Spatiotemporal datasets, which consist of spatially-referenced time series, are ubiquitous in diverse applications, such as air pollution monitoring, disease tracking, and cloud-demand forecasting. As the scale of modern datasets increases,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Feras Saad , Jacob Burnim , Colin Carroll , Brian Patton , Urs Köster , Rif A. Saurous , Matthew Hoffman

Spatio-temporal forecasting is crucial in transportation, logistics, and supply chain management. However, current methods struggle with large, complex datasets. We propose a dynamic, multi-modal approach that integrates the strengths of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Sagar Srinivas Sakhinana , Geethan Sannidhi , Chidaksh Ravuru , Venkataramana Runkana

Hierarchical Bayesian models can be especially useful in precision medicine settings, where clinicians are interested in estimating the patient-level latent variables associated with an individual's current health state and its trajectory.…

Applications · Statistics 2015-10-30 Aaron J Fisher , R Yates Coley , Scott L Zeger

Large-scale and multidimensional spatiotemporal data sets are becoming ubiquitous in many real-world applications such as monitoring urban traffic and air quality. Making predictions on these time series has become a critical challenge due…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-21 Xinyu Chen , Lijun Sun

Background: Time-to-event data with multiple time scales are observed in many epidemiological and clinical studies. While models that allow for simultaneous consideration of multiple time scales for the hazard of an event have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-16 Angela Carollo , Paul H. C. Eilers , Hein Putter , Jutta Gampe

High-dimensional multivariate spatial-temporal data arise frequently in a wide range of applications; however, there are relatively few statistical methods that can simultaneously deal with spatial, temporal and variable-wise dependencies…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-05 Elynn Y. Chen , Xin Yun , Rong Chen , Qiwei Yao

It is of utmost importance to have a clear understanding of the status of air pollution and to provide forecasts and insights about the air quality to the general public and researchers in environmental studies. Previous studies of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-08 Soudeep Deb , Ruey S. Tsay

High-dimensional multivariate time series are challenging due to the dependent and high-dimensional nature of the data, but in many applications there is additional structure that can be exploited to reduce computing time along with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-13 Michael Schweinberger , Sergii Babkin , Katherine Ensor