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Spatio-temporal prediction of levels of an environmental exposure is an important problem in environmental epidemiology. Our work is motivated by multiple studies on the spatio-temporal distribution of mobile source, or traffic related,…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-14 Nikolay Bliznyuk , Christopher J. Paciorek , Joel Schwartz , Brent Coull

In this paper, we study the trade-offs of different inference approaches for Bayesian matrix factorisation methods, which are commonly used for predicting missing values, and for finding patterns in the data. In particular, we consider…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-18 Thomas Brouwer , Jes Frellsen , Pietro Lió

Data fusion has become an active research topic in recent years. Growing computational performance has allowed the use of redundant sensors to measure a single phenomenon. While Bayesian fusion approaches are common in general applications,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-04-25 Andres F. Echeverri , Henry Medeiros , Ryan Walsh , Yevgeniy Reznichenko , Richard Povinelli

Discharge of hazardous substances into the marine environment poses a substantial risk to both public health and the ecosystem. In such incidents, it is imperative to accurately estimate the release strength of the source and reconstruct…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-29 Yang Liu , Christopher M. Harvey , Frederick E. Hamlyn , Cunjia Liu

Inferring viscoelasticity parameters is a key challenge that often leads to non-unique solutions when fitting rheological data. In this context, we propose a machine learning approach that utilizes Bayesian optimization for parameter…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-02-27 Isaac Y. Miranda-Valdez , Tero Mäkinen , Juha Koivisto , Mikko J. Alava

A Bayesian filtering algorithm is developed for a class of state-space systems that can be modelled via Gaussian mixtures. In general, the exact solution to this filtering problem involves an exponential growth in the number of mixture…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-03 Adrian G. Wills , Johannes Hendriks , Christopher Renton , Brett Ninness

Multipath time-delay estimation is commonly encountered in radar and sonar signal processing. In some real-life environments, impulse noise is ubiquitous and significantly degrades estimation performance. Here, we propose a Bayesian…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-16 Xingyu Ji , Lei Cheng , Hangfang Zhao

The aim of this paper is to explore and develop advanced spatial Bayesian assessment methods and techniques for land use modeling. The paper provides a comprehensive guide for assessing additional informational entropy value of model…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-06-17 Kostas Alexandridis , Bryan C. Pijanowski

Spatio-temporal data abounds in domain like traffic and environmental monitoring. However, it often suffers from missing values due to sensor malfunctions, transmission failures, etc. Recent years have seen continued efforts to improve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Yubo Yang , Yichen Zhu , Bo Jiang

Spatio-temporal models are widely used in many research areas including ecology. The recent proliferation of the use of in-situ sensors in streams and rivers supports space-time water quality modelling and monitoring in near real-time. A…

Inverse problems, i.e., estimating parameters of physical models from experimental data, are ubiquitous in science and engineering. The Bayesian formulation is the gold standard because it alleviates ill-posedness issues and quantifies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-28 Sharmila Karumuri , Ilias Bilionis

Spatiotemporal matrix-valued data arise frequently in modern applications, yet performing effective regression analysis remains challenging due to complex, dimension-specific dependencies. In this work, we propose a regularized framework…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Meixia Lin , Ziyang Zeng , Yangjing Zhang

Variational Bayesian (VB) methods produce posterior inference in a time frame considerably smaller than traditional Markov Chain Monte Carlo approaches. Although the VB posterior is an approximation, it has been shown to produce good…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-02 Nathaniel Tomasetti , Catherine S. Forbes , Anastasios Panagiotelis

Many geophysical problems can be cast as inverse problems that estimate a set of parameter values from observed data. Within a Bayesian framework, solutions to such problems are described probabilistically by the so-called posterior…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-07-23 Xuebin Zhao , Andrew Curtis

Bayesian estimation is increasingly popular for performing model based inference to support policymaking. These data are often collected from surveys under informative sampling designs where subject inclusion probabilities are designed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-13 Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Terrance D. Savitsky

Inverse problems with spatiotemporal observations are ubiquitous in scientific studies and engineering applications. In these spatiotemporal inverse problems, observed multivariate time series are used to infer parameters of physical or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-26 Shiwei Lan , Shuyi Li , Mirjeta Pasha

Accurate modeling and prediction of complex physical systems often rely on data assimilation techniques to correct errors inherent in model simulations. Traditional methods like the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) and its variants as well as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-12 Phillip Si , Peng Chen

When sensors collect spatio-temporal data in a large geographical area, the existence of missing data cannot be escaped. Missing data negatively impacts the performance of data analysis and machine learning algorithms. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Reza Asadi , Amelia Regan

A Bayesian approach is developed to analyze change points in multivariate time series and space-time data. The methodology is used to assess the impact of extended inundation on the ecosystem of the Gulf Plains bioregion in northern…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-21 Chris Strickland , Robert Burdett , Robert Denham , Robert Kohn , Kerrie Mengersen

We develop a Bayesian spatio-temporal framework for extreme-value analysis that augments a hierarchical copula model with an autoregressive factor to capture residual temporal dependence in threshold exceedances. The factor can be specified…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-06 Carlos A. Pasquier , Luis A. Barboza