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Fine particulate matter and aerosol optical thickness are of interest to atmospheric scientists for understanding air quality and its various health/environmental impacts. The available data are extremely large, making uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Madelyn Clinch , Jonathan R. Bradley

Boolean matrix factorization and Boolean matrix completion from noisy observations are desirable unsupervised data-analysis methods due to their interpretability, but hard to perform due to their NP-hardness. We treat these problems as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-08 Siamak Ravanbakhsh , Barnabas Poczos , Russell Greiner

Recently, spatial-temporal forecasting technology has been rapidly developed due to the increasing demand for traffic management and travel planning. However, existing traffic forecasting models still face the following limitations. On one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Mu Liu , MingChen Sun YingJi Li , Ying Wang

Non-negative tensor factorization models enable predictive analysis on count data. Among them, Bayesian Poisson-Gamma models can derive full posterior distributions of latent factors and are less sensitive to sparse count data. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Yuan Jin , Ming Liu , Yunfeng Li , Ruohua Xu , Lan Du , Longxiang Gao , Yong Xiang

This paper focuses on Bayesian Optimization in combinatorial spaces. In many applications in the natural science. Broad applications include the study of molecules, proteins, DNA, device structures and quantum circuit designs, a on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-13 Tony C. Wu , Daniel Flam-Shepherd , Alán Aspuru-Guzik

Multivariate Gaussian processes (GPs) offer a powerful probabilistic framework to represent complex interdependent phenomena. They pose, however, significant computational challenges in high-dimensional settings, which frequently arise in…

This paper explores potential improvements to the Spatial-Temporal Matching algorithm for aligning the GPS trajectories to road networks. While this algorithm is effective, it presents some limitations in computational efficiency and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Ali Yousefian , Arianna Burzacchi , Simone Vantini

Imputation of missing data in large regions of satellite imagery is necessary when the acquired image has been damaged by shadows due to clouds, or information gaps produced by sensor failure. The general approach for imputation of missing…

Applications · Statistics 2010-06-23 Valeria Rulloni , Oscar Bustos , Ana Georgina Flesia

In this paper we develop a novel approach for estimating large and sparse dynamic factor models using variational inference, also allowing for missing data. Inspired by Bayesian variable selection, we apply slab-and-spike priors onto the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

Data dispersed across multiple files are commonly integrated through probabilistic linkage methods, where even minimal error rates in record matching can significantly contaminate subsequent statistical analyses. In regression problems, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-18 Abhisek Chakraborty , Saptati Datta

Backtracking search is a powerful algorithmic paradigm that can be used to solve many problems. It is in a certain sense the dual of variable elimination; but on many problems, e.g., SAT, it is vastly superior to variable elimination in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Fahiem Bacchus , Shannon Dalmao , Toniann Pitassi

We derive analytical expression of matrix factorization/completion solution by variational Bayes method, under the assumption that observed matrix is originally the product of low-rank dense and sparse matrices with additive noise. We…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-05-24 Ryota Kawasumi , Koujin Takeda

Bayesian estimation with an explicit transitional prior is required for a tracking algorithm to be embedded in most multi-target tracking frameworks. This paper describes a novel approach capable of tracking maneuvering spacecraft with an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-25 Enrico M. Zucchelli , Brandon A. Jones

We put forward a new Bayesian modeling strategy for spatiotemporal count data that enables efficient posterior sampling. Most previous models for such data decompose logarithms of the response Poisson rates into fixed effects and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

In the coming decades, as the low frequency sensitivity of detectors improves, the time that gravitational-wave signals remain in the sensitive band will increase, leading to new challenges in analyzing data, namely non-stationary noise and…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-05-01 Noah Pearson , Neil J. Cornish

Due to their uncertainty quantification, Bayesian solutions to inverse problems are the framework of choice in applications that are risk averse. These benefits come at the cost of computations that are in general, intractable. New advances…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Rafael Orozco , Ali Siahkoohi , Mathias Louboutin , Felix J. Herrmann

Traffic speed data imputation is a fundamental challenge for data-driven transport analysis. In recent years, with the ubiquity of GPS-enabled devices and the widespread use of crowdsourcing alternatives for the collection of traffic data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-11 Filipe Rodrigues , Kristian Henrickson , Francisco C. Pereira

Complex system design problems, such as those involved in aerospace engineering, require the use of numerically costly simulation codes in order to predict the performance of the system to be designed. In this context, these codes are often…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Loic Brevault , Mathieu Balesdent

Bayesian inference often faces a trade-off between computational speed and sampling accuracy. We propose an adaptive workflow that integrates rapid amortized inference with gold-standard MCMC techniques to achieve a favorable combination of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Chengkun Li , Aki Vehtari , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Stefan T. Radev , Luigi Acerbi , Marvin Schmitt

Envelope models provide a sufficient dimension reduction framework for multivariate regression analysis. Bayesian inference for these models has been developed primarily using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. Specifically, Gibbs…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Seunghyeon Kim , Kwangmin Lee , Yeonhee Park
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