Related papers: Error analysis for a statistical finite element me…
Various approaches to stochastic processes exist, noting that key properties such as measurability and continuity are not trivially satisfied. We introduce a new theory for Gaussian processes using improper linear functionals. Using a…
Uncertainty in the prediction of future weather is commonly assessed through the use of forecast ensembles that employ a numerical weather prediction model in distinct variants. Statistical postprocessing can correct for biases in the…
We propose a generalized multiscale finite element method (GMsFEM) based on clustering algorithm to study the elliptic PDEs with random coefficients in the multi-query setting. Our method consists of offline and online stages. In the…
Parameter identification problems are formulated in a probabilistic language, where the randomness reflects the uncertainty about the knowledge of the true values. This setting allows conceptually easily to incorporate new information, e.g.…
Gaussian process regression is a powerful Bayesian nonlinear regression method. Recent research has enabled the capture of many types of observations using non-Gaussian likelihoods. To deal with various tasks in spatial modeling, we benefit…
This paper concerns the use of the expectation-maximisation (EM) algorithm for inference in partially observed diffusion processes. In this context, a well known problem is that all except a few diffusion processes lack closed-form…
The matched filter (MF) is widely used to detect signals hidden within the noise. If the noise is Gaussian, its performances are well-known and describable in an elegant analytical form. The treatment of non-Gaussian noises is often…
Any performance analysis based on stochastic simulation is subject to the errors inherent in misspecifying the modeling assumptions, particularly the input distributions. In situations with little support from data, we investigate the use…
We analyze the stochastic thermodynamics of systems with continuous space of states. The evolution equation, the rate of entropy production, and other results are obtained by a continuous time limit of a discrete time formulation. We point…
One of the pivotal tasks in scientific machine learning is to represent underlying dynamical systems from time series data. Many methods for such dynamics learning explicitly require the derivatives of state data, which are not directly…
We consider a slow-fast stochastic differential system with L\'evy noise. We will employ the perturbed test function method to study the normal deviation of the slow-fast system. Our main result states that the deviation can be approximated…
We develop a semiparametric Bayesian approach for estimating the mean response in a missing data model with binary outcomes and a nonparametrically modelled propensity score. Equivalently we estimate the causal effect of a treatment,…
Second-order partial differential equations in non-divergence form are considered. Equations of this kind typically arise as subproblems for the solution of Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equations in the context of stochastic optimal control, or…
In this work, we consider a sensor selection drawn at random by a sampling with replacement policy for a linear time-invariant dynamical system subject to process and measurement noise. We employ the Kalman filter to estimate the state of…
We propose a numerical validation of a probabilistic approach applied to estimate the relative accuracy between two Lagrange finite elements $P_k$ and $P_m, (k<m)$. In particular, we show practical cases where finite element $P_{k}$ gives…
Studying the development of malignant tumours, it is important to know and predict the proportions of different cell types in tissue samples. Knowing the expected temporal evolution of the proportion of normal tissue cells, compared to…
Structural equation models (SEMs) are commonly used to study the structural relationship between observed variables and latent constructs. Recently, Bayesian fitting procedures for SEMs have received more attention thanks to their potential…
Standard system identification methods often provide inconsistent estimates with closed-loop data. With the prediction error method (PEM), this issue is solved by using a noise model that is flexible enough to capture the noise spectrum.…
A finite element methodology for large classes of variational boundary value problems is defined which involves discretizing two linear operators: (1) the differential operator defining the spatial boundary value problem; and (2) a Riesz…
This paper is concerned with stochastic incompressible Navier-Stokes equations with multiplicative noise in two dimensions with respect to periodic boundary conditions. Based on the Helmholtz decomposition of the multiplicative noise,…