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We propose a new method for spatio-temporal forecasting on arbitrarily distributed points. Assuming that the observed system follows an unknown partial differential equation, we derive a continuous-time model for the dynamics of the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Marten Lienen , Stephan Günnemann

We consider the problem of fitting a parametric model to time-series data that are afflicted by correlated noise. The noise is represented by a sum of two stationary Gaussian processes: one that is uncorrelated in time, and another that has…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-20 Joshua A. Carter , Joshua N. Winn

We present predictions for the statistical error due to finite sampling in the presence of thermal fluctuations in molecular simulation algorithms. Specifically, we establish how these errors depend on Mach number, Knudsen number, number of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Nicolas Hadjiconstantinou , Alejandro L. Garcia , Martin Z. Bazant , Gang He

We present results on parameter estimation and non-parameter estimation of the linear partially observed Gaussian system of stochastic differential equations. We propose new one-step estimators which have the same asymptotic properties as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-23 Yury A. Kutoyants , Li Zhou

Detecting synthetic from real speech is increasingly crucial due to the risks of misinformation and identity impersonation. While various datasets for synthetic speech analysis have been developed, they often focus on specific areas,…

Sound · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Zhoulin Ji , Chenhao Lin , Hang Wang , Chao Shen

We revisit random search for stochastic optimization, where only noisy function evaluations are available. We show that the method works under weaker smoothness assumptions than previously considered, and that stronger assumptions enable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-19 El Mahdi Chayti , Taha El Bakkali El Kadi , Omar Saadi , Martin Jaggi

We consider finite element approximations of ill-posed elliptic problems with conditional stability. The notion of {\emph{optimal error estimates}} is defined including both convergence with respect to mesh parameter and perturbations in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Erik Burman , Mihai Nechita , Lauri Oksanen

In this paper we study the asymptotic theory for samples problem based on the functional empirical process (fep), this new method is called general samples problem. We suggest this method to develop the full theory of estimation of means,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-12 Abdoulaye Camara , Adja Mbarka Fall , Moumouni Diallo , Gane Samb Lo

Ensemble learning is a mainstay in modern data science practice. Conventional ensemble algorithms assign to base models a set of deterministic, constant model weights that (1) do not fully account for individual models' varying accuracy…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-02 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent A. Coull

We investigate a fully discrete finite element approximation for the stochastic Kuramoto-Sivashinsky equation, combining the standard finite element methods in spatial discretization with the implicit Euler-Maruyama scheme in time. Rigorous…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-08 Hung D. Nguyen , Liet Vo

In this paper we focus on the parameter estimation of dynamic load models with stochastic terms, in particular, load models where protection settings are uncertain, such as in aggregated air conditioning units. We show how the uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Daniel Adrian Maldonado , Vishwas Rao , Mihai Anitescu , Vivak Patel

In this paper, we propose a randomized generalized multiscale finite element method (Randomized GMsFEM) for flow problems with parameterized inputs and high-contrast heterogeneous media. The method employs a data-driven predictor to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-05 Wing Tat Leung , Qiuqi Li , Songwei Liu

We derive computable error estimates for finite element approximations of linear elliptic partial differential equations (PDE) with rough stochastic coefficients. In this setting, the exact solutions contain high frequency content that…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-09-18 Eric Joseph Hall , Håkon Hoel , Mattias Sandberg , Anders Szepessy , Raúl Tempone

A semidiscrete Galerkin finite element method applied to time-fractional diffusion equations with time-space dependent diffusivity on bounded convex spatial domains will be studied. The main focus is on achieving optimal error results with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-12 Kassem Mustapha

We define a new finite element method for a steady state elliptic problem with discontinuous diffusion coefficients where the meshes are not aligned with the interface. We prove optimal error estimates in the $L^2$ norm and $H^1$ weighted…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-10-18 Johnny Guzman , Manuel A. Sanchez , Marcus Sarkis

This paper deals with the parametric inference for integrated signals embedded in an additive Gaussian noise and observed at deterministic discrete instants which are not necessarily equidistant. The unknown parameter is multidimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-18 Dominique Dehay , Khalil El Waled , Vincent Monsan

Various noise models have been developed in quantum computing study to describe the propagation and effect of the noise which is caused by imperfect implementation of hardware. Identifying parameters such as gate and readout error rates are…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-11-08 Muqing Zheng , Ang Li , Tamás Terlaky , Xiu Yang

We consider systematic numerical approximation of a viscoelastic phase separation model that describes the demixing of a polymer solvent mixture. An unconditionally stable discretisation method is proposed based on a finite element…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Aaron Brunk , Herbert Egger , Oliver Habrich , Maria Lukacova-Medvidova

Uncertainty quantification appears today as a crucial point in numerous branches of science and engineering. In the past two decades, a growing interest has been devoted to stochastic finite element method (SFEM) for the propagation of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-11 Zhibao Zheng

The exact statistics of an arbitrary quantum observable is analytically obtained. Due to the probabilistic nature of a sequence of intermediate measurements and stochastic fluctuations induced by the interaction with the environment, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-19 Stefano Gherardini