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Model selection in contextual bandits is an important complementary problem to regret minimization with respect to a fixed model class. We consider the simplest non-trivial instance of model-selection: distinguishing a simple multi-armed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-01 Vidya Muthukumar , Akshay Krishnamurthy

We formulate the problem of fake news detection using distributed fact-checkers (agents) with unknown reliability. The stream of news/statements is modeled as an independent and identically distributed binary source (to represent true and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-05 Ashwin Verma , Soheil Mohajer , Behrouz Touri

Traffic scenarios are inherently interactive. Multiple decision-makers predict the actions of others and choose strategies that maximize their rewards. We view these interactions from the perspective of game theory which introduces various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Christian Muench , Frans A. Oliehoek , Dariu M. Gavrila

This paper studies how insurers can chose which claims to investigate for fraud. Given a prediction model, typically only claims with the highest predicted propability of being fraudulent are investigated. We argue that this can lead to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-24 Christos Revelas , Otilia Boldea , Bas J. M. Werker

As machine learning agents act more autonomously in the world, they will increasingly interact with each other. Unfortunately, in many social dilemmas like the one-shot Prisoner's Dilemma, standard game theory predicts that ML agents will…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Caspar Oesterheld , Johannes Treutlein , Roger Grosse , Vincent Conitzer , Jakob Foerster

Motion planners take uncertain information about the environment as an input. The environment information is often quite noisy and has a tendency to contain false positive object detection. State-of-the-art motion planners consider all…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-10-22 Omer Sahin Tas , Christoph Stiller

Machine-learning approaches to algorithm-selection typically take data describing an instance as input. Input data can take the form of features derived from the instance description or fitness landscape, or can be a direct representation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-24 Quentin Renau , Emma Hart

We propose a test based on the theory of algorithmic complexity and an experimental evaluation of Levin's universal distribution to identify evidence in support of or in contravention of the claim that the world is algorithmic in nature. To…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Hector Zenil , Jean-Paul Delahaye

Integrating theoretical neuroscience, decision theory, and probabilistic inference offers a promising route to understanding human cognition, yet concrete methodological bridges between agentic AI models and behavioral data analysis remain…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-01 Dirk Ostwald , Rasmus Bruckner , Franziska Usée , Belinda Fleischmann , Joram Soch , Sean Mulready

When a latent shoeprint is discovered at a crime scene, forensic analysts inspect it for distinctive patterns of wear such as scratches and holes (known as accidentals) on the source shoe's sole. If its accidentals correspond to those of a…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-28 Neil A. Spencer , Jared S. Murray

Deep learning-based methods have achieved a breakthrough in image anomaly detection, but their complexity introduces a considerable challenge to understanding why an instance is predicted to be anomalous. We introduce a novel explanation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Philipp Liznerski , Saurabh Varshneya , Ece Calikus , Puyu Wang , Alexander Bartscher , Sebastian Josef Vollmer , Sophie Fellenz , Marius Kloft

This study investigates whether professional translators without prior specialized training can reliably identify short stories generated in Italian by artificial intelligence (AI). Sixty-nine translators took part in an in-person…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Michael Farrell

We reminisce and discuss applications of algorithmic probability to a wide range of problems in artificial intelligence, philosophy and technological society. We propose that Solomonoff has effectively axiomatized the field of artificial…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-01-17 Eray Özkural

In this paper we consider a robot patrolling problem in which events arrive randomly over time at the vertices of a graph. When an event arrives it remains active for a random amount of time. If that time active exceeds a certain threshold,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2014-09-17 Ahmad Bilal Asghar , Stephen L. Smith

We present an approach for systematically anticipating the actions and policies employed by \emph{oblivious} environments in concurrent stochastic games, while maximizing a reward function. Our main contribution lies in the synthesis of a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-19 Shadi Tasdighi Kalat , Sriram Sankaranarayanan , Ashutosh Trivedi

Multi-year digital forensic backlogs have become commonplace in law enforcement agencies throughout the globe. Digital forensic investigators are overloaded with the volume of cases requiring their expertise compounded by the volume of data…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-12-04 Xiaoyu Du , Chris Hargreaves , John Sheppard , Felix Anda , Asanka Sayakkara , Nhien-An Le-Khac , Mark Scanlon

Humans sometimes choose actions that they themselves can identify as sub-optimal, or wrong, even in the absence of additional information. How is this possible? We present an algorithmic theory of metacognition based on a well-understood…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Rylan Schaeffer

We consider the problem of online allocation subject to a long-term fairness penalty. Contrary to existing works, however, we do not assume that the decision-maker observes the protected attributes -- which is often unrealistic in practice.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Mathieu Molina , Nicolas Gast , Patrick Loiseau , Vianney Perchet

This paper gives game-theoretic versions of several results on "merging of opinions" obtained in measure-theoretic probability and algorithmic randomness theory. An advantage of the game-theoretic versions over the measure-theoretic results…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Vladimir Vovk

Humans should be able work more effectively with artificial intelligence-based systems when they can predict likely failures and form useful mental models of how the systems work. We conducted a study of human's mental models of artificial…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Kimberly Glasgow , Jonathan Kopecky , John Gersh , Adam Crego