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Central limit theorems play an important role in the study of statistical inference for stochastic processes. However, when the nonparametric local polynomial threshold estimator, especially local linear case, is employed to estimate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Yuping Song , Hanchao Wang

We present some new and explicit error bounds for the approximation of distributions. The approximation error is quantified by the maximal density ratio of the distribution $Q$ to be approximated and its proxy $P$. This non-symmetric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-02 Lutz Duembgen , Richard Samworth , Jon Wellner

We propose an empirical formula for the problem of local distribution of rational points of bounded height. This is a local version of the Batyrev-Manin-Peyre principle. We verify this for a toric surface, on which cuspidal rational curves…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-23 Zhizhong Huang

We consider the problem of hypothesis testing for discrete distributions. In the standard model, where we have sample access to an underlying distribution $p$, extensive research has established optimal bounds for uniformity testing,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Piotr Indyk , Ronitt Rubinfeld , Sandeep Silwal

The paper deals with the distributed minimum sharing problem: a set of decision-makers compute the minimum of some local quantities of interest in a distributed and decentralized way by exchanging information through a communication…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-28 Michelangelo Bin , Thomas Parisini

Generalization error bounds are essential for comprehending how well machine learning models work. In this work, we suggest a novel method, i.e., the Auxiliary Distribution Method, that leads to new upper bounds on expected generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-18 Gholamali Aminian , Saeed Masiha , Laura Toni , Miguel R. D. Rodrigues

For a difference approximations of multidimensional diffusion, the truncated local limit theorem is proved. Under very mild conditions on the distribution of the difference terms, this theorem provides that the transition probabilities of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-16 Alexey M. Kulik

Some special functions are particularly relevant in applied probability and statistics. For example, the incomplete beta function is the cumulative central beta distribution. In this paper, we consider the inversion of the central…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2020-12-18 Amparo Gil , Javier Segura , Nico M. Temme

This work studies the learning ability of consensus and diffusion distributed learners from continuous streams of data arising from different but related statistical distributions. Four distinctive features for diffusion learners are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-07-19 Zaid J. Towfic , Jianshu Chen , Ali H. Sayed

We present a novel approach to estimating discrete distributions with (potentially) infinite support in the total variation metric. In a departure from the established paradigm, we make no structural assumptions whatsoever on the sampling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Doron Cohen , Aryeh Kontorovich , Geoffrey Wolfer

We study problem-dependent rates, i.e., generalization errors that scale near-optimally with the variance, the effective loss, or the gradient norms evaluated at the "best hypothesis." We introduce a principled framework dubbed "uniform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-25 Yunbei Xu , Assaf Zeevi

Cram\'er type moderate deviation theorems quantify the accuracy of the relative error of the normal approximation and provide theoretical justifications for many commonly used methods in statistics. In this paper, we develop a new…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-07 Qi-Man Shao , Wen-Xin Zhou

The maximum entropy principle is a powerful tool for solving underdetermined inverse problems. This paper considers the problem of discretizing a continuous distribution, which arises in various applied fields. We obtain the approximating…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Ken'ichiro Tanaka , Alexis Akira Toda

Consider the task of generating samples from a tilted distribution of a random vector whose underlying distribution is unknown, but samples from it are available. This finds applications in fields such as finance and climate science, and in…

The paper focuses on mean-field type multi-agent control problems with finite state and action spaces where the dynamics and cost structures are symmetric and homogeneous, and are affected by the distribution of the agents. A standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-03 Erhan Bayraktar , Ali D. Kara

We study the convergence in distribution norms in the Central Limit Theorem for non identical distributed random variables that is $$ \varepsilon_{n}(f):={\mathbb{E}}\Big(f\Big(\frac 1{\sqrt…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-16 Vlad Bally , Lucia Caramellino , Guillaume Poly

This paper proposes a Bayesian method for estimating the parameters of a normal distribution when only limited summary statistics (sample mean, minimum, maximum, and sample size) are available. To estimate the parameters of a normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-21 Tomoki Matsumoto

For affine stochastic differential equation with uniformly distributed time delay the local asymptotic properties of the likelihood function are studied. Local asymptotic normality, local asymptotic mixed normality, periodic local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-10 János Marcell Benke , Gyula Pap

We prove lower bounds on the error of any estimator for the mean of a real probability distribution under the knowledge that the distribution belongs to a given set. We apply these lower bounds both to parametric and nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-05 Rémy Degenne , Timothée Mathieu

This paper introduces a new distribution to improve tail risk modeling. Based on the classical normal distribution, we define a new distribution by a series of heat equations. Then, we use market data to verify our model.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-08 Xiaolin Gong , Shuzhen Yang