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The BAT-MCS is an integrated Monte Carlo simulation method (MCS) that combines a binary adaptation tree algorithm (BAT) with a self-regulating simulation mechanism. The BAT algorithm operates deterministically, while the Monte Carlo…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Wei-Chang Yeh

Reliability is an important tool for evaluating the performance of modern networks. Currently, it is NP-hard and #P-hard to calculate the exact reliability of a binary-state network when the reliability of each component is assumed to be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-17 Wei-Chang Yeh

Methods of approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) are increasingly used for analysis of complex models. A major challenge for ABC is over-coming the often inherent problem of high rejection rates in the accept/reject methods based on…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-27 Fernando V. Bonassi , Mike West

Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) is a powerful approach to designing game-playing bots or solving sequential decision problems. The method relies on intelligent tree search that balances exploration and exploitation. MCTS performs random…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Maciej Świechowski , Konrad Godlewski , Bartosz Sawicki , Jacek Mańdziuk

Real-world applications such as the internet of things, wireless sensor networks, smart grids, transportation networks, communication networks, social networks, and computer grid systems are typically modeled as network structures. Network…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Wei-Chang Yeh

Network structures and models have been widely adopted, e.g., for Internet of Things, wireless sensor networks, smart grids, transportation networks, communication networks, social networks, and computer grid systems. Network reliability is…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-04-20 Wei-Chang Yeh

This paper presents a novel approach to enhance the Binary-Addition-Tree algorithm (BAT) by integrating incremental learning techniques. BAT, known for its simplicity in development, implementation, and application, is a powerful implicit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Wei-Chang Yeh

Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) is an effective test-time compute scaling (TTCS) method for improving the reasoning performance of large language models, but its highly variable execution time leads to severe long-tail latency in practice.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Hongbeen Kim , Juhyun Lee , Sanghyeon Lee , Kwanghoon Choi , Jaehyuk Huh

A Monte Carlo algorithm is said to be adaptive if it automatically calibrates its current proposal distribution using past simulations. The choice of the parametric family that defines the set of proposal distributions is critical for good…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-11 Christian Schäfer , Nicolas Chopin

Estimating failure probabilities of engineering systems is an important problem in many engineering fields. In this work we consider such problems where the failure probability is extremely small (e.g $\leq10^{-10}$). In this case, standard…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Xinjuan Chen , Jinglai Li

Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS), most famously used in game-play artificial intelligence (e.g., the game of Go), is a well-known strategy for constructing approximate solutions to sequential decision problems. Its primary innovation is the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-04-21 Daniel R. Jiang , Lina Al-Kanj , Warren B. Powell

Many network applications are based on binary-state networks, where each component has one of two states: success or failure. Efficient algorithms to evaluate binary-state network reliability are continually being developed. Reliability…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Wei-Chang Yeh

Much current research in AI and games is being devoted to Monte Carlo search (MCS) algorithms. While the quest for a single unified MCS algorithm that would perform well on all problems is of major interest for AI, practitioners often know…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Francis Maes , David Lupien St-Pierre , Damien Ernst

Model comparison for the purposes of selection, averaging and validation is a problem found throughout statistics. Within the Bayesian paradigm, these problems all require the calculation of the posterior probabilities of models within a…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-08 Yan Zhou , Adam M Johansen , John A D Aston

The integration of autonomous vehicles into urban and highway environments necessitates the development of robust and adaptable behavior planning systems. This study presents an innovative approach to address this challenge by utilizing a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-10-19 Qianfeng Wen , Zhongyi Gong , Lifeng Zhou , Zhongshun Zhang

Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) is an immensely popular search-based framework used for decision making. It is traditionally applied to domains where a perfect simulation model of the environment is available. We study and improve MCTS in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Farnaz Kohankhaki , Kiarash Aghakasiri , Hongming Zhang , Ting-Han Wei , Chao Gao , Martin Müller

Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) is particularly adapted to domains where the potential actions can be represented as a tree of sequential decisions. For an effective action selection, MCTS performs many simulations to build a reliable tree…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-10 Seydou Ba , Takuya Hiraoka , Takashi Onishi , Toru Nakata , Yoshimasa Tsuruoka

We propose a novel Parallel Monte Carlo tree search with Batched Simulations (PMBS) algorithm for accelerating long-horizon, episodic robotic planning tasks. Monte Carlo tree search (MCTS) is an effective heuristic search algorithm for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Baichuan Huang , Abdeslam Boularias , Jingjin Yu

Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) has been proposed as a transformative approach to join-order optimization in database query processing, with recent frameworks such as AlphaJoin and HyperQO claiming to outperform traditional methods. However,…

In this work, we introduce a novel class of adaptive Monte Carlo methods, called adaptive independent sticky MCMC algorithms, for efficient sampling from a generic target probability density function (pdf). The new class of algorithms…

Computation · Statistics 2025-04-09 L. Martino , R. Casarin , F. Leisen , D. Luengo
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