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Related papers: Consensus between Epistemic Agents is Difficult

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An information theoretic measure is derived that quantifies the statistical coherence between systems evolving in time. The standard time delayed mutual information fails to distinguish information that is actually exchanged from shared…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Thomas Schreiber

Recent research has explored the increasingly important role of social media by examining the dynamics of individual and group behavior, characterizing patterns of information diffusion, and identifying influential individuals. In this…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-10-13 Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

Transfer entropy provides a general tool for analyzing the magnitudes and directions---but not the \emph{kinds}---of information transfer in a system. We extend transfer entropy in two complementary ways. First, we distinguish…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-02-09 Paul L. Williams , Randall D. Beer

Various strategies for active learning have been proposed in the machine learning literature. In uncertainty sampling, which is among the most popular approaches, the active learner sequentially queries the label of those instances for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Vu-Linh Nguyen , Sébastien Destercke , Eyke Hüllermeier

Information asymmetry is a pervasive feature of multi-agent systems, especially evident in economics and social sciences. In these settings, agents tailor their actions based on private information to maximize their rewards. These strategic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Jiachen Hu , Rui Ai , Han Zhong , Xiaoyu Chen , Liwei Wang , Zhaoran Wang , Zhuoran Yang

The ideas of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty are widely used to reason about the probabilistic predictions of machine-learning models. We identify incoherence in existing discussions of these ideas and suggest this stems from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Freddie Bickford Smith , Jannik Kossen , Eleanor Trollope , Mark van der Wilk , Adam Foster , Tom Rainforth

Why do people who disagree about one subject tend to disagree about other subjects as well? In this paper, we introduce a model to explore this phenomenon of "epistemic factionization". Agents attempt to discover the truth about multiple…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-04 James Owen Weatherall , Cailin O'Connor

The concepts of information transfer and causal effect have received much recent attention, yet often the two are not appropriately distinguished and certain measures have been suggested to be suitable for both. We discuss two existing…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2012-03-05 Joseph T. Lizier , Mikhail Prokopenko

We study an opinion formation model by the means of a co-evolving complex network where the vertices represent the individuals, characterised by their evolving opinions, and the edges represent the interactions among them. The network…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-19 Enrique Burgos , Laura Hernandez , Horacio Ceva , Roberto P. J. Perazzo

The major problem in information theoretic analysis of neural responses and other biological data is the reliable estimation of entropy--like quantities from small samples. We apply a recently introduced Bayesian entropy estimator to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-09-29 Ilya Nemenman , William Bialek , Rob de Ruyter van Steveninck

This paper introduces epistemic graphs as a generalization of the epistemic approach to probabilistic argumentation. In these graphs, an argument can be believed or disbelieved up to a given degree, thus providing a more fine--grained…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-01-15 Anthony Hunter , Sylwia Polberg , Matthias Thimm

One of the crucial steps in scientific studies is to specify dependent relationships among factors in a system of interest. Given little knowledge of a system, can we characterize the underlying dependent relationships through observation…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-12-24 Shohei Hidaka

Transfer entropy is a widely used measure for quantifying directed information flows in complex systems. While the challenges of estimating transfer entropy for continuous data are well known, it has two major shortcomings for data of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-11-27 Alec Kirkley

The fundamental building block of social influence is for one person to elicit a response in another. Researchers measuring a "response" in social media typically depend either on detailed models of human behavior or on platform-specific…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-02-19 Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

The formation of agents' opinions in a social system is the result of an intricate equilibrium among several driving forces. On the one hand, the social pressure exerted by peers favours the emergence of local consensus. On the other hand,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-04-18 Federico Battiston , Andrea Cairoli , Vincenzo Nicosia , Adrian Baule , Vito Latora

A central task in analyzing complex dynamics is to determine the loci of information storage and the communication topology of information flows within a system. Over the last decade and a half, diagnostics for the latter have come to be…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-06-20 Ryan G. James , Nix Barnett , James P. Crutchfield

Complex systems are found in most branches of science. It is still argued how to best quantify their complexity and to what end. One prominent measure of complexity (the statistical complexity) has an operational meaning in terms of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-10-24 Karoline Wiesner , Mile Gu , Elisabeth Rieper , Vlatko Vedral

The survey is concerned with the issue of information transmission from experts to non-experts. Two main approaches to the use of experts can be traced. According to the game-theoretic approach expertise is a case of asymmetric information…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-07-21 Irene Valsecchi

Scientists are generally subject to social pressures, including pressures to conform with others in their communities, that affect achievement of their epistemic goals. Here we analyze a network epistemology model in which agents, all else…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-12-18 James Owen Weatherall , Cailin O'Connor

Reasoning about observed effects and their causes is important in multi-agent contexts. While there has been much work on causality from an objective standpoint, causality from the point of view of some particular agent has received much…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-11-01 Shakil M. Khan , Mikhail Soutchanski
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