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A more connected world has brought major consequences such as facilitate the spread of diseases all over the world to quickly become epidemics, reason why researchers are concentrated in modeling the propagation of epidemics and outbreaks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-10-28 Lucila G. Alvarez Zuzek , Camila Buono , Lidia A. Braunstein

The current survey paper concerns stochastic mathematical models for the spread of infectious diseases. It starts with the simplest setting of a homogeneous population in which a transmittable disease spreads during a short outbreak.…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-30 Tom Britton

Seasonal influenza is a significant public health concern in the United States and globally. While influenza vaccines are the single most effective intervention to reduce influenza morbidity and mortality, there is considerable debate…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-01-07 Eric Mooring , Shweta Bansal

To mitigate the pandemic stemming from COVID-19, numerous nations have initiated extensive vaccination campaigns for their citizens since late 2020. While affluent countries have predominantly received vaccine allocations, fewer doses have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-01 Hsin-Ju Chou , Jing-Yuan Ko , Sung-Po Chao

Modeling human behavior is essential to accurately predict epidemic spread, with behaviors like vaccine hesitancy complicating control efforts. While epidemic spread is often treated as a simple contagion, vaccine uptake may follow complex…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-17 Alfonso de Miguel-Arribas , Alberto Aleta , Yamir Moreno

Understanding age-group dynamics of infectious diseases is a fundamental issue for both scientific study and policymaking. Age-structure epidemic models were developed in order to study and improve our understanding of these dynamics. By…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-11-22 Rami Yaari , Amit Huppert , Itai Dattner

The paper describes a method to understand time required to vaccinate against viruses in total as well as subpopulations. As a demonstration, a model based estimate for time required to vaccinate H1N1 in India, given its administrative…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-15 Arni S. R. Srinivasa Rao , Thomas Kurien

Social network analysis is now widely used to investigate the dynamics of infectious disease spread from person to person. Vaccination dramatically disrupts the disease transmission process on a contact network, and indeed, sufficiently…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-11-05 Ellsworth Campbell , Marcel Salathé

We define and analyze an inductive reasoning game of voluntary yearly vaccination in order to establish whether or not a population of individuals acting in their own self-interest would be able to prevent influenza epidemics. We find that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-05-29 Romulus Breban , Raffaele Vardavas , Sally Blower

Controlling and understanding epidemic outbreaks has recently drawn great interest in a large spectrum of research communities. Vaccination is one of the most well-established and effective strategies in order to contain an epidemic. In the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Sourin Chatterjee , Ahad N. Zehmakan

Preventing infectious disease like flu from spreading to large communities is one of the most important issues for humans. One effective strategy is voluntary vaccination, however, there is always the temptation for people refusing to be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-07 Genki Ichinose , Takehiro Kurisaku

We study how a fraction of a population should be vaccinated to most efficiently top epidemics. We argue that only local information (about the neighborhood of specific vertices) is usable in practice, and hence we consider only local…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Petter Holme

There is great interest in the dynamics of health behaviors in social networks and how they affect collective public health outcomes, but measuring population health behaviors over time and space requires substantial resources. Here, we use…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-05-28 Marcel Salathé , Shashank Khandelwal

We study vaccine control for disease spread on an adaptive network modeling disease avoidance behavior. Control is implemented by adding Poisson distributed vaccination of susceptibles. We show that vaccine control is much more effective in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-13 Leah B. Shaw , Ira B. Schwartz

The COVID-19 pandemic has influenced the lives of people globally. In the past year many researchers have proposed different models and approaches to explore in what ways the spread of the disease could be mitigated. One of the models that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-17 Aram Ansary Ogholbake , Hana Khamfroush

Vaccination and outbreak monitoring are essential tools for preventing and minimizing outbreaks of infectious diseases. Targeted strategies, where the individuals most important for monitoring or preventing outbreaks are selected for…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-03-04 Enys Mones , Arkadiusz Stopczynski , Alex Pentland , Nathaniel Hupert , Sune Lehmann

Infectious diseases are caused by pathogenic microorganisms and can spread through different ways. Mathematical models and computational simulation have been used extensively to investigate the transmission and spread of infectious…

This paper describes an agent-based model of epidemics dynamics. This model is willingly simplified, as its goal is not to predict the evolution of the epidemics, but to explain the underlying mechanisms in an interactive way. This model…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Carole Adam , Helene Arduin

Forecasting transmission of infectious diseases, especially for vector-borne diseases, poses unique challenges for researchers. Behaviors of and interactions between viruses, vectors, hosts, and the environment each play a part in…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-02 Stephen A Lauer , Alexandria C Brown , Nicholas G Reich

This article examines how diseases on random networks spread in time. The disease is described by a probability distribution function for the number of infected and recovered individuals, and the probability distribution is described by a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2013-05-29 M. Marder
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