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The decision of whether or not to vaccinate is a complex one. It involves the contribution both to a social good -- herd immunity -- and to one's own well being. It is informed by social influence, personal experience, education, and mass…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-15 Soya Miyoshi , Marko Jusup , Petter Holme

Mass vaccination produces a reduction in virus circulation, but also evolutive pressure towards the appearance of virus-resistant strains. We discuss the balance between these two effects, in particular when the mass vaccination takes place…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-02 Giuseppe Gaeta

A simple, but ``classical``, stochastic model for epidemic spread in a finite, but large, population is studied. The progress of the epidemic can be divided into three different phases that requires different tools to analyse. Initially the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-05-29 Åke Svensson

Historically, infectious diseases caused considerable damage to human societies, and they continue to do so today. To help reduce their impact, mathematical models of disease transmission have been studied to help understand disease…

In this paper we analyze the impact of vaccinations on spread of the COVID-19 virus for different age groups. More specifically we examine the deployment of vaccines in the Nordic countries in a comparative analysis where we analyze factors…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-24 Anna Sigridur Islind , María Óskarsdóttir , Corentin Cot , Giacomo Cacciapaglia , Francesco Sannino

In the face of serious infectious diseases, governments endeavour to implement containment measures such as public vaccination at a macroscopic level. Meanwhile, individuals tend to protect themselves by avoiding contacts with infections at…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-10-20 Xiao-Long Peng , Xin-Jian Xu , Michael Small , Xinchu Fu , Zhen Jin

In this paper, we analyze the temporal evolution of the age-dependent force of infection and incidence of rubella, after the introduction of a very specific vaccination programme in a previously nonvaccinated population where rubella was in…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2009-06-05 M. Amaku , F. A. B. Coutinho , R. S. Azevedo , M. N. Burattini , L. F. Lopez , E. Massad

This work consists of an epidemic model with vaccination coupled with an opinion dynamics. Our objective was to study how disease risk perception can influence opinions about vaccination and therefore the spreading of the disease.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-11-20 Marcelo A. Pires , André L. Oestereich , Nuno Crokidakis

The Covid-19 pandemic revealed the difficulties of vaccinating a population under the circumstances marked by urgency and limited availability of doses while balancing benefits associated with distinct guidelines satisfying specific ethical…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-08 Pedro Ribeiro de Almeida , Vitor Hirata Sanches , Carla Goldman

We develop a mechanistic model that classifies individuals both in terms of epidemiological status (SIR) and vaccination attitude (willing or unwilling), with the goal of discovering how disease spread is influenced by changing opinions…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-08-16 Yi Jiang , Kristin M. Kurianski , Jane HyoJin Lee , Yanping Ma , Daniel Cicala , Glenn Ledder

Infectious diseases are still a major global burden for modern society causing 13 million deaths annually. One way to reduce the morbidity and mortality rates from infectious diseases is through preventative or targeted vaccinations.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Md Shahzamal , Raja Jurdak , Bernard Mans , Frank de Hoog , Dean Paini

The interpretation of vaccine efficacy estimands is subtle, even in randomized trials designed to quantify immunological effects of vaccination. In this article, we introduce terminology to distinguish between different vaccine efficacy…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-15 Mats Stensrud , Daniel Nevo , Uri Obolski

Most vaccines require multiple doses, the first to induce recognition and antibody production and subsequent doses to boost the primary response and achieve optimal protection. We show that properly prioritizing the administration of first…

Seasonal influenza presents an ongoing challenge to public health. The rapid evolution of the flu virus necessitates annual vaccination campaigns, but the decision to get vaccinated or not in a given year is largely voluntary, at least in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-21 Irena Papst , Kevin P. O'Keeffe , Steven H. Strogatz

This paper uses new and existing methods to study collective trends across countries throughout the pandemic, with a focus on the multivariate time series of reproduction numbers and vaccine proliferation. We begin with a time-varying…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-16 Nick James , Max Menzies

Many pathogens spread primarily via direct contact between infected and susceptible hosts. Thus, the patterns of contacts or contact network of a population fundamentally shapes the course of epidemics. While there is a robust and growing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-08-01 Shweta Bansal , Lauren Ancel Meyers

We examine here the effects of recurrent vaccination and waning immunity on the establishment of an endemic equilibrium in a population. An individual-based model that incorporates memory effects for transmission rate during infection and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-22 Félix Foutel-Rodier , Arthur Charpentier , Hélène Guérin

Using Swedish register data spanning 250 years, we estimate multigenerational effects of smallpox vaccination on longevity and occupational achievements. Employing mother fixed-effects, difference-in-differences, and shift-share…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-19 Volha Lazuka , Peter Sandholt Jensen

Motivated by massive outbreaks of COVID-19 that occurred even in populations with high vaccine uptake, we propose a novel multi-population temporal network model for the spread of recurrent epidemic diseases. We study the effect of human…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-09-19 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Ming Cao

Knowledge of the protection afforded by vaccines might, in some circumstances, modify a vaccinated individual's behaviour, potentially increasing exposure to pathogens and hindering effectiveness. Although vaccine studies typically do not…