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We introduce a Modewise Additive Factor Model (MAFM) for matrix-valued time series that captures row-specific and column-specific latent effects through an additive structure, offering greater flexibility than multiplicative frameworks such…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-12 Elynn Chen , Yuefeng Han , Jiayu Li , Ke Xu

Dynamic factor models have been developed out of the need of analyzing and forecasting time series in increasingly high dimensions. While mathematical statisticians faced with inference problems in high-dimensional observation spaces were…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-03 Matteo Barigozzi , Marc Hallin

This paper proposes a new AR-sieve bootstrap approach to high-dimensional time series. The major challenge of classical bootstrap methods on high-dimensional time series is two-fold: curse of dimensionality and temporal dependence. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Daning Bi , Han Lin Shang , Yanrong Yang , Huanjun Zhu

This paper proposes a hierarchical approximate-factor approach to analyzing high-dimensional, large-scale heterogeneous time series data using distributed computing. The new method employs a multiple-fold dimension reduction procedure using…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-20 Zhaoxing Gao , Ruey S. Tsay

We study the problem of modelling high-dimensional, heavy-tailed time series data via a factor-adjusted vector autoregressive (VAR) model, which simultaneously accounts for pervasive co-movements of the variables by a handful of factors, as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-27 Dylan Dijk , Haeran Cho

Human mortality data sets can be expressed as multiway data arrays, the dimensions of which correspond to categories by which mortality rates are reported, such as age, sex, country and year. Regression models for such data typically assume…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-15 Bailey K. Fosdick , Peter D. Hoff

Pervasive cross-section dependence is increasingly recognized as a characteristic of economic data and the approximate factor model provides a useful framework for analysis. Assuming a strong factor structure where $\Lop\Lo/N^\alpha$ is…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-03-07 Jushan Bai , Serena Ng

Time series regression models are commonly used in time series analysis. However, in modern real-world applications, serially correlated data with an ultra-high dimension and fat tails are prevalent. This presents a challenge in developing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-21 Linbo Liu , Danna Zhang

Many fMRI analyses examine functional connectivity, or statistical dependencies among remote brain regions. Yet popular methods for studying whole-brain functional connectivity often yield results that are difficult to interpret. Factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-24 Kyle Stanley , Nicole Lazar , Matthew Reimherr

Bayesian sparse factor models have proven useful for characterizing dependence in multivariate data, but scaling computation to large numbers of samples and dimensions is problematic. We propose expandable factor analysis for scalable…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-21 Sanvesh Srivastava , Barbara E. Engelhardt , David B. Dunson

In this paper we develop a novel approach for estimating large and sparse dynamic factor models using variational inference, also allowing for missing data. Inspired by Bayesian variable selection, we apply slab-and-spike priors onto the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

Many existing mortality models follow the framework of classical factor models, such as the Lee-Carter model and its variants. Latent common factors in factor models are defined as time-related mortality indices (such as $\kappa_t$ in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-04 Lingyu He , Fei Huang , Jianjie Shi , Yanrong Yang

High-dimensional multivariate time series are challenging due to the dependent and high-dimensional nature of the data, but in many applications there is additional structure that can be exploited to reduce computing time along with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-13 Michael Schweinberger , Sergii Babkin , Katherine Ensor

Nonparametric estimation of the mean and covariance functions is ubiquitous in functional data analysis and local linear smoothing techniques are most frequently used. Zhang and Wang (2016) explored different types of asymptotic properties…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Shaojun Guo , Dong Li , Xinghao Qiao , Yizhu Wang

We propose a functional accelerated failure time model to characterize effects of both functional and scalar covariates on the time to event of interest, and provide regularity conditions to guarantee model identifiability. For efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-09 Changyu Liu , Wen Su , Kin-Yat Liu , Guosheng Yin , Xingqiu Zhao

We propose a factor network autoregressive (FNAR) model for time series with complex network structures. The coefficients of the model reflect many different types of connections between economic agents ("multilayer network"), which are…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-24 Matteo Barigozzi , Giuseppe Cavaliere , Graziano Moramarco

Sparse functional data arise when measurements are observed infrequently and at irregular time points for each subject, often in the presence of measurement error. These characteristics introduce additional challenges for functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-20 Uche Mbaka , Jiguo Cao , Michelle Carey

We study a novel large dimensional approximate factor model with regime changes in the loadings driven by a latent first order Markov process. By exploiting the equivalent linear representation of the model, we first recover the latent…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-04 Matteo Barigozzi , Daniele Massacci

We consider functional data which are measured on a discrete set of observation points. Often such data are measured with additional noise. We explore in this paper the factor structure underlying this type of data. We show that the latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-23 Siegfried Hörmann , Fatima Jammoul

A multivariate quantile regression model with a factor structure is proposed to study data with many responses of interest. The factor structure is allowed to vary with the quantile levels, which makes our framework more flexible than the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-22 Shih-Kang Chao , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Ming Yuan