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We propose a dynamic factor model (DFM) where the latent factors are linked to observed variables with unknown and potentially nonlinear functions. The key novelty and source of flexibility of our approach is a nonparametric observation…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-08 Tony Chernis , Niko Hauzenberger , Haroon Mumtaz , Michael Pfarrhofer

We reconcile the two worlds of dense and sparse modeling by exploiting the positive aspects of both. We employ a factor model and assume {the dynamic of the factors is non-pervasive while} the idiosyncratic term follows a sparse vector…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-25 Jonas Krampe , Luca Margaritella

Economists are blessed with a wealth of data for analysis, but more often than not, values in some entries of the data matrix are missing. Various methods have been proposed to handle missing observations in a few variables. We exploit the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-02 Ercument Cahan , Jushan Bai , Serena Ng

High-dimensional functional time series offers a powerful framework for extending functional time series analysis to settings with multiple simultaneous dimensions, capturing both temporal dynamics and cross-sectional dependencies. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-08 Haixu Wang , Tianyu Guan , Han Lin Shang

Large-scale matrix data has been widely discovered and continuously studied in various fields recently. Considering the multi-level factor structure and utilizing the matrix structure, we propose a multilevel matrix factor model with both…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-24 Yuteng Zhang , Yongchang Hui , Junrong Song , Shurong Zheng

We consider the estimation of a sparse factor model where the factor loading matrix is assumed sparse. The estimation problem is reformulated as a penalized M-estimation criterion, while the restrictions for identifying the factor loading…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-23 Benjamin Poignard , Yoshikazu Terada

This paper develops the inferential theory for latent factor models estimated from large dimensional panel data with missing observations. We propose an easy-to-use all-purpose estimator for a latent factor model by applying principal…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-11 Ruoxuan Xiong , Markus Pelger

Modern time series forecasting methods, such as Transformer and its variants, have shown strong ability in sequential data modeling. To achieve high performance, they usually rely on redundant or unexplainable structures to model complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-30 Jingyi Hou , Zhen Dong , Jiayu Zhou , Zhijie Liu

In this paper, we consider detecting and estimating breaks in heterogeneous mean functions of high-dimensional functional time series which are allowed to be cross-sectionally correlated and temporally dependent. A new test statistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-17 Degui Li , Runze Li , Han Lin Shang

We propose a combined model, which integrates the latent factor model and the logistic regression model, for the citation network. It is noticed that neither a latent factor model nor a logistic regression model alone is sufficient to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-03 Namjoon Suh , Xiaoming Huo , Eric Heim , Lee Seversky

We propose a novel estimation framework for quadratic functionals of precision matrices in high-dimensional settings, particularly in regimes where the feature dimension $p$ exceeds the sample size $n$. Traditional moment-based estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Shizhe Hong , Weiming Li , Guangming Pan

The concepts of sparsity, and regularised estimation, have proven useful in many high-dimensional statistical applications. Dynamic factor models (DFMs) provide a parsimonious approach to modelling high-dimensional time series, however, it…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-22 Luke Mosley , Tak-Shing T. Chan , Alex Gibberd

We introduce a class of Bayesian matrix dynamic factor models that accommodates time-varying volatility, outliers, and cross-sectional correlation in the idiosyncratic components. For model comparison, we employ an importance-sampling…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-11 Wei Zhang

This paper introduces the Deep Functional Factor Model (DF2M), a Bayesian nonparametric model designed for analysis of high-dimensional functional time series. DF2M is built upon the Indian Buffet Process and the multi-task Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-21 Yirui Liu , Xinghao Qiao , Yulong Pei , Liying Wang

Factor models are widely used for dimension reduction in the analysis of multivariate data. This is achieved through decomposition of a p x p covariance matrix into the sum of two components. Through a latent factor representation, they can…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-01 Sarah Elizabeth Heaps , Ian Hyla Jermyn

This article introduces a nonparametric approach to spectral analysis of a high-dimensional multivariate nonstationary time series. The procedure is based on a novel frequency-domain factor model that provides a flexible yet parsimonious…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Zeda Li , Ori Rosen , Fabio Ferrarelli , Robert T. Krafty

We develop novel estimation procedures with supporting econometric theory for a dynamic latent-factor model with high-dimensional asset characteristics, that is, the number of characteristics is on the order of the sample size. Utilizing…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-27 Adam Baybutt

We study the estimation of a high dimensional approximate factor model in the presence of both cross sectional dependence and heteroskedasticity. The classical method of principal components analysis (PCA) does not efficiently estimate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-01 Jushan Bai , Yuan Liao

This paper studies the principal components (PC) estimator for high dimensional approximate factor models with weak factors in that the factor loading ($\boldsymbol{\Lambda}^0$) scales sublinearly in the number $N$ of cross-section units,…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-12 Jungjun Choi , Ming Yuan

Estimations and applications of factor models often rely on the crucial condition that the number of latent factors is consistently estimated, which in turn also requires that factors be relatively strong, data are stationary and weak…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-05 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao
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